Comments on: East Hampshire

By: Jon Smith

Jon Smith — Fri, 12 Feb 2010 15:58:37 +0000

Michael Mates has had large personal vote and is well respected locally as having been a good constituency MP. So, the Tories should not be taking the seat for granted – and it appears that they haven’t. In my part of the constituency, the Tories have started delivering 4 colour fliers in the last year unlike any elections previously and the LibDems do not appear to have been following suit. I would therefore be surprised if Damian Hinds does not win – but John D may be being a little optimistic.

By: Michael Rumsby

Michael Rumsby — Tue, 29 Sep 2009 17:13:39 +0000

I agree with John D – I know the area and that’s basically what will happen. It’s a shame because Adam Carew seems to me like he’d make a very good MP but there isn’t enough LD support among activists and young people to make it happen.

By: John D

John D — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 09:56:08 +0000

The Tories did well here in June, with about 58% of the vote according to figures provided by Pete on another website (although UKIP doesn’t appear to have contested seats here which probably helped).

Nevertheless, factoring in the notionally increased majority on the new boundaries, I think Damian Hinds should end up with a majority quite comfortably in five figures, with a share of up to 55%.

I think the Lib Dems will tread water here, staying at around 30%, and Labour will fall back to about 10%.

By: Pete Whitehead

Pete Whitehead — Thu, 01 Jan 2009 23:13:34 +0000

Very different boundaries but nevertheless it was a poor performance by Michael Mates who had represented most of the area for over 30 years.

By: Andy Stidwill

Andy Stidwill — Thu, 01 Jan 2009 18:53:30 +0000

It was a pretty poor result for the Tories in 2005 – for them to only win by 10% a seat which (albeit with different boundaries) gave them their second biggest numerical majority in 1992 of about 29,000 votes and a percentage margin of nearly 40%.

By: Barnaby Marder

Barnaby Marder — Thu, 01 Jan 2009 11:48:21 +0000

Shouldn’t have thought so. The gap is a substantial one & some of the better LD areas have now been transferred to Meon Valley. Most LD activists will be working there or in Winchester and I’d expect a comfortable Conservative victory here.

By: Lib Dem Lennie

Lib Dem Lennie — Wed, 31 Dec 2008 14:19:24 +0000

So with Michael “Eyebrows” Mates standing down do the Lib Dems have a chance. I hear not but I am intererested what ppl here think.

By: Andy Stidwill

Andy Stidwill — Fri, 09 May 2008 17:43:23 +0000

Surely Adam Carew is free to support whoever he wants.

By: Jonathan

Jonathan — Fri, 09 May 2008 15:14:46 +0000

“Adam Carew the Lib Dem candidate was brought up here and unlike the others knows the area very well.”

He mustn’t know the area that well, otherwise he’d have joined the tory party for it is they who will win here.

By: Anthony Wells

Anthony Wells — Thu, 17 Jan 2008 09:53:49 +0000

Shaun –

John – welcome to UKPollingReport, always good to have local insight into seats. As a new voice though, can I point you to the comments policy (linked to in the grey box below the comments form) specifically that the point of the comments here are for us all to discuss electoral politics on neutral ground without attacking each others parties, and certainly “not to criticise rival candidates, nor to harp on about how your wonderful your candidate is.”