Fife North East
2010 Results:
Conservative: 8715 (21.75%)
Labour: 6869 (17.15%)
Liberal Democrat: 17763 (44.34%)
SNP: 5685 (14.19%)
UKIP: 1032 (2.58%)
Majority: 9048 (22.59%)
2005 Results:
Liberal Democrat: 20088 (52.1%)
Conservative: 7517 (19.5%)
Labour: 4920 (12.8%)
SNP: 4011 (10.4%)
Other: 2020 (5.2%)
Majority: 12571 (32.6%)
Boundary changes prior to 2005 election.
2001 Result
Conservative: 8190 (23.6%)
Labour: 3950 (11.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 17926 (51.7%)
SNP: 3596 (10.4%)
Other: 1030 (3%)
Majority: 9736 (28.1%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 11076 (26.5%)
Labour: 4301 (10.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 21432 (51.2%)
SNP: 4545 (10.9%)
Referendum: 485 (1.2%)
Majority: 10356 (24.8%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Menzies Campbell(Liberal Democrat) born 1941, Glasgow. Educated at Hillhead High School and the University of Glasgow. Former Olympic sprinter, competing in the 1964 Olympics. Advocate, specialising in planning and licensing. Contested Greenock and Port Glasgow February and October 1974, East Fife 1979, Fife North East 1983 for the Liberal Party. First elected as Liberal MP for North East Fife in 1987. Deputy leader of the Liberal Democrats from 2003 as well as their foreign affairs spokesman. He was a prominent figures in oppsition to the Iraq war and was perceived as a serious figure with gravitas in contrast to Charles Kennedy. Following Kennedy`s resignation he became interim leader and won the subsequent leadershp election, defeating Simon Hughes and Chris Huhne. His brief leadership lasted only 18 months, during which Campbell was ridiculed in the media for his age, before resigning in October 2007 (more information at They work for you)
Miles Briggs (Conservative) Educated at Perth Grammar School and Robert Gordon University. Political Advisor. 
Mark Hood (Labour) Menzies Campbell(Liberal Democrat) born 1941, Glasgow. Educated at Hillhead High School and the University of Glasgow. Former Olympic sprinter, competing in the 1964 Olympics. Advocate, specialising in planning and licensing. Contested Greenock and Port Glasgow February and October 1974, East Fife 1979, Fife North East 1983 for the Liberal Party. First elected as Liberal MP for North East Fife in 1987. Deputy leader of the Liberal Democrats from 2003 as well as their foreign affairs spokesman. He was a prominent figures in oppsition to the Iraq war and was perceived as a serious figure with gravitas in contrast to Charles Kennedy. Following Kennedy`s resignation he became interim leader and won the subsequent leadershp election, defeating Simon Hughes and Chris Huhne. His brief leadership lasted only 18 months, during which Campbell was ridiculed in the media for his age, before resigning in October 2007 (more information at They work for you)
Rod Campbell (SNP) born 1953, Edinburgh. Educated at Reading School and Exeter University. Solicitor. Contested Roxburgh and Berwickshire 2001, 2003 Scottish elections, North East Fife 2005 and 2007 Scottish elections.
Mike Scott-Hayward (UKIP) Educated at Mansfield High SChool. HM Coastguard watchkeeper, formerly served in the Royal Artillery. Fife councillor. Contested Dunfermline West 1992, Edinburgh Central 1997, North East Fife 2001, 2005 for the Conservatives.2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 78856
Male: 47.7%
Female: 52.3%
Under 18: 21.4%
Over 60: 23.8%
Born outside UK: 5.7%
White: 98.6%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 0.4%
Mixed: 0.3%
Other: 0.5%
Christian: 65.2%
Graduates 16-74: 27.2%
No Qualifications 16-74: 23.6%
Owner-Occupied: 69.1%
Social Housing: 16.5% (Council: 14.1%, Housing Ass.: 2.4%)
Privately Rented: 11.2%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 4.4%
Pete: no offence taken; and yes, you’re right, they do need to get a life. Apart from anything else, modern council boundaries often don’t follow traditional counties. (Perhaps they’re a bit embarrassed about DC&T in retrospect?)
Andy: no idea, except possibly that all the Scottish councils are unitaries (though there must be some English metropolitan/London proposed seats, or Welsh proposed seats, of which the same could be said). The BCS decided from the outset this time that they wouldn’t have any seat containing territory from more than two council areas, unless utterly unavoidable. They also stated that having a small number of councils grouped together makes it easier to hold local enquiries, which is a reasonable point.
John: agree that this isn’t the place to discuss Linlithgow or Edinburgh, though perhaps you could post your thoughts on Falkirk or Linlithgow & Falkirk East page. FWIW, I group together Edinburgh, West Lothian and Falkirk (minus Denny/Banknock), and East Dunbartonshire, Glasgow, and the six Ayrshire and Renfrewshire authorities. Re Fife/P&K: did you just include Kinross with Fife, or any other parts of south Perthshire?
“Dunbartonshire East 80368: whole council minus the parts of Bearsden South ward that lie south of the Westerton-Singer railway line (451 electors, apparently, and the only way of getting to the rest of East Dunbartonshire without going into Glasgow is a pedestrian footbridge at Westerton railway station)”
I think I am right in saying that of the various permutations of Strathkelvin & Bearsden (Westminster and Holyrood) that Bearsden has been virtually detached from Strathkelvin.
Glasgow Pollok from 1983 to 1997 was in two parts.
The Pollok council estate (Pollok, Cowglen, South Nitshill and Arden wards) was divided from Pollokshields and Shawlands wards by the convergance of Mosspark Ward (then Glasgow Govan) and Pollokshaws Ward (then Glasgow Cathcart) close to Pollok House.
This could have been avoided by placing Pollokshields and Shawlands in Glasgow Govan and Penilee and Cardonald in Glasgow Pollok in 1983 – more or less the post 1997 boundaries.
Would there be any truth in the assertion that most of the Tory strength in this constituency comes from older voters? If that’s correct I suppose it’s just as true for the rest of Scotland as well.
Unsurprising backlash against the Cupar and St andrews boundaries (and also the name) in the vast majority of the comments here but couldn’t find anyone advocating a pairing with Kinross so perhaps Methil will be kept in and the name changed to East Fife?
https://consultation.scottishboundaries.gov.uk/representations/reportid/238
I think this was the only constituency in Scotland at the local elections that the LDs carried.
And that is not particularly surprising. I personally can’t see the Tories ever winning this any day soon, so Campbell will remain the MP here for a bit longer one would imagine.
The LD vote held up quite well in the two rural eastern wards although slumped in St Andrews (which curiously had the lowest turnout in the whole of Fife).
When he retires, the picture may well change though.
Maybe not that much though. This seat seems too genteel for the SNP & Labour, and yet ill-disposed towards the Tories too. The LDs look likely to stay for quite a while longer yet.
Possible result in 2015-
Campbell (Lib Dem)- 15, 367 (39.4%) (-4.94%)
Tory- 7, 632 (19.5%) (-2.25%)
Labour- 7, 445 (19.1%) (+1.95%)
SNP- 6, 963 (17.8%) (+3.61%)
Others- 1, 549. (3.9%) (-1.32%)
Turnout- 38, 956.
Majority for Campbell of 7, 735 (19.8%)
Swing- 1.3% from Lib Dem to Conservative.
I think Campbell will hold this seat if he stands again, but I doubt that he could realistically achieve a 2 to 1 differential in his favour against the runner-up. I reckon the SNP would beat Labour here & very likely the Conservatives too.
on current boundaries I reckon:
LD 36
SNP 21
Lab 20
Con 19
others 4
I can’t see Ming’s retiral making too much difference on the basis of the local election results.