Cheadle
2010 Results:
Conservative: 21445 (40.84%)
Labour: 4920 (9.37%)
Liberal Democrat: 24717 (47.07%)
UKIP: 1430 (2.72%)
Majority: 3272 (6.23%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Liberal Democrat: 23640 (48.1%)
Conservative: 19689 (40%)
Labour: 4877 (9.9%)
Other: 988 (2%)
Majority: 3950 (8%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 19169 (40.4%)
Labour: 4169 (8.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 23189 (48.9%)
BNP: 421 (0.9%)
UKIP: 489 (1%)
Majority: 4020 (8.5%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 18444 (42.3%)
Labour: 6086 (14%)
Liberal Democrat: 18477 (42.4%)
UKIP: 599 (1.4%)
Majority: 33 (0.1%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 22944 (43.7%)
Labour: 8253 (15.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 19755 (37.7%)
Referendum: 1511 (2.9%)
Majority: 3189 (6.1%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Mark Hunter(Liberal Democrat) born 1957. Educated at Audenshaw Grammar School for Boys. Marketing executive. Stockport councillor 1996-2005. Leader of Stockport council 2001-2005. Contested Ashton under Lyne 1987, Stockport 2001. MP for Cheadle since 2005 by-election. PPS to Nick Clegg since 2007 (more information at They work for you)
Ben Jeffreys (Conservative) born Yorkshire. Educated at St Andrews University. History and drama teacher.
Martin Miller (Labour) Mark Hunter(Liberal Democrat) born 1957. Educated at Audenshaw Grammar School for Boys. Marketing executive. Stockport councillor 1996-2005. Leader of Stockport council 2001-2005. Contested Ashton under Lyne 1987, Stockport 2001. MP for Cheadle since 2005 by-election. PPS to Nick Clegg since 2007 (more information at They work for you)Tony Moore (UKIP) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 91231
Male: 47.9%
Female: 52.1%
Under 18: 22.1%
Over 60: 24%
Born outside UK: 6.3%
White: 94.2%
Black: 0.4%
Asian: 3.3%
Mixed: 1.1%
Other: 1%
Christian: 76.1%
Hindu: 0.9%
Jewish: 1.6%
Muslim: 2.6%
Full time students: 3.2%
Graduates 16-74: 27.9%
No Qualifications 16-74: 20%
Owner-Occupied: 87.1%
Social Housing: 7.1% (Council: 5.2%, Housing Ass.: 1.9%)
Privately Rented: 4.1%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 5.1%
2005 By-election
The Cheadle by-election was held on 14th July 2005, following the death of Patsy Calton shortly after the 2005 general election. The contest was a straight fight between the Liberal Democrats and Conservatives, with the former Conservative MP for the seat, Stephen Day, standing for the Tories. The Tories fought an aggressive campaign and were accused by the Liberal Democrats of dirty tricks and a smear campaign. Eventually the Liberal Democrat candidate Mark Hunter emerged as the victor with a slightly increased majority. The Labour party, who had not seriously contested the seat, lost their deposit.
By-election result
Mark Hunter (Liberal Democrat) 19593 (52.2%)
Stephen Day (Conservative) 15936 (42.4%)
Martin Miller (Labour) 1739 (4.6%)
Leslie Leggett (Veritas) 218 (0.6%)
John Allman (Alliance for Change) 81 (0.2%)
Majority: 3657 (9.7%)
By-election Candidates: Mark Hunter (Liberal Democrat) born 1957. Educated at Audenshaw Grammar School for Boys. Marketing executive. Stockport councillor 1996-2005. Leader of Stockport council 2001-2005. Contested Ashton under Lyne 1987, Stockport 2001.
Stephen Day (Conservative) born 1948. Secretary of the Association of Conservative clubs. Leeds councillor 1975-1980. Contested Bradford West 1983. MP for Cheadle 1987-2001. Contested Cheadle 2001, 2005.
Martin Miller (Labour) born Glasgow. Former Stockport councillor. Contested Hazel Grove 2001, Cheadle 2005.
Leslie Leggett (Veritas) Retired policeman. Former Stockport councillor for the Conservative party.
John Allman (Alliance for Change) Educated at the Open University. Computer programmer. Founder of Christians against mental slavery, an organisation campaigning against mind control weapons. Contested Harrogate and Knaresborough 2005, subsequently contested Livingstone by-election.
Champagne types are always the most hostile to the Tories.
I was canvassing in a by-election in Richmond Park
and had a good laugh with a Labour supporting man from Glasgow
who said he’d never vote Tory in a million years
but met a sneary Liberal type in a very smart house.
Well Edgbaston would effectively become Harbourne on the new boundaries. On paper, it will be among the Tories’ best prospects in Birmingham but we’ve said that before about Edgbaston!
‘I was canvassing in a by-election in Richmond Park
and had a good laugh with a Labour supporting man from Glasgow
who said he’d never vote Tory in a million years
but met a sneary Liberal type in a very smart house.’
For the record Joe I’ve met plenty of sneary Tory and Labour voters up and down the country who live in ‘very smart houses’ – and let’s not get into the type of people who vote for fringe rightist parties like the BNP and English Democrats
I really don’t see the point in your continuous sniping at Lib Dems and the people who vote for them – funnily enough its the tactics your beloved David Shaw adopted in Kingston & Surbiton in 2001 and it didn’t do him much good
It’s hardly shocking news that some people do not respond nicely to having political activists knocking at their door – particularly when those activists are from a party they do not support and indeed may even despise. It’s unfair to judge someone based on their reaction to being rudely interrupted in their home by a political canvassor just as you couldn’t judge their personality based on what they said to a door-to-door double glazing salesman.
Personally I find political canvassing highly irritating, intrusive and a breach of the right to a secret ballot. My own reaction to it could be described as sneary but I would like to think I’m not like that in general as a person.
Canvassing is not everyone’s cup of tea
but
if you don’t do it another party will anyway.
Very few people are personally hostile though,
whatever they think of the party,
but those that are tend to be
middle class liberal types,
not Labour voters.
I don’t know David Shaw,
just wish to put a bit of balance into these discussions
that default to the Lib Dem line that of course he was a thug.
But if I’m a lone voice being a bit battered for gently pointing that
out ,so be it.
Some of the sneary middle class types might well actually be voting for you.
They just do not like people knocking on their door.
Stockport –
I can see this council being stuck NOC for a long long time.
The LDs are still by far the largest party and Labour could nose ahead or still be just behind in 2014.
It seems that the three parties have a rump and won’t knock the other out – it could go on this for 2 decades
although that’s too far of course to tell.
Labour did exceptionally well in the borough last year, gaining comfortably a larger vote share than either other leading party. Unfortunately it’s likely that the party will tend to pile up votes in safe wards in Stockport itself & will be unable for some time to recapture support it once had in some parts of Hazel Grove to the extent necessary to win wards there, so a Labour majority at any time in the foreseeable future seems improbable. This constituency Cheadle has pretty much always been weak territory for Labour.
“gaining comfortably a larger vote share than either other leading party”
A bit of an overstatment Barnaby – the figures were
Lab 31.6 Con 30.2 LD 29.3
Apparently one local election night (1990s) people were phoning up the BBC saying what is this new party called NOC, or that they were spelling Con incorrectly.
I’d be relatively confident in predicting that the tories will be down to 7 seats on Stockport council in 2015 (the 6 Bramhall seats + the group leader in Bredbury Green).
But I agree with Joe that Stockport will be hung and a close tussle between the LDs and Labour for a very long time (as Labour would have to gain Cheadle Hulme N and Stepping Hill in this constituency for a Labour majority to appear credible in the forseeable future).
I’m brave enough to predict that whether Labour becomes the largest party or not in 2014 in Stockport will depend purely on the outcomes of the three LD-Lab marginals elsewehere in the borough of Manor, Offerton and Bredbury and Woodley.
(Labour gains in Heatons N, Manor and Davenport and Cale Green are just about certain).
That should read:
*Labour gains in Heatons N and Davenport and Cale Green are just about certain*
The Lib dems are currently being propped up by the ratepayers and that opportunist (former Lab) Manor cllr Patrick McCauley.
A little late but as some of you may know, this seat is one of ten in the “early tranche” of Conservative Party selections, which began on the 16th November and is set to be concluded by Christmas.
As per ConservativeHome – “None of these first ten have fast-tracked candidates – that is candidates who fought the seat at the last election and have asked to fight it again. A number of candidates in the other thirty of the forty seats have asked to be fast-tracked and are going through the relevant ConHQ and local approval processes.
Constituencies with less than 100 members will have to choose a three person shortlist given to them by a special ConHQ committee or choose their candidate by open primary.”
This is one of the tory association with less than 100 members. Something that surprised me as even Labour had more members here
I wonder what an electoral map where the MP was decided by the number of members in each party would look like and if there would be many shocks.
Not sure whether Hunter can hold this in 2015- It is after all a seat that the Tories couldn’t gain in 2010 that they managed to hold in 1997- A fall in the Lib Dem vote may well favour them here.
South Ribble Cllr Mary Robinson has been selected by the Tories to fight 2015 GE
Councillor for the Howick and Priory ward (or “Penwortham” as most ordinary folk would know it as)