Croydon North
2010 Results:
Conservative: 12466 (24.12%)
Labour: 28949 (56.02%)
Liberal Democrat: 7226 (13.98%)
UKIP: 891 (1.72%)
Green: 1017 (1.97%)
Christian: 586 (1.13%)
Independent: 111 (0.21%)
Others: 432 (0.84%)
Majority: 16483 (31.9%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 24193 (53.7%)
Conservative: 9982 (22.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 7716 (17.1%)
Other: 3129 (6.9%)
Majority: 14210 (31.6%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 9667 (22%)
Labour: 23555 (53.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 7560 (17.2%)
Green: 1248 (2.8%)
UKIP: 770 (1.8%)
Other: 1047 (2.4%)
Majority: 13888 (31.7%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 9752 (23.3%)
Labour: 26610 (63.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 4375 (10.4%)
UKIP: 606 (1.4%)
Other: 539 (1.3%)
Majority: 16858 (40.3%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 14274 (27.2%)
Labour: 32672 (62.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 4066 (7.7%)
Referendum: 1155 (2.2%)
Other: 396 (0.8%)
Majority: 18398 (35%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Malcolm Wicks(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Jason Hadden (Conservative) Works as a solicitor advocate and for BPP.Malcolm Wicks(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Gerry Jerome (Liberal Democrat) Sutton councillor.
Shasha Khan (Green) Director in a family business and runs a dance music record label. Contested Croydon North 2005.
Jonathan Serter (UKIP)Novlette Williams (Christian Party) Mohammed Shaikh (Respect) Ben Stevenson (Communist)Mohamed Seyed-Mohamed (Independent)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 119419
Male: 47.8%
Female: 52.2%
Under 18: 25.2%
Over 60: 14.8%
Born outside UK: 32%
White: 50.7%
Black: 23.9%
Asian: 19.3%
Mixed: 4.6%
Other: 1.4%
Christian: 59.5%
Hindu: 8.6%
Muslim: 9.1%
Sikh: 0.6%
Full time students: 5%
Graduates 16-74: 23.5%
No Qualifications 16-74: 23.9%
Owner-Occupied: 63.7%
Social Housing: 18.3% (Council: 10.5%, Housing Ass.: 7.9%)
Privately Rented: 15.4%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 10.4%
IIRC John Major started his ill-fated 1997 election campaign in this constituency, though he visited Luton South (of soapbox fame) very early on too – it was the constituency of his PPS Graham Bright.
Dalek:
Since the Tories were 7,500 votes ahead in Croydon NE overall it seems entirely reasonable that they might have been 2,000 votes ahead in those three wards.
Personally I think Croydon North would have been won by Labour in 1992 by a few hundred votes, not because the notionals were wrong but because a few more LDs would have voted Labour in Croydon North compared to Croydon NE knowing there was a better chance of the Tories being defeated. That was a pattern that existed in 1992.
FWIW my own figures concur with the notionals – I have the Conservatives ahead by about 1,000 in Upper Norwood and 1,200 in South Norwood with Labour about 400 ahead in Thornton Heath
Does anyone know the last time a Conservative was elected in Broad Green or Bensham Manor Wards. Both solid Labout now but I have been told they were Conservative at one point (shocking!).
“Does anyone know the last time a Conservative was elected in Broad Green or Bensham Manor Wards. Both solid Labout now but I have been told they were Conservative at one point (shocking!).”
It was in 1982. In that year, the only Labour seats were in New Addington (3) and Fieldway (2). thornton heath ward was Residents’. The rest of the Borough was Blue.
Bensham Manor was also Conservative in 1978…it was a much better area for them than now. Broad Green was Labour that year…it was always more “traditionally” Labour (the Inner w/c terraces of Croydon Town centre) than Bensham (then lower m/c areas in Thornton Heath) was.
Labour gained Broad Green and Bensham Manor (among others) in 1986…the former VERY easily and the latter more marginally. They have never gone Blue since.