Glasgow North West
2010 Results:
Conservative: 3537 (9.94%)
Labour: 19233 (54.05%)
Liberal Democrat: 5622 (15.8%)
SNP: 5430 (15.26%)
BNP: 699 (1.96%)
Green: 882 (2.48%)
Others: 179 (0.5%)
Majority: 13611 (38.25%)
2005 Results:
Labour: 16748 (49.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 6655 (19.5%)
SNP: 4676 (13.7%)
Conservative: 3262 (9.6%)
Other: 2720 (8%)
Majority: 10093 (29.6%)
Boundary changes prior to 2005 election: Name of seat changed from Glasgow Anniesland.
2001 Result
Conservative: 2651 (9.9%)
Labour: 15102 (56.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 3244 (12.1%)
SNP: 4048 (15.1%)
Other: 1677 (6.3%)
Majority: 11054 (41.4%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 3881 (11.5%)
Labour: 20951 (61.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 2453 (7.2%)
SNP: 5797 (17.1%)
Referendum: 84 (0.2%)
Other: 713 (2.1%)
Majority: 15154 (44.7%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: John Robertson(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Richard Sullivan (Conservative) John Robertson(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Natalie McKee (Liberal Democrat)Margaret Park (SNP)Moira Crawford (Green)Scott McLean (BNP) Marc Livingstone (Communist) Office assistant.2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 81246
Male: 46.2%
Female: 53.8%
Under 18: 22.4%
Over 60: 22.9%
Born outside UK: 4.1%
White: 97.2%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 1.6%
Mixed: 0.4%
Other: 0.6%
Christian: 64.8%
Muslim: 1.1%
Graduates 16-74: 21.2%
No Qualifications 16-74: 37.5%
Owner-Occupied: 51.3%
Social Housing: 39.2% (Council: 27.8%, Housing Ass.: 11.5%)
Privately Rented: 5%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 18.9%
John B Dick:
Since I assume your question is about who is best placed to defeat Labour then – being objective – it is hard to know whether the LibDems or SNP will come second. According to the latest opinion polls (in Scotland) the LibDems are at about the same level that they were in 2005, which would suggest that they will get about 20% of the vote in this seat. But the SNP are also up a bit, and would probably poll around 17%.
At the moment my guess is that the LibDems will come second (but it will be close between LibDem and SNP). However, Labour is way out in front. I can’t imagine circumstances in which this seat will change hands.
It does look as though realistically it’s a coin toss between Lib Dem and SNP as to who finishes second in this seat. In terms of John B Dick’s question on tactical voting, those kind of considerations are pretty meaningless in a seat as safe as this. Any non-Labour voter might as well just vote in line with their beliefs, recognising that it matters very little under such circumstances whether a candidate losing by a distance comes second, third, fourth or whatever.
LAB HOLD