Delyn
2010 Results:
Conservative: 12811 (34.64%)
Labour: 15083 (40.78%)
Liberal Democrat: 5747 (15.54%)
Plaid Cymru: 1844 (4.99%)
BNP: 844 (2.28%)
UKIP: 655 (1.77%)
Majority: 2272 (6.14%)
2005 Results:
Labour: 15540 (45.7%)
Conservative: 8896 (26.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 6089 (17.9%)
Plaid Cymru: 2524 (7.4%)
Other: 955 (2.8%)
Majority: 6644 (19.5%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 9220 (26.6%)
Labour: 17825 (51.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 5329 (15.4%)
Plaid Cymru: 2262 (6.5%)
Majority: 8605 (24.8%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 10607 (26.7%)
Labour: 22300 (56.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 4160 (10.5%)
Plaid Cymru: 1558 (3.9%)
Referendum: 1117 (2.8%)
Majority: 11693 (29.4%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: David Hanson(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Antoinette Sandbach (Conservative) Educated at Nottingham University. Barrister , now working for David Jones MP. Contested Delyn in the Welsh Assembly elections 2007.David Hanson(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Bill Brereton (Liberal Democrat)Peter Ryder (Plaid Cymru) Andrew Haigh (UKIP) Jennifer Matthys (BNP) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 69627
Male: 49%
Female: 51%
Under 18: 22.6%
Over 60: 21.6%
Born outside UK: 2.4%
White: 99.3%
Mixed: 0.4%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 79.9%
Full time students: 2.3%
Graduates 16-74: 17%
No Qualifications 16-74: 30.2%
Owner-Occupied: 75.2%
Social Housing: 16.6% (Council: 13.7%, Housing Ass.: 2.9%)
Privately Rented: 6%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 6.2%
Labour with a vastly reduced majority of about 1,500 – 2,000 or so would be my best guess here.
No way this will swing to the Tories. Labour hold for sure, no one has a bad word to say about Mr Hanson. Will lose some of his majority though.
Cameron’s visit will have given the Tories a slight boost but nowhere near enough to overturn the Labour majority.