The UKPollingReport election guide for 2010 has now been archived and all comments will shortly be closed. The new Election Guide for the 2015 election is now online at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide. The old site is archived at the UK Web Archive.
.

Chingford and Woodford Green

2010 Results:
Conservative: 22743 (52.76%)
Labour: 9780 (22.69%)
Liberal Democrat: 7242 (16.8%)
BNP: 1288 (2.99%)
UKIP: 1133 (2.63%)
Green: 650 (1.51%)
Independent: 270 (0.63%)
Majority: 12963 (30.07%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 20555 (53.2%)
Labour: 9914 (25.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 6832 (17.7%)
Other: 1347 (3.5%)
Majority: 10641 (27.5%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 20555 (53.2%)
Labour: 9914 (25.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 6832 (17.7%)
UKIP: 1078 (2.8%)
Other: 269 (0.7%)
Majority: 10641 (27.5%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 17834 (48.2%)
Labour: 12347 (33.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 5739 (15.5%)
BNP: 1062 (2.9%)
Majority: 5487 (14.8%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 21109 (47.5%)
Labour: 15395 (34.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 6885 (15.5%)
Other: 1059 (2.4%)
Majority: 5714 (12.9%)

Boundary changes: Technically Chingford and Woodford Green loses a small part of Higham Hill ward to Walthamstow, however there are no electors in the area transferred, so for purposes of notional results the seat is unchanged.

Profile: a north-east London seat straddling the boundary between Waltham Forest and Redbridge. It is represented by former Conservative leader Iain Duncan Smith, but perhaps more associated with his predecessor for the Chingford portion of the seat, Norman Tebbit.

This is white, owner-occupied Tory suburbia on the edge of Epping Forest and alongside the Chingford reservoirs in the Lee Valley. The majority of the seat is made up of Chingford; Woodford is split between Leyton and Wanstead, Ilford North and this seat, with the part west of the Central Line coming under Chingford and Woodford Green.

portraitCurrent MP: Iain Duncan Smith(Conservative) born 1954, Edinburgh, son of WWII flying ace WGG “Smithy” Duncan Smith. Educated at HMS Conway and Sandhurst. A former captain in the Scots Guards serving in Northern Ireland and Rhodesia, as ADC to Major-General Sir John Acland. Between leaving the forces and his election he worked for GEC Marconi. Contested Bradford West 1987. First elected as MP for Chingford 1992. A euro-sceptic rightwinger he rebelled against the party whip over Maastricht in the 1992-97 Parliament, earning the emnity of some party loyalists that would come back to haunt him when he later became leader. Following the Conservative party`s defeat in 1997 he became shadow secretary of state for social security 1997-1999 and shadow defence secretary 1999-2001. Following the 2001 election he entered the leadership race as an outsider in a race that was expected to be between Michael Portillo and Ken Clarke. Following Portillo`s surprise defeat in the penultimate round, the rank and file party membership were left to chose between Duncan Smith and Clarke, with Duncan Smith emerging as the winner. He became leader two days after 9-11 and was strongly supportive of military action in Afghanistan and Iraq. He faced considerable dissent as leader of the Conservative party (2001-2003), climaxing in allegations (eventually found to be baseless) that he was inproperly paying his wife Betsy out of his Parliamentary allowance. Before the allegations could be ruled upon a vote of no confidence was triggered by Conservative MPs which Duncan Smith would go on to lose. After ceasing to be leader Duncan Smith remained on the backbenches and headed the Centre for Social Justice, a right-wing think tank. He also chaired the Social Justice Policy Group as part of David Cameron`s policy review, bringing forward policies on family breakdown and social cohesion. Upon the Conservative return to government in 2010 he became Secretary of state for Work and Pensions – along with William Hague he was the first former party leader to accept ministerial office since Alec Douglas-Home (more information at They work for you)

2010 election candidates:
portraitIain Duncan Smith(Conservative) born 1954, Edinburgh, son of WWII flying ace WGG “Smithy” Duncan Smith. Educated at HMS Conway and Sandhurst. A former captain in the Scots Guards serving in Northern Ireland and Rhodesia, as ADC to Major-General Sir John Acland. Between leaving the forces and his election he worked for GEC Marconi. Contested Bradford West 1987. First elected as MP for Chingford 1992. A euro-sceptic rightwinger he rebelled against the party whip over Maastricht in the 1992-97 Parliament, earning the emnity of some party loyalists that would come back to haunt him when he later became leader. Following the Conservative party`s defeat in 1997 he became shadow secretary of state for social security 1997-1999 and shadow defence secretary 1999-2001. Following the 2001 election he entered the leadership race as an outsider in a race that was expected to be between Michael Portillo and Ken Clarke. Following Portillo`s surprise defeat in the penultimate round, the rank and file party membership were left to chose between Duncan Smith and Clarke, with Duncan Smith emerging as the winner. He became leader two days after 9-11 and was strongly supportive of military action in Afghanistan and Iraq. He faced considerable dissent as leader of the Conservative party (2001-2003), climaxing in allegations (eventually found to be baseless) that he was inproperly paying his wife Betsy out of his Parliamentary allowance. Before the allegations could be ruled upon a vote of no confidence was triggered by Conservative MPs which Duncan Smith would go on to lose. Since ceasing to be leader Duncan Smith has remained on the backbenches and headed the Centre for Social Justice, a right-wing think tank. He has also chaired the Social Justice Policy Group as part of David Cameron`s policy review, bring forward policies on family breakdown and social cohesion (more information at They work for you)
portraitCatharine Arakelian (Labour) Educated at Oxford University. Communication skills trainer.
portraitGeoff Seeff (Liberal Democrat) born 1947. Educated at Beal Grammar School and Birmingham University. Management consultant. Contested Chingford and Woodford Green 1997, Redbridge and Havering in 2000 GLA elections, Romford 2005.
portraitLucy Craig (Green)
portraitNick Jones (UKIP)
portraitJulian Leppert (BNP)
portraitNone Of The Above (Independent) Original name Adam Osen. Painter and decorator.
portraitBarry White (Independent)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 80722
Male: 48.1%
Female: 51.9%
Under 18: 22.2%
Over 60: 21.3%
Born outside UK: 11.7%
White: 86.8%
Black: 5.2%
Asian: 4.8%
Mixed: 2.1%
Other: 1%
Christian: 68.7%
Hindu: 1.5%
Jewish: 2.4%
Muslim: 4.5%
Full time students: 4.1%
Graduates 16-74: 19.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 26.9%
Owner-Occupied: 75.3%
Social Housing: 15.6% (Council: 10%, Housing Ass.: 5.6%)
Privately Rented: 7%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 6.9%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide