Feltham and Heston
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 19166 (48.3%)
Conservative: 11405 (28.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 6516 (16.4%)
Other: 2626 (6.6%)
Majority: 7760 (19.5%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 10921 (29.3%)
Labour: 17741 (47.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 6177 (16.6%)
Green: 815 (2.2%)
UKIP: 612 (1.6%)
Other: 1016 (2.7%)
Majority: 6820 (18.3%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 8749 (24.2%)
Labour: 21406 (59.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 4998 (13.8%)
Other: 1024 (2.8%)
Majority: 12657 (35%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 12563 (26.9%)
Labour: 27836 (59.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 4264 (9.1%)
Referendum: 1099 (2.4%)
Other: 859 (1.8%)
Majority: 15273 (32.8%)
Boundary changes: Minor changes to bring boundaries into line with ward boundaries. Gains parts of Heston East, Heston Central and Hounslow West.
Profile: Feltham and Heston are the south and east of Heathrow airport respectively, and the airport is both a major source of local employment and, due to its possible expansion, a major political issue locally. Feltham was traditionally an area of blue collar Labour strength, but with the right to buy it is increasingly owner-occupied and has become the more Conservative half of the seat. It is also home to Feltham Young Offenders Institute. Heston meanwhile, once the more Conservative part of the seat, is now hom to a large Sikh community and strongly Labour.
The seat was Conservative between 1983 and 1992, but in 1997 and 2001 Labour managed to secure a huge majority with nearing 60% of the vote. The Conservatives enjoyed an 8.4% swing in 2005 and have enjoyed success at local elections, but the Labour majority is still substantial and further bolstered by the boundary changes. It would take an even larger swing than in 2005 for the Conservatives to take the seat.
Outgoing MP: Alan Keen(Labour) born 1937, Lewisham. Educated at St William Turner School, Redcar. Former computer systems analyst and manager. Hounslow councillor 1986-1990. MP for Feltham and Heston since 1992. PPS to Stephen Timms 1999-2001. He is married to Ann Keen, MP for Brentford and Isleworth (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: 
Mark Bowen (Conservative) IT project leader for British Airways. Deputy leader of Hounslow council. Contested Feltham and Heston 2005.Alan Keen(Labour) born 1937, Lewisham. Educated at St William Turner School, Redcar. Former computer systems analyst and manager. Hounslow councillor 1986-1990. MP for Feltham and Heston since 1992. PPS to Stephen Timms 1999-2001. He is married to Ann Keen, MP for Brentford and Isleworth (more information at They work for you)
Munira Wilson (Liberal Democrat) born 1978, London. Educated at Cambridge University. Former accountant and researcher for Nick Clegg MP. Richmond upon Thames councillor since 2006.
Elizabeth Anstis (Green) Contested Feltham and Heston 2005.
Jerry Shadbolt (UKIP) Born 1956. Formerly served in the Royal Navy.John Donnelly (BNP)
Roger Cooper (English Democrat) Born 1945, Hertfordshire. Catering consultant. Contested South West and Londonwide list in 2008 London elections. Contested London region in 2009 European elections.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 106998
Male: 49.6%
Female: 50.4%
Under 18: 25.7%
Over 60: 15.4%
Born outside UK: 29%
White: 59.8%
Black: 4.1%
Asian: 30.7%
Mixed: 2.8%
Other: 2.7%
Christian: 48.8%
Hindu: 8.5%
Muslim: 10.1%
Sikh: 12.1%
Full time students: 5.1%
Graduates 16-74: 19.3%
No Qualifications 16-74: 28.8%
Owner-Occupied: 62.4%
Social Housing: 25.7% (Council: 18.4%, Housing Ass.: 7.3%)
Privately Rented: 8.7%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 6%
Was Heston (and its somewhat infamous aerodrome) in Brentford 1885-1918, Twickenham 1918-45, Heston and Isleworth 1945-74 and Feltham and Heston since 1974?
Was Heston (and its somewhat infamous aerodrome) in Brentford 1885-1918, Twickenham 1918-45, Heston and Isleworth 1945-74 and Feltham and Heston since then?
Heston was indeed in those seats you list. However from 1955 when the Feltham seat was created it included parts of the Heston & Isleworth UD including the Heston West ward which covered the site of the aerodrome
Comparison of census figures from 1981 and 2001 for Feltham&Heston, with 1981 figures in brackets:
Owner occupied: 62.4% (52.7%)
Local authority: 25.7% (34.7%)
Non-white: 40.2% (19.6%)
Andy – I have woken up to your posting of census return data from 1981 and 2001 on various constituencies. I have only read three, but not seen any commentary you have made. Are you trying to make any particular points? Have I missed your comments? If so which constituency are they on?
The 2001 census also found that 1% of households in London did not have their own toilet or bath. At the time I thought the “how many toilets do you have?” question, including the option of zero, to be slightly odd. Clearly though there were enough households in London existing in sufficiently reduced circumstances for this question to be relevant for the figure to show up in the final published statistics.
Tim13 – I just think they’re interesting. People can take whatever points they want from them.
I still think this prediction is correct.
It is winnable by the Conservatives, but a Labour hold as below is the most likely.
”
This seat could go Conservative, given the improvements from 2002 onwards.
I think the BNP will stand – but they won’t do well – if you were racist, you wouldn’t live here.
My most likely would have to be this.
May 2010 most likely
Lab 19,264 43.0% -5.3%
C 16,979 37.9% +9.2%
LD 5,376 12.0% -4.4%
BNP 1,389 3.1%
Grn 1,165 2.6%
UKIP 627 1.4%
Total votes 44,800
Lab majority 2,285 5.1% (-14.4%)
Lab Hold
Swing 7.3% from Lab to C
November 12th, 2008 at 11:36 pm
“
Lib Dems here then, obviously, have a lot of thinking to do. Do they really want Labour to sneak back in?
‘from 1955 when the Feltham seat was created it included parts of the Heston & Isleworth UD including the Heston West ward which covered the site of the aerodrome’
Does this therefore mean that the aerodrome site itself was in Brentford 1885-1918, Twickenham 1918-45, Heston and Isleworth 1945-55, Feltham 1955-74 & Feltham and Heston since then?
Harry – Yes this is what I’m saying.
“I think the BNP will stand – but they won’t do well – if you were racist, you wouldn’t live here.”
I disagree with this. The BNP have done quite well in the Feltham half of this seat in eg the GLA elections. They wont get a very high figure overall, because 40% of the population is non-white which leaves them targetting a smaller proportion of the eletcorate.
But this isnt a seat like Streatham where the ethnic minorities are spread around all over – the kiind of ‘multi-cultural’ area where the white population are tending to be the type of people who welcome such a milieu. It is a starkly divided seat of two halves.
While the white figure is 60% overall in the constituency, in the five wards covering the Feltham area it is 83% White. In the five wards to the north covering Heston (plus Cranford and Hounslow West) it is 37% white. I cant think of another seat in London which is quite so clearly demarcated along racial lines. Remember also that not everyone has complete control over where they live. Moving away from an area is not always an option, particularly for elderley people or those who survive on benfits and live in social housing. There are not a few in that category in the Feltham area
The BNP will be contesting this seat, our candidate is local businessman, John Donnelly. We will also be fielding a full slate of council candidates.
Ladbrokes:
Labour 4/6
Conservatives 11/10
Liberal Democrats 100/1
BNP 100/1
From “another place”, John Donnelly to stand for the BNP here.
From another place? That information was posted in this place almost a month ago and two posts before yours. Keep up doktorb