Dudley South
2010 Results:
Conservative: 16450 (43.1%)
Labour: 12594 (33%)
Liberal Democrat: 5989 (15.69%)
UKIP: 3132 (8.21%)
Majority: 3856 (10.1%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 15688 (44%)
Conservative: 12562 (35.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 4517 (12.7%)
Other: 2857 (8%)
Majority: 3126 (8.8%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 13556 (34.5%)
Labour: 17800 (45.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 4808 (12.2%)
BNP: 1841 (4.7%)
UKIP: 1271 (3.2%)
Majority: 4244 (10.8%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 11292 (31.1%)
Labour: 18109 (49.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 5421 (14.9%)
UKIP: 859 (2.4%)
Other: 663 (1.8%)
Majority: 6817 (18.8%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 14097 (29.4%)
Labour: 27124 (56.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 5214 (10.9%)
Referendum: 1467 (3.1%)
Majority: 13027 (27.2%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Chris Kelly (Conservative) born 1978. Educated at Wolverhampton Grammar School and Imperial College. Former researcher for Michael Howard, now Marketing Director of Keltruck, a family truck dealing firm.
Chris Kelly (Conservative) born 1978. Educated at Wolverhampton Grammar School and Imperial College. Former researcher for Michael Howard, now Marketing Director of Keltruck, a family truck dealing firm.Rachel Harris (Labour)Jonathan Brammall (Liberal Democrat)Philip Rowe (UKIP) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 78261
Male: 49.2%
Female: 50.8%
Under 18: 22.4%
Over 60: 21.6%
Born outside UK: 3%
White: 95.1%
Black: 0.8%
Asian: 2.9%
Mixed: 1%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 78.5%
Muslim: 1.7%
Full time students: 2%
Graduates 16-74: 11.3%
No Qualifications 16-74: 38.7%
Owner-Occupied: 71%
Social Housing: 22.2% (Council: 20.5%, Housing Ass.: 1.7%)
Privately Rented: 3.6%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 16%
CON 3500
Con Gain
Maj 1300
Con maj 1,500
CON GAIN
Which parts of this seat were in Dudley West from 1974-1997?
Does anyone think labour would still have won the 1994 by-election if it had been faught using the post 1997 boundaries?
Surely they would have done – their majority was about 20-21,000
and it was about the nadir of the government’s fortunes, with Labour about 40 points ahead (according to the old Gallup system).
I think Dudley North and Dudley South were both notional labour holds in 1997, and Stourbridge and Halesowen and Rowley Regis were labour gains..
Halesowen and Rowley Regis was a knife-edge notional Tory seat in 1992 – yes all four were Labour gains.
Stourbridge had a notional 1992 majority of about 5,000 (10%)
sorry not the Dudley seats.
“Which parts of this seat were in Dudley West from 1974-1997?”
Most of it was. Only the Netherton, Woodside and St Andrews ward was in Dudley East with the other five wards being in Dudley West. Of course these boundaries are more favourable to Labour than those of Dudley West so they would have won the by-election with a bigger percentage majority than they did in West though probably a smaller numerical majority