Cheadle
2010 Results:
Conservative: 21445 (40.84%)
Labour: 4920 (9.37%)
Liberal Democrat: 24717 (47.07%)
UKIP: 1430 (2.72%)
Majority: 3272 (6.23%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Liberal Democrat: 23640 (48.1%)
Conservative: 19689 (40%)
Labour: 4877 (9.9%)
Other: 988 (2%)
Majority: 3950 (8%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 19169 (40.4%)
Labour: 4169 (8.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 23189 (48.9%)
BNP: 421 (0.9%)
UKIP: 489 (1%)
Majority: 4020 (8.5%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 18444 (42.3%)
Labour: 6086 (14%)
Liberal Democrat: 18477 (42.4%)
UKIP: 599 (1.4%)
Majority: 33 (0.1%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 22944 (43.7%)
Labour: 8253 (15.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 19755 (37.7%)
Referendum: 1511 (2.9%)
Majority: 3189 (6.1%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Mark Hunter(Liberal Democrat) born 1957. Educated at Audenshaw Grammar School for Boys. Marketing executive. Stockport councillor 1996-2005. Leader of Stockport council 2001-2005. Contested Ashton under Lyne 1987, Stockport 2001. MP for Cheadle since 2005 by-election. PPS to Nick Clegg since 2007 (more information at They work for you)
Ben Jeffreys (Conservative) born Yorkshire. Educated at St Andrews University. History and drama teacher.
Martin Miller (Labour) Mark Hunter(Liberal Democrat) born 1957. Educated at Audenshaw Grammar School for Boys. Marketing executive. Stockport councillor 1996-2005. Leader of Stockport council 2001-2005. Contested Ashton under Lyne 1987, Stockport 2001. MP for Cheadle since 2005 by-election. PPS to Nick Clegg since 2007 (more information at They work for you)Tony Moore (UKIP) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 91231
Male: 47.9%
Female: 52.1%
Under 18: 22.1%
Over 60: 24%
Born outside UK: 6.3%
White: 94.2%
Black: 0.4%
Asian: 3.3%
Mixed: 1.1%
Other: 1%
Christian: 76.1%
Hindu: 0.9%
Jewish: 1.6%
Muslim: 2.6%
Full time students: 3.2%
Graduates 16-74: 27.9%
No Qualifications 16-74: 20%
Owner-Occupied: 87.1%
Social Housing: 7.1% (Council: 5.2%, Housing Ass.: 1.9%)
Privately Rented: 4.1%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 5.1%
2005 By-election
The Cheadle by-election was held on 14th July 2005, following the death of Patsy Calton shortly after the 2005 general election. The contest was a straight fight between the Liberal Democrats and Conservatives, with the former Conservative MP for the seat, Stephen Day, standing for the Tories. The Tories fought an aggressive campaign and were accused by the Liberal Democrats of dirty tricks and a smear campaign. Eventually the Liberal Democrat candidate Mark Hunter emerged as the victor with a slightly increased majority. The Labour party, who had not seriously contested the seat, lost their deposit.
By-election result
Mark Hunter (Liberal Democrat) 19593 (52.2%)
Stephen Day (Conservative) 15936 (42.4%)
Martin Miller (Labour) 1739 (4.6%)
Leslie Leggett (Veritas) 218 (0.6%)
John Allman (Alliance for Change) 81 (0.2%)
Majority: 3657 (9.7%)
By-election Candidates: Mark Hunter (Liberal Democrat) born 1957. Educated at Audenshaw Grammar School for Boys. Marketing executive. Stockport councillor 1996-2005. Leader of Stockport council 2001-2005. Contested Ashton under Lyne 1987, Stockport 2001.
Stephen Day (Conservative) born 1948. Secretary of the Association of Conservative clubs. Leeds councillor 1975-1980. Contested Bradford West 1983. MP for Cheadle 1987-2001. Contested Cheadle 2001, 2005.
Martin Miller (Labour) born Glasgow. Former Stockport councillor. Contested Hazel Grove 2001, Cheadle 2005.
Leslie Leggett (Veritas) Retired policeman. Former Stockport councillor for the Conservative party.
John Allman (Alliance for Change) Educated at the Open University. Computer programmer. Founder of Christians against mental slavery, an organisation campaigning against mind control weapons. Contested Harrogate and Knaresborough 2005, subsequently contested Livingstone by-election.
I often find reading constituency profiles quite interesting, particularly some where trying to sum up a large area in a few sentences is quite tricky.
I was interested to read Sky quoted Cheadle as being the seat with “the highest proportion of households with earnings over £25k in the UK.”
As an aside, I think this will be an easy Lib Dem hold (with a majority of 4,000, if not more).
LD maj 3,500
First incumbency should result in a LD hold by 6000
LD HOLD
Mark Hunter Liberal Democrat 24,717 47.1 -0.7
Ben Jeffreys Conservative 21,445 40.8 +0.5
Martin Miller Labour 4,920 9.4 -0.5
Tony Moore UK Independence Party 1,430 2.7 +1.5
Majority 3,272 6.2
Turnout 52,512 72.5 +3.7
As you were….
This was a bit closer than I expected, with the Tories actually obtaining a small positive swing of 0.6%. I had predicted a LD majority of something like 4,500.
The Tories topped the poll here in the 2008 local elections, so I had a hope there would at least not be too much of a swing against us this time.
I agree, this seat was much much closer than I had expected. For the first time in quite a while, there must be some optimism now that the Tories could regain this seat if they can get their act together locally.
It looks like there is some grounds for optimism here,
although this really shouldn’t have been lost.
I thought an LD hold highly likely in the election we’ve just had.
It’s a seat the Tories should target for an overall majority (then we can dump the LDs out of this arrangement).