Elmet and Rothwell
2010 Results:
Conservative: 23778 (42.62%)
Labour: 19257 (34.52%)
Liberal Democrat: 9109 (16.33%)
BNP: 1802 (3.23%)
UKIP: 1593 (2.86%)
Independent: 250 (0.45%)
Majority: 4521 (8.1%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 24642 (44.7%)
Conservative: 18347 (33.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 9617 (17.4%)
Other: 2514 (4.6%)
Majority: 6295 (11.4%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 17732 (37.6%)
Labour: 22260 (47.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 5923 (12.6%)
BNP: 1231 (2.6%)
Majority: 4528 (9.6%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 17867 (38.9%)
Labour: 22038 (48%)
Liberal Democrat: 5001 (10.9%)
UKIP: 1031 (2.2%)
Majority: 4171 (9.1%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 19569 (36.2%)
Labour: 28348 (52.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 4691 (8.7%)
Referendum: 1487 (2.7%)
Majority: 8779 (16.2%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Alec Shelbrooke (Conservative)
Alec Shelbrooke (Conservative)
James Lewis (Labour) Leeds councillor since 2003.
Stewart Golton (Liberal Democrat)
Darren Oddy (UKIP)
Sam Clayton (BNP)
Christopher Nolan (Independent)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 99014
Male: 48.8%
Female: 51.2%
Under 18: 21.8%
Over 60: 22.8%
Born outside UK: 2.8%
White: 98.4%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 0.7%
Mixed: 0.5%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 80.6%
Jewish: 0.6%
Full time students: 2%
Graduates 16-74: 18.7%
No Qualifications 16-74: 28.6%
Owner-Occupied: 79%
Social Housing: 14.6% (Council: 13.2%, Housing Ass.: 1.4%)
Privately Rented: 3.8%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 9.1%



Pete and Richard,
thanks for taking me through the figures on this very interesting marginal.
Leeds as a whole is about 25% public sector employment – again need to trace the exact figure for Wetherby,
so 25% employment level in public sector,
and 23.6% increase in 1998-2008.
This is the first time that Rothwell has not had a Labour MP since 1904. It had not previously been represented by a Conservative MP since 1880
I can’t think of any other towns which were represented by other than a Conservative MP for the entire 20th century but have a Conservative MP now.
Solihull is a rare example of the opposite – a town which was represented by a Conservative MP throughout the whole of the last century (and most of the previous century) but does not have a Conservative MP now.
I don’t think there is one
Colne Valley a Pennines seat created in 1885 didn’t have a Tory MP until 1987 – in the form of the cash-for-questions right winger Graham Riddick, who held on until 1997
They have a Tory MP now