Comments on: Dundee East

By: A Cairns

A Cairns — Thu, 13 Oct 2011 10:40:22 +0000

The boundary commission has proposed a Dundee East and the Glens seat (taking in all of Kirriemuir ward).

Can’t say I like the look of it.

By: Esgrad

Esgrad — Sun, 09 Jan 2011 00:24:04 +0000

Predictions for May 2011 Scottish Parliament election

SNP – 12000
Lab – 9000
Con – 3000
LD – 2000

By: A Brown

A Brown — Wed, 24 Nov 2010 12:59:40 +0000

Dundee City East 2011

SNP 13300
Lab 12200
Con 3900
LD 1500

By: Dalek

Dalek — Sat, 09 Oct 2010 15:23:40 +0000

Yes….the boundary changes which have transformed Perth into Perthshire South & Kinross have made this seat a lesser prospect for Labour.

Simply, East Perth was much more Labour than Kinross-shire.

By: Calum W

Calum W — Sat, 09 Oct 2010 15:17:45 +0000

Shouldn’t it be easier for Labour to win the Western Isles than Perthshire South and Kinross in general? I understand that locally it appears to have moved quite safely to the SNP and is less likely to respond to national swings but it was Labour up to 2005 and Labour are the only real challengers, while in PS+K coming a decent third is a realistic target for Labour.

By: A Brown

A Brown — Sat, 09 Oct 2010 14:53:33 +0000

Basically it’s a hell of a lot easier for Labour to get 60 seats than 65.

By: A Brown

A Brown — Fri, 08 Oct 2010 21:00:18 +0000

actually for the 65th seat not a list seat in the northeast
lets say Perthshire South and Kinross instead.

By: A Brown

A Brown — Fri, 08 Oct 2010 20:35:59 +0000

@Dalek again this is purely theoretical but I reckon the way labour is most likely to get a majority (i.e. 65 seats) is by winning 59/73 FPTP seats

i.e. all the seats except

Aberdeenshire East
Aberdeenshire West
Angus North
Angus South
Argyll & Bute
Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Ettrick
Caithness, Sutherland & Ross
Fife North east
Perthshire North
Perthshire South/Kinross
Orkney
Shetland
Skye Lochaber and Badenoch
Western Isles

+ 5 list seats in the highlands
and possibly 1 list seat in North east Scotland

By: A Brown

A Brown — Wed, 06 Oct 2010 23:03:09 +0000

It might be possible if they got around 1.1 -1.2m votes and their vote was distributed correctly.

Personally Lab+Grn =65 would be my favoured result.
A bit of a stretch maybe.

By: Dalek

Dalek — Wed, 06 Oct 2010 22:54:26 +0000

In the extreem event of Labour polling in the high forties next May, is it possible that they could win a majority of Holyrood seats?

If they won a huge majority of FPTP constituency seats (which there are many more of), surely they would not be enough regional list seats to prevent an overall majority?

If Labour were to win 60 of the 129 seats, 9 seats short, there surely would be a minority Labour government. A Lib Lab pact is almost as unlikely as a Con Lab pact.

Will the Scottish Government revert to being called the Scottish Executive?