Comments on: Edinburgh South West

By: Shaun Bennett

Shaun Bennett — Sat, 07 May 2011 13:30:44 +0000

Very rarely do the losing candidates actually deserve to lose Calum.

David McLetchie is however in very fine company and perhaps should be consoled by that. He’s in much better company I suspect with the ‘losers’ than he would have been amongst the ‘winners’!

By: A Brown

A Brown — Sat, 07 May 2011 13:18:03 +0000

@Calum Smith

Yes this was a shock for me too, I was convinced McLetchie’s vote wouldn’t fall below 33% and that he would narrowly hold on.

Both my parents actually voted for McLetchie and neither of them had voted tory last year

By: Calum Smith

Calum Smith — Sat, 07 May 2011 13:15:29 +0000

Pretty disastrous result for the Tories here. I don’t think McLetchie deserved to lose, he seemed to be a good constituency MSP, but was clearly affected by the SNP surge throughout Scotland. I don’t understand why he got less than 10,000 votes though – it seems strange that people switched from Tory to SNP in this particular seat.

By: Dalek

Dalek — Mon, 06 Dec 2010 21:35:42 +0000

Mcletchie would have no difficulty under the current boundaries.

If he loses, it will be down to the boundary changes which half his majority.

By: A Brown

A Brown — Mon, 06 Dec 2010 17:53:46 +0000

Edinburgh Pentlands will go down to the wire next year.

Mcletchie has a pretty strong personal vote in Colinton, Fairmilehead etc but the labour vote is more likely to come out in Oxgangs/Firrhill,Longstone etc than last time.

By: A Brown

A Brown — Mon, 29 Nov 2010 11:38:05 +0000

Lib dems held up surprisingly well here at the GE , must of got their vote out in Dalry/Fountainbridge etc.

By: Dalek

Dalek — Wed, 06 Oct 2010 22:59:16 +0000

On the current boundaries, the Tories would hold on.

The new notional boundaries reduce the Tory majority from 4500 to 2500, so the boundary changes could be significant to the outcome.

By: TonyOtim

TonyOtim — Thu, 16 Sep 2010 08:22:39 +0000

I think Pentlands on the notionals falls right into the grey area where Labour may or may not take it on the swing I expect they’ll get next year. NOt quite ready to predict who will win here, but expect it to go right down to the wire. Possible recount territory.

By: Dalek

Dalek — Thu, 16 Sep 2010 06:59:24 +0000

1700 Con Maj in 2001 became 7600 notional Labour majority, so Darling would have won by EP by 2500.

However, Darling would still be MP for Edinburgh Central, and Rust may have had a better chance against Linda Clarke

Had the seat not been abolished and Rifkind stood again then its likely that he would have won in 2005 and just held on on 2010.

By: Barnaby JL Marder

Barnaby JL Marder — Thu, 16 Sep 2010 06:35:32 +0000

Seems very likely to have been LAB HOLD judging from Darling’s result even after making necessary adjustments.