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Ealing North

2010 Results:
Conservative: 14722 (30.88%)
Labour: 24023 (50.39%)
Liberal Democrat: 6283 (13.18%)
BNP: 1045 (2.19%)
UKIP: 685 (1.44%)
Green: 505 (1.06%)
Christian: 415 (0.87%)
Majority: 9301 (19.51%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 19823 (46.7%)
Conservative: 12130 (28.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 8001 (18.9%)
Other: 2460 (5.8%)
Majority: 7693 (18.1%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 13897 (29.9%)
Labour: 20956 (45.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 9148 (19.7%)
Green: 1319 (2.8%)
UKIP: 692 (1.5%)
Other: 495 (1.1%)
Majority: 7059 (15.2%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 13185 (29.3%)
Labour: 25022 (55.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 5043 (11.2%)
UKIP: 668 (1.5%)
Green: 1039 (2.3%)
Majority: 11837 (26.3%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 20744 (37.2%)
Labour: 29904 (53.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 3887 (7%)
Other: 1191 (2.1%)
Majority: 7170 (12.9%)

Boundary changes: loses large parts of Hanger Hill and Ealing Broadway to the new Ealing Central and Acton seat, while gaining part of Greenford from Ealing Southall

Profile: A north-west London seat, bi-sected by the A40. The seat covers Northolt, Greenford and Perivale and is mostly relatively homogenous semi-detached suburbia built in the 1920s and 1930s as a dormitory for Ealing, along with some slightly later built council housing. There is a substantial ethnic minority community, but not the degree of neighbours Ealing Southall or Brent North. There is also a substantial Polish community.

Ealing North is a classic marginal that has largely matched the ebbs and flows of the national political picture (though not one of the best bellwether seats as it remained Labour in 1970), historically it has seen some extreme swings, sometimes thanks to local issues. The new boundaries make it slightly safer for Labour and the Conservatives would require an impressive swing to come close to taking the seat, but then, this is a politically volatile area.

portraitCurrent MP: Stephen Pound(Labour) born 1948, Hammersmith. Educated at Hertford Grammar and (as a mature student after working as a seaman and bus conducter) the LSE. Formerly area housing manager of Paddington churches housing association. Ealing councillor from 1982-1998. First elected as MP for Ealing North in 1997. PPS to Hazel Blears between 2005 and 2007, when he resigned over the decision to replace Trident. Normally a Labour loyalist and a self-depreciating Parliamentary wit, Pound famously volunteered in 2003 to pilot through a private members bill on a subject voted for by listeners to Radio 4`s Today programme and quoted Dick Tuck in response to listeners` eventual decision to vote for a “Tony Martin Bill” allowing householders to use force against burgulars: “The people have spoken, the bastards” (more information at They work for you)

2010 election candidates:
portraitIan Gibb (Conservative) Educated at Bradford University. Concrete engineer. Ealing councillor since 1992. Contested Warwickshire North in 2005.
portraitStephen Pound(Labour) born 1948, Hammersmith. Educated at Hertford Grammar and (as a mature student after working as a seaman and bus conducter) the LSE. Formerly area housing manager of Paddington churches housing association. Ealing councillor from 1982-1998. First elected as MP for Ealing North in 1997. PPS to Hazel Blears between 2005 and 2007, when he resigned over the decision to replace Trident. Normally a Labour loyalist and a self-depreciating Parliamentary wit, Pound famously volunteered in 2003 to pilot through a private members bill on a subject voted for by listeners to Radio 4`s Today programme and quoted Dick Tuck in response to listeners` eventual decision to vote for a “Tony Martin Bill” allowing householders to use force against burgulars: “The people have spoken, the bastards” (more information at They work for you)
portraitChris Lucas (Liberal Democrat)
portraitChristopher Warleigh-Lack (Green)
portraitIan de Wulverton (UKIP)
portraitDave Furness (BNP)
portraitPetar Ljubisic (Christian Party)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 105848
Male: 48.5%
Female: 51.5%
Under 18: 24.2%
Over 60: 16.9%
Born outside UK: 32.1%
White: 62.7%
Black: 10%
Asian: 19.3%
Mixed: 4.2%
Other: 3.8%
Christian: 58.3%
Hindu: 8.6%
Muslim: 9.7%
Sikh: 3%
Full time students: 5.3%
Graduates 16-74: 26.2%
No Qualifications 16-74: 25.6%
Owner-Occupied: 67.1%
Social Housing: 20.4% (Council: 15.5%, Housing Ass.: 4.9%)
Privately Rented: 10.4%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 8.8%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide