Crawley
2005 Results:
Labour: 16411 (39.1%)
Conservative: 16374 (39%)
Liberal Democrat: 6503 (15.5%)
Other: 2685 (6.4%)
Majority: 37 (0.1%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 12718 (32.2%)
Labour: 19488 (49.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 5009 (12.7%)
UKIP: 1137 (2.9%)
Other: 1170 (3%)
Majority: 6770 (17.1%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 16043 (31.8%)
Labour: 27750 (55%)
Liberal Democrat: 4141 (8.2%)
Referendum: 1931 (3.8%)
Other: 552 (1.1%)
Majority: 11707 (23.2%)
No Boundary Changes
Current MP: Laura Moffatt (Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates:
Henry Smith (Conservative)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 99744
Male: 49%
Female: 51%
Under 18: 23.8%
Over 60: 18.4%
Born outside UK: 11.6%
White: 88.5%
Black: 1.1%
Asian: 8.3%
Mixed: 1.4%
Other: 0.6%
Christian: 67.3%
Hindu: 3.4%
Muslim: 4.4%
Sikh: 0.7%
Full time students: 2.3%
Graduates 16-74: 14.6%
No Qualifications 16-74: 25.4%
Owner-Occupied: 68.3%
Social Housing: 23.4% (Council: 20.3%, Housing Ass.: 3.1%)
Privately Rented: 5.5%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 3.6%
47 Responses
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Bradford South
I’m going to make a slight amendment to my earlier prediction of an SSP gain for next time (I was just trying to outflank Ian Mackintosh). This is what I really think;
C 23000 52% +13%
May 13th, 2008 at 6:26 pmLab 14000 32% - 7%
LD 4000 10% - 6%
Oth 3000 6%
C maj: 9000 (20%)
Lab swing to C: 10%
C gain from Lab
Twickenham (& Richmond Park,Windsor)
The Tories now have a large majority on the council having taken control in 2006 narrowly.
That is certainly a turn up for the books.
There will be Labour abstainers here from 2001/2005 - some who will surely be motivated to prevent a Tory threat - but there’s a case for saying that as a Tory gain looks [almost] inevitable here, the effect of that will be limited, and in the overall churn of votes, will be decisively cancelled out by the overall swing.
Most likely -
CON 23,251 51.1% +12.1%
LAB 16,062 35.3% -3.8%
LD 4,823 10.6% -4.9%
UKIP 1,365 3.0%
Total votes 45,500
Con majority 7,189 15.8%
CON GAIN FROM LAB
Swing 8.0% from Lab to Con
May 13th, 2008 at 10:15 pmPages: « 1 2 3 [4] Show All