Coventry North East
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 21694 (56.7%)
Conservative: 7208 (18.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 6338 (16.6%)
Other: 3002 (7.9%)
Majority: 14485 (37.9%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 6956 (18.7%)
Labour: 21178 (56.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 6123 (16.5%)
UKIP: 1064 (2.9%)
Other: 1874 (5%)
Majority: 14222 (38.2%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 6988 (18.8%)
Labour: 22739 (61%)
Liberal Democrat: 4163 (11.2%)
BNP: 737 (2%)
Other: 2638 (7.1%)
Majority: 15751 (42.3%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 9287 (19.3%)
Labour: 31856 (66.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 3866 (8%)
Referendum: 1125 (2.3%)
Other: 1951 (4.1%)
Majority: 22569 (46.9%)
Boundary changes
Current MP: Bob Ainsworth (Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates:
Hazel Noonan (Conservative) Former senior care assistant. Coventry councillor since 2000.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 105991
Male: 49.4%
Female: 50.6%
Under 18: 26.8%
Over 60: 18.1%
Born outside UK: 14.9%
White: 78.1%
Black: 2.3%
Asian: 16.4%
Mixed: 2.1%
Other: 1%
Christian: 61.3%
Hindu: 3.1%
Muslim: 6.1%
Sikh: 6.8%
Full time students: 5.9%
Graduates 16-74: 13.5%
No Qualifications 16-74: 36.9%
Owner-Occupied: 65.2%
Social Housing: 21.3% (Council: 9.5%, Housing Ass.: 11.8%)
Privately Rented: 9.1%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 13.9%
I always thought that Geoffrey Robinson’s personal popularity might have kept Coventry NW Labour in 1983, but the recession theory also sounds like a good explanation.
“Sometimes I think these peripheral estates are worse.”
I agree, because you have isolation as well as deprivation in the outer estates.
They’re prime examples of bad planning. Quite a few of them were built because it was cheaper and easier to build on greenfield suburban land and develop city centres with commercial projects or low-density estates. They often relied for employment on one single industry, which has quite often vanished since the estate was built, and relied on council incentives such as special public transport fares and routes that have also vanished over time.
Foleshill ward in the Cov NE constitunecy was historically a Labour ward, and Tory gains here were a significant factor in them taking control of the city council. However, Tory Foleshill councillor Altaf Adalat, who won in 2006 by just six votes is under pressure to resign following his cousin’s conviction for election fraud in impersonating other voters in the ward.
The Tories currently hold 28 of the 54 seats in Coventry.
Praguetory (not registered)
This is quite an early selection by the Tories vis-a-cis some riper targets in the vicinity.
January 6th, 2008 at 6:32 pm
The Conservatives national selection policy does seem rather quixotic. Several other no hope constituencies have candidates such as Stockton North, Sunderlands West and South, Ilford South and various places in Scotland. On the other had there seems no effort to get candidates for various constituencies they ‘won’ this year and also the notorius Sheffield Hallam.
Aggregate votes from the 2008 local elections;
Lab 10170 42.1%
C 6813 28.2%
LD 2288 9.5%
BNP 1692 7.0%
Oth 3199 13.2%
A very safe Labour seat (the only Coventry seat where Labour topped the poll this year) but the Conservatives seem to be favourites to retain second place next time - the only ward we carried was Wyken.
Ironically one of the Labour wards is named Henley.
My prediction for this seat;
Labour 21000
Cons 9500
Lib Dem 5000
Others 4000