Filton and Bradley Stoke
2010 Results:
Conservative: 19686 (40.76%)
Labour: 12772 (26.44%)
Liberal Democrat: 12197 (25.25%)
BNP: 1328 (2.75%)
UKIP: 1506 (3.12%)
Green: 441 (0.91%)
Christian: 199 (0.41%)
Others: 172 (0.36%)
Majority: 6914 (14.32%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 14742 (35.7%)
Labour: 13541 (32.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 11243 (27.2%)
Other: 1820 (4.4%)
Majority: 1201 (2.9%)
New seat: Filton and Bradley Stoke is largely made up of the old Bristol North-West, whose extent is now limited to the City of Bristol unitary authority, along with parts of the former Northavon and Kingswood constituencies.
Profile: Filton, a suburb of Bristol, is a centre for the aviation industry. Parts for the Airbus A380 are manufactured in Airbus`s Filton plant before being shipped to Broughton for assembly. The large Bradley Stoke housing development was built in the late 1980s and now forms a dormitory suburb for Bristol. The constituency also includes the villages of Almondsbury and Severn Beach to the West.
Current MP: Jack Lopresti (Conservative) Mortgage broker and former estate agent. Bristol councillor until 2007. Contested Bristol East 2001. Contested South-West region in the 2004 European Election.
Jack Lopresti (Conservative) Mortgage broker and former estate agent. Bristol councillor until 2007. Contested Bristol East 2001. Contested South-West region in the 2004 European Election.
Ian Boulton (Labour) Small businessman.
Peter Tyzack (Liberal Democrat) South Gloucestershire councillor. Contested Bristol East 1997, Bristol North West 2001
Jon Lucas (Green) Writer and adult education teacher
John Knight (UKIP)
David Scott (BNP) 
Ruth Johnson (Christian Party) Romantic novellist.Vote Zero None of the Above (Independent) Original named Eric Mutch. Cafe worker.2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 82640
Male: 49.6%
Female: 50.4%
Under 18: 22.5%
Over 60: 18.7%
Born outside UK: 5.1%
White: 96.4%
Black: 0.6%
Asian: 1.3%
Mixed: 1%
Other: 0.8%
Christian: 71.6%
Muslim: 0.6%
Full time students: 3.5%
Graduates 16-74: 20.9%
No Qualifications 16-74: 21.4%
Owner-Occupied: 80%
Social Housing: 10% (Council: 7.6%, Housing Ass.: 2.4%)
Privately Rented: 7.6%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 4.5%
you had mine yet cardwell?
I’ve had a Lib Dem leaflet (so has my other half), two from the tories, one BNP and one UKIP.
I’ve already decided who i’m going to vote for but well done to Zero, I can see where you are coming from. What I can’t quite see is why you have had to explain yourself several times!
I do now think the LDs will be second here, but not first.
+ expect a larger than average swing to the Tories here, and possibly in Thornbury & Yate, and Kingswood,
but not in seats wholly within Bristol.
I agree with with “Zero…”, we are in desparate need of Electorial reform, something that promotes more parties, and the involvement of real people in local politics.
My main point it to discourage any thought of Tactical Voting in F & BS, as without any history, this is the first opportunity for you (and me) to let our neighbours know the true balance of opinion in the area.
I recommend the yahoo party matcher if you want to do a quick comparison your issues and the national policies of the main parties.
This is a tough one. The LDs are locally pretty strong but they are much less so in the Bristol city part of the seat. I think simply because of sheer luck on the vote split it’ll be CON HOLD
In theory, this should be a fascinating three way marginal, but it isn’t in reality and I think Bristol North West is the more interesting seat in the area.
Barnaby,
There is no Bristol city part of the seat. It is now all in S. Glos.
I assume Barnaby means physically rather than politically part of Bristol. That’s how non-political folk think. Filton is to all intents and purposes part of Bristol, regardless of the fact it’s a different Council. Winterbourne and the area north of Cribbs Causeway clearly aren’t, and Bradley Stoke isn’t really.
Yes I meant Filton, inasmuch as it was previously in Bristol NW.
The LDs looked quite grumpy at the declaration of this seat, which was shown on a local BBC Bristol channel.
Perhaps they thought they should have been second, or even won.