Dudley South
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 15688 (44%)
Conservative: 12562 (35.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 4517 (12.7%)
Other: 2857 (8%)
Majority: 3126 (8.8%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 13556 (34.5%)
Labour: 17800 (45.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 4808 (12.2%)
BNP: 1841 (4.7%)
UKIP: 1271 (3.2%)
Majority: 4244 (10.8%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 11292 (31.1%)
Labour: 18109 (49.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 5421 (14.9%)
UKIP: 859 (2.4%)
Other: 663 (1.8%)
Majority: 6817 (18.8%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 14097 (29.4%)
Labour: 27124 (56.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 5214 (10.9%)
Referendum: 1467 (3.1%)
Majority: 13027 (27.2%)
Boundary changes
Current MP: Ian Pearson (Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates:
Chris Kelly (Conservative) born 1978. Educated at Wolverhampton Grammar School and Imperial College. Former researcher for Michael Howard, now Marketing Director of Keltruck, a family truck dealing firm.
Philip Rowe (UKIP)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 78261
Male: 49.2%
Female: 50.8%
Under 18: 22.4%
Over 60: 21.6%
Born outside UK: 3%
White: 95.1%
Black: 0.8%
Asian: 2.9%
Mixed: 1%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 78.5%
Muslim: 1.7%
Full time students: 2%
Graduates 16-74: 11.3%
No Qualifications 16-74: 38.7%
Owner-Occupied: 71%
Social Housing: 22.2% (Council: 20.5%, Housing Ass.: 1.7%)
Privately Rented: 3.6%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 16%
21 Responses
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Ruislip Northwood
Con 8198 41.0 % + 8.2 (2007)
Lab 4529 22.7 % - 3.8
LD 3455 17.3 % nc
UKIP 2977 14.9 % -1.8
BNP 508 2.5 % -4.1
Oth 313 1.6 %
In 2007 Conservatives won 2 out of 6 of wards here. This year they won 5
May 3rd, 2008 at 8:30 pmNot knowing the seat I would think the Tories ought to be fairly confident here.
May 4th, 2008 at 5:39 pmThis is a seat with a 3000 Labour majority, and its south of the Trent, where the Con revival seems most prevalent.
It’s a Con gain, I predict.
May 14th, 2008 at 11:43 pmTwickenham (& Richmond Park,Windsor)
On balance, yes, I would say so.
May 15th, 2008 at 12:41 amThings may change, but looking at the trends and break downs of votes, I’d say Conservastive by about 5%.
This is the seat the Tories need to be the largest party. I think they could still win here without being the largest because the swing in the West Midlands seems to le larger than recent local elections.
July 9th, 2008 at 12:58 pmBradford South
I am wondering if the relatively strong Conservative advance here since 1997 has anything to do with the unwinding effect of the Dudley West by-election result of 1994, which saw a 29% swing to Labour.
July 9th, 2008 at 6:42 pmPages: « 1 [2] Show All