East Dunbartonshire
2010 Results:
Conservative: 7431 (15.5%)
Labour: 16367 (34.13%)
Liberal Democrat: 18551 (38.69%)
SNP: 5054 (10.54%)
UKIP: 545 (1.14%)
Majority: 2184 (4.56%)
2005 Results:
Liberal Democrat: 19533 (41.8%)
Labour: 15472 (33.1%)
Conservative: 7708 (16.5%)
SNP: 2716 (5.8%)
Other: 1295 (2.8%)
Majority: 4061 (8.7%)
Boundary changes prior to 2005 election: Name of seat changed from Strathkelvin and Bearsden.
2001 Result
Conservative: 6635 (16%)
Labour: 19250 (46.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 7533 (18.2%)
SNP: 6675 (16.1%)
Other: 1393 (3.4%)
Majority: 11717 (28.2%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 9986 (20.1%)
Labour: 26278 (52.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 4843 (9.7%)
SNP: 8111 (16.3%)
Referendum: 339 (0.7%)
Other: 155 (0.3%)
Majority: 16292 (32.8%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Jo Swinson(Liberal Democrat) Educated at Douglas Academy and the LSE. Former marketing manager. Contested Hull East 2001 and Strathkelvin and Bearsden in 2003 Scottish Parliament election. First elected as MP for East Dunbartonshire in 2005, becoming the `baby of the House` (the youngest MP). Foreign affairs spokesman since 2007 (more information at They work for you)
Mark Nolan (Conservative) Educated at Coltness High and Glasgow University. Contested Motherwell and Wishaw 2001 and 2003 Scottish Parliament election.
Mary Galbraith (Labour) born Kintyre. Educated at Glasgow University. Management consultant. Contested Highlands and Islands list 1999 Scottish elections, Argyll and Bute 2007 Scottish elections.Jo Swinson(Liberal Democrat) Educated at Douglas Academy and the LSE. Former marketing manager. Contested Hull East 2001 and Strathkelvin and Bearsden in 2003 Scottish Parliament election. First elected as MP for East Dunbartonshire in 2005, becoming the `baby of the House` (the youngest MP). Foreign affairs spokesman since 2007 (more information at They work for you)
Iain White (SNP) Educated at Glasgow Univeristy. Small businessman. Contested Ayr and South of Scotland list in 2007 Scottish elections.James Beeley (UKIP)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 84591
Male: 48.1%
Female: 51.9%
Under 18: 24.2%
Over 60: 21.9%
Born outside UK: 4.2%
White: 96.3%
Asian: 2.6%
Mixed: 0.3%
Other: 0.8%
Christian: 70.9%
Hindu: 0.6%
Muslim: 0.8%
Sikh: 1%
Graduates 16-74: 32%
No Qualifications 16-74: 21.5%
Owner-Occupied: 86.5%
Social Housing: 9.9% (Council: 8.8%, Housing Ass.: 1.1%)
Privately Rented: 2.3%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 2.4%
Barnaby: I have checked on ElectionMaps and the Campsie & Kirkintilloch North ward is in the Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East constituency.
thanks Andy
‘I’d have thought a Labour gain highly likely. Although the Tories are clearly suffering badly from the tactical position despite a mildly encourging result in 2007. It may still be quite close but Ikm not sure how this is redrawn as it may have been re revised. The size of the snp vote may be joker in pack but I suspect it won’t go up all that much’
Extrapolating from the local elections I’d guess
Lab 1st, LD 2nd, SNP 3rd, Con 4th is the most likely order here.
This must be the only constituency that has been held by four different political parties since World War 2.
1945 – 1974 (Feb) Lab
1974 (Feb) – 1974 (Oct) Con
1974 (Oct) – 1979 SNP
1979 – 1983 Lab
1983 – 1987 Con
1987 – 2005 Lab
2005 – Lib Dem
(named Strathkelvin & Bearsden between 1983 and 2005)
The SDP came quite close to winning this in 1983. Swinson gained this in 2005 by eating into the SNP vote- notionally the Labour and Tory votes held up well in comparison.
“This must be the only constituency that has been held by four different political parties since World War 2.”
Surely we have done this many times. For a start Anglesey has been held by four different parties. I think Caiuthness & Sutherland if you count Independent as a party or more if you count SDP and Liberal separately.
The boundaries were of course very different when the SNP won this seat as it then included Cumbernauld. I doubt they could have won without Cumbernauld (but its hard to believe that the Conservatives did win with Cumbernauld!)
Castle Point has been held by four different parties since the war technically- Conservative, Labour, UKIP and Independent, though that’s because of Bob Spink.
Most seats in Northern Ireland have been held by four or more parties since the war. Depending on how you count independents and successor parties, Mid Ulster may take the prize:
1950-55: Independent Republican
1955: Sinn Fein
1955-56: Ulster Unionist
1956: Independent Unionist
1956-68: Ulster Unionist
1969-70: Unity
1970-74: Independent Socialist
1974-75: Vanguard
1975-83: United Ulster Unionist
1983-97: Democratic Unionist
1997-: Sinn Fein
Belfast West is also right up there, with six different parties having won elections since WWII.
Oh, and for England, there’s Bradford West – Con, Lab, SDP (by defection) and now Respect.
Local election results May 2012, East Dunbartonshire.
These are the final votes after transfers,
so you not stage 1.
I’d prefer to see stage 1, but given the heavy tactical voting in the seat, the final figures are important.
An Independent came top in Bearsden North.
Unfortunately, from my point of view, the Tories narrowly missed out on a seat in Bearsden.
Milngavie clearly is more Lab/LD inclined.
h ttp://www.eastdunbarton.gov.uk/content/council_and_government/councillors_politics_elections/elections_and_voting/lg_election_results_2012.aspx
Declaration of the old Dunbartonshire East seat
at Cumbernauld.
I think the late Margaret Bain must have been standing to the right (of the viewer).
h ttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G90agww8XbQ&feature=relmfu
2.48 in
2015
Labour: 17232
SNP: 11988
Liberal Democrat: 10322
Conservative: 8988
UKIP: 1232
Not sure about that Dalek –
but you would know the area I think.
I think it’ll be Lab 1st, LD 2nd.
I did make a particular point of visiting it after staying in Edinburgh, then having to fly to Munich from Glasgow in 2006.
Agree the SNP vote is rather unpredictable here – one would have thought it would there would be a ceiling on it given the LD/Lab contest with the Tory rump
but it could surge forward and challenge almost.
I do also suspect the SNP won’t do particularly well atall having lost the referendum.
Maybe up 2% or so as the Lib Dems collapse although I think the LDs will still be somewhat in the frame here unless the Tories can get their act together a bit which looked faintly possible in 2007.