Comments on: Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire

By: A Brown

A Brown — Fri, 06 May 2011 10:03:06 +0000

Not Llanelli sorry, Preseli

By: A Brown

A Brown — Fri, 06 May 2011 10:02:29 +0000

I was surprised Labour failed to take this but was less surprised at the hold in Llanelli.

By: Joe

Joe — Fri, 06 May 2011 10:00:29 +0000

Nope, what a result. Simply stunning

By: Shaun Bennett

Shaun Bennett — Thu, 31 Mar 2011 08:51:59 +0000

Welsh Assembly 2011: Lab Gain

By: Tim Jones

Tim Jones — Mon, 15 Nov 2010 16:59:24 +0000

‘Once this seat went blue in the Assembly elections I thought it was always a likely gain at Westminster’

It doesn’t always follow…

Plaid Cymru won the old Conwy seat in bthe Assembly first time it was contested – yet in the 97 Westminister election it was a three-way marginal between Tory, labour and Lib Dem

Even at the last election in the new Aberconwy Plaid came 4th at westminster and yet they still hold the assembly seat

By: Paul D

Paul D — Mon, 15 Nov 2010 16:46:23 +0000

Once this seat went blue in the Assembly elections I thought it was always a likely gain at Westminster

By: Pete Whitehead

Pete Whitehead — Mon, 15 Nov 2010 16:02:58 +0000

Carmarthen was divided 68.4% to Carmarthen East & Dinefwr and 31.6% to this seat
Pembroke went 55.2% to Preseli Pembrokeshire and 44.8% to this seat. So Preseli Pembs was the main sucessor to Pembroke and CE&D was the main successor to Carmarthen.
This seat came 60% from Pembroke and 40% from Carmarthen and was an entirely new seat.
This seat had a notional Labour majority of 1,310 in 1992 and Preseli Pembs had a notional Conservative majority of 603.
I agree it is a good Tory result also given the size of Labour’s 1997 majority. I take issue with the notion that it was unexpected however

By: Barnaby JL Marder

Barnaby JL Marder — Mon, 15 Nov 2010 16:00:51 +0000

it’s a bit complex. the most strongly Tory parts of that former Pembroke seat are in this seat now. Labour is stronger in the Carmarthenshire section of this seat, although Pembroke Dock is a traditional Labour stronghold.

By: Tim Jones

Tim Jones — Mon, 15 Nov 2010 15:49:56 +0000

I thought Pressili Pembrokeshire was more the successor seat to the old Pembrokeshire seat – the one held by Nick Bennett for the Tories – than this,

Still a good Tory result given that in 1992 – the last time the Tories had a majority – Carmarthen and Pembrokeshire were both in the Labour column

Now both are Tory

By: Pete Whitehead

Pete Whitehead — Mon, 15 Nov 2010 14:06:30 +0000

SHAUN BENNETT
Cons Gain= 2,000 maj
April 7th, 2010 at 1:38 pm

HYWEL
Con Gain = 3,000
April 12th, 2010 at 1:20 pm

T SAYS…
CON 4800
April 13th, 2010 at 7:26 am

NEILY
Con Gain
Maj 3800
April 15th, 2010 at 6:35 pm

VOTEDAVE
C gain maj 5000
April 16th, 2010 at 3:49 pm

PETE WHITEHEAD
Con maj 2,000
April 20th, 2010 at 8:02 pm

and even:
BARNABY JL MARDER
CON GAIN
May 4th, 2010 at 10:27 am