Derby North
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 15845 (39.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 12293 (30.6%)
Conservative: 10395 (25.9%)
Other: 1583 (3.9%)
Majority: 3552 (8.9%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 15515 (35.4%)
Labour: 19272 (44%)
Liberal Democrat: 7209 (16.5%)
UKIP: 864 (2%)
Other: 958 (2.2%)
Majority: 3757 (8.6%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 15433 (35%)
Labour: 22415 (50.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 6206 (14.1%)
Majority: 6982 (15.8%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 19229 (34.3%)
Labour: 29844 (53.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 5059 (9%)
Referendum: 1816 (3.2%)
Other: 195 (0.3%)
Majority: 10615 (18.9%)
Boundary changes
Current MP: Bob Laxton (Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates:
Lucy Care (Liberal Democrat) born Derby. Educated at the University of Durham. Chartered engineer. Former Derbyshire County Councillor, Derby Councillor since 1996. Contested Derby South in 2005.
Stephen Mold (Conservative) born 1968, Banbury. Sales and marketing director for a software company
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 90157
Male: 48.5%
Female: 51.5%
Under 18: 21.8%
Over 60: 21.3%
Born outside UK: 6.3%
White: 93.1%
Black: 1.1%
Asian: 3.6%
Mixed: 1.4%
Other: 0.7%
Christian: 70.1%
Hindu: 0.6%
Muslim: 1.3%
Sikh: 1.8%
Full time students: 8.4%
Graduates 16-74: 19.6%
No Qualifications 16-74: 28.4%
Owner-Occupied: 68.6%
Social Housing: 20.5% (Council: 15%, Housing Ass.: 5.5%)
Privately Rented: 8%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 11.3%
Benjamin, May might as well be the dark ages in political terms, LD’s do better in council elections than GE’s; their vote share was high in the face of Labour’s unpopularity, currently Lib Dems are at 12%, and Labour on 37%, that could all change again, who knows, but at this moment, I stand by my prediction of a fairly comfortable hold for Labour with LD’s struggling to get into 2nd.
Benjamin, current numbers based on 2008 local election actual results are as follows:-
Derby North total votes:-
Conservative 8854
Labour 7276
Lib Dem 9680
Anyone who thinks the Lib Dems running the local council won’t effect things is wrong IMO. It’s all been very negative recently and the recent Hilary Jones YouTube video row can’t be helping either.
I’ve said it before, but it will only take 2 or 3 percent swing back to the Conservatives in places like Mickleover, and it’s a game changer. Many of those votes were based on very effective opposition campaigning.
That has now gone and it’s significant. Surely, it will have a big impact on Lib Dem support come the GE?