Glasgow North
2010 Results:
Conservative: 2089 (7.05%)
Labour: 13181 (44.51%)
Liberal Democrat: 9283 (31.35%)
SNP: 3530 (11.92%)
BNP: 296 (1%)
Green: 947 (3.2%)
TUSC: 287 (0.97%)
Majority: 3898 (13.16%)
2005 Results:
Labour: 11001 (39.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 7663 (27.4%)
SNP: 3614 (12.9%)
Conservative : 2441 (8.7%)
Other: 3202 (11.5%)
Majority: 3338 (12%)
Boundary changes prior to 2005 election: Name of seat changed from Glasgow Maryhill.
2001 Result
Conservative: 1162 (5.2%)
Labour: 13420 (60.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 2372 (10.7%)
SNP: 3532 (15.9%)
Other: 1745 (7.8%)
Majority: 9888 (44.5%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 1747 (5.9%)
Labour: 19301 (64.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 2119 (7.1%)
SNP: 5037 (16.9%)
Referendum: 77 (0.3%)
Other: 1440 (4.8%)
Majority: 14264 (48%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Ann McKechin(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Erin Boyle (Conservative)Ann McKechin(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Katy Gordon (Liberal Democrat) Patrick Grady (SNP) Martin Bartos (Green)Thomas Main (BNP) Angela McCormick (TUSC) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 69010
Male: 47.1%
Female: 52.9%
Under 18: 17.6%
Over 60: 16.3%
Born outside UK: 9.2%
White: 92.3%
Black: 0.5%
Asian: 4.7%
Mixed: 0.6%
Other: 1.8%
Christian: 55.5%
Hindu: 0.6%
Muslim: 3.3%
Sikh: 0.6%
Graduates 16-74: 33.1%
No Qualifications 16-74: 26%
Owner-Occupied: 49.9%
Social Housing: 30.6% (Council: 14.3%, Housing Ass.: 16.2%)
Privately Rented: 16.2%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 17.2%
Nick Clegg is holding a town hall meeting in the constituency later this evening.
Predicted turnout 30 thousand. Forecast:-
LD 11 L 10 SNP 3 C 2 O 3.
LD GAIN FROM LAB.
close one. I think Labour are doing just sufficiently better in Scotland than in the rest of Britain. LAB HOLD
It’s close.
If the Green vote holds up that could give it to Labour. Otherwise its clear Lib Dem given the national ‘Nick bounce’ and the weariness with Labour EVEN in Scotland EVEN in Glasgow.
If candidates got elected based on effort (Katy Gordon has been working the area for more than two years, and has quit her job in the last few months to work flat out – and based on the vol of stuff going out over the whole area) then the Lib Dems would win!
To the people saying things like ‘the vote is conditional upon the Greens’ etc etc – have you forgotten that there’s new voters and people who didn’t vote last time? They’ll mostly be going to the LibDems.
LD by a majority in the low hundreds.
Many predicted a Labour majority of 6000 + here, believing this to be a fluke in 2005 (29% notional Labour majority in 2001).
Lib Dems did well here to remain so close.
This seat is now much more marginal than East Renfrewshire, Stirling and Dumfries & Galloway.
Lib dems are in trouble here
Reality is that there is a working class / middle class Lab alliance. There is an educated, loyal, middle class Labour vote which works in public sector and knows which side its bread is buttered.
Labour actually increased majority despite the Libs blowing quarter of a million on junk mail in an attempt to buy the seat.
A large proportion of the Lib vote here is a soft left vote plus disillusioned Lab who voted Lib here – not that the mask has slipped these Lib voters are totally aghast at Tory coalition.
ConDems are toast next time.
The electorate here is only 51,411. That’s a decline of 4,000 since the 2005 election.
The Lib Dem candidate here, Katy Gordon, has now been selected as #1 on the Glasgow Lib Dem list for the 2011 Holyrood election
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-glasgow-west-11484322
Tory candidate steps down…..
Which current wards make up this seat?
It includes almost all of the Hillhead and Maryhill/Kelvin wards plus a large chunk of Canal ward, a small chunk of Partick West and a tiny sliver of Drumchapel/Anniesland
So in other words there are no entire wards in this seat by the looks of your answer Pete
Hillhead and Kelvin were in former years represented by George Galloway and Drumchapel and Anniesland by Donald Dewar, wasn’t Partick represented by Michael Martin until 2005?
Thats because it was based on the Glasgow City Council single member wards that existed from 1999 to 2007, not the current multi member wards.
The Scottish parliament constituencies (being abolished in 2011) are still based on the Regional council wards used for one election only (1994).
Ward by ward:
1) Hillhead ward contains parts of the old Glasgow Kelvin (and before that Glasgow Hillhead) and Glasgow Maryhill seats;
2) Maryhill/Kelvin ward consists mostly of territory that was in Glasgow Maryhill, but the Kelvin(dale) bit of it used to be in Glasgow Anniesland, and before that Glasgow Hillhead;
3) Canal ward is made of territory that used to be in Glasgow Maryhill;
4) Partick West ward was mostly in Glasgow Kelvin, but some bits of it were in Glasgow Anniesland. Prior to 1997 it was all in Glasgow Hillhead;
5) Drumchapel/Anniesland was previously in Glasgow Anniesland, and before that Glasgow Garscadden, though I think a very small amount of it was in Glasgow Hillhead prior to 1997.
The old single member wards on which this seat was based are as follows:
1) Kelvindale. This was in Glasgow Hillhead before 1997 then in Glasgow Anniesland (still is for Holyrood, until next year.) As Aidan says this forms part of the Maryhill/Kelvin ward. It was one of the three Glasgow wards won by the LDs in 2003
2) Hyndland. Part of Glasgow Hillhead then Kelvin. It now forms part of Hillhead ward
3) Partick. Part of Glasgow Hillhead then Kelvin. Now split between Hillhead and Partick West wards but most of the population in the latter.
4) Hillhead. Another of the wards the LDs won in 2003.Part of Glasgow Hillhead then Kelvin. Unsurprisingly now part of Hillhead ward.
The other six wards all came from Glasgow Maryhill
5) Woodlands. Now part of Hillhead ward
Wyndford. Now part of Maryhill/Kelvin
6) Firhill. Split between Hillhead and Canal wards
7) North Kelvin. Part of Canal ward
9) Maryhill. Now part of Maryhill/Kelvin
10) Summerston. Now part of Maryhill/Kelvin
Bizarrely, only part of the old, single-member Hillhead ward was in Glasgow Hillhead prior to 1997. Part of it was in Glasgow Maryhill; I went to school in this latter section, and remember the election posters in the neighbourhood for Jim Craigen and then Maria Fyfe.
Does the relitivley strong Lib Dem presance here have anything to do with the fact that part of the seat was in the pre 1997 Glasgow Hillhead seat that was represented by Roy Jenkins in the 1980′s?
Hillhead was an independent borough prior to being annexed by Glasgow in 1912 or so.
It was Kelvindale, Kelvinside, Jordanhill, Dowanhill, Hyndland and Hillhead.
Once annexed by Glasgow it became the Glasgow Hillhead constituency.
When Glasgow Partick was abolished in 1950, Partick East Ward extended to include Hillhead and Partick East (with Hillhead) was all included in the revised Hillhead.
The was a Labour constituency in 1945 called Glasgow St Rollox (that was Woodside and Cowcaddens wards). In 1950 it annexed North Kelvin(side) from Glasgow Maryhill to become a Tory marginal of Glasgow Woodside.
In 1955, Cowcaddens was lost to Glasgow Central while Partick East (& Hillhead) was gained from Hillhead.
In 1974, Glasgow Woodside was abolished ….or was it?
Partick East, North Kelvin and Woodside wards all joined Glasgow Kelvingrove while the eastern half of Kelvingroves the Exchange ward went to Glasgow Central. Anderston remained.
In 1983, North Kelvin and Woodside joined Glasgow Maryhill and Partick East and Anderston joined Glasgow Hillhead.
Hillhead was therefore out of Glasgow Hillhead for 28 years.
The Lib Dem candidate here, Katy Gordon, has now been selected as #1 on the Glasgow Lib Dem list for the 2011 Holyrood election
I wonder if the LDs are capable of holding on to their only list seat in Glasgow at the SP election? George Galloway is also planning to stand for the Glasgow list and claims he could get elected with 10-15000 votes.
Who is replacing Bill Aitken?
Davina Rankin by any chance?
How safe is the Conservatives Glasgow list seat.
@ABrown I doubt they are capable of that. The last time they came third on the Glasgow list with 7.15% of the vote, getting just under .5% more than the tories and just about 2% more than the Greens, who were on 5.2%. The SNP got 4 seats (+Sturgeon won Govan), the aforementioned parties got one MSP each. IF the SNP lose Glasgow Southside, they stand a reasonable chance of getting a fifth list seat if their list vote holds up. If that is the case, the tories are likely to take one of the seats (it’s a fairly static vote) while the Greens have a decent chance of beating the Lib Dems into fifth with a swing of just 1% needed. If you add George Galloway into the equation, and he’s bound to take a lot off the SNP, Labour and the Greens (perhaps the LDs though I suspect they’re more likely to go Green), then it looks like the Glasgow Lib Dems’ metaphorical jacket is on a very shoogly peg.
The Glasgow Region should be renamed ‘Glasgow & Rutherglen’.
@ Dalek,
I don’t believe Davina Rankin is standing so I am not sure who will be first on the list. The members within Glasgow choose so I think probably the Pollokshields councillor who is standing in Southside.
To answer Adam’s question I’m guessing that the relative strength of the Lib Dems here is probably down to the doggedness of Elspeth Attwooll, who was an indefatigable serial candidate (when not lecturing in Jurisprudence at Glasgow University). Her efforts at Council and Westminster level all failed, but she eventually won election to the European Parliament.
Elspeth Attwool stood in Glasgow Maryhill from the mid 1970′s onwards.
She came second and polled over 22% in Glasgow Maryhill in 1983, only to fall back to 14% in 1987.
Glasgow Hillhead 1982 by-election declaration:
htttp://bit.ly/exyZAf