The UKPollingReport election guide for 2010 has now been archived and all comments closed. The new Election Guide for the 2015 election is now online at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide. The old site is archived at the UK Web Archive.
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Carmarthen East and Dinefwr

2010 Results:
Conservative: 8506 (22.38%)
Labour: 10065 (26.48%)
Liberal Democrat: 4609 (12.13%)
Plaid Cymru: 13546 (35.64%)
UKIP: 1285 (3.38%)
Majority: 3481 (9.16%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Plaid Cymru: 17154 (45.9%)
Labour: 10586 (28.3%)
Conservative: 5093 (13.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 3629 (9.7%)
Other: 910 (2.4%)
Majority: 6569 (17.6%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 5235 (13.7%)
Labour: 10843 (28.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 3719 (9.7%)
Plaid Cymru: 17561 (45.9%)
UKIP: 661 (1.7%)
Other: 272 (0.7%)
Majority: 6718 (17.5%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 4912 (12.9%)
Labour: 13540 (35.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 2815 (7.4%)
Plaid Cymru: 16130 (42.4%)
UKIP: 656 (1.7%)
Majority: 2590 (6.8%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 5022 (12%)
Labour: 17907 (42.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 3150 (7.5%)
Plaid Cymru: 14457 (34.6%)
Referendum: 1196 (2.9%)
Majority: 3450 (8.3%)

Boundary changes:

Profile:

portraitCurrent MP: Jonathan Edwards (Plaid Cymru)

2010 election candidates:
portraitAndrew Morgan (Conservative)
portraitChristine Gwyther (Labour)
portraitBill Powell (Liberal Democrat)
portraitJonathan Edwards (Plaid Cymru)
portraitJohn Atkinson (UKIP)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 67309
Male: 48.5%
Female: 51.5%
Under 18: 21.9%
Over 60: 25.8%
Born outside UK: 2.2%
White: 99.3%
Asian: 0.2%
Mixed: 0.3%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 75.1%
Full time students: 2.7%
Graduates 16-74: 18.1%
No Qualifications 16-74: 33.7%
Owner-Occupied: 73.8%
Social Housing: 15.7% (Council: 13%, Housing Ass.: 2.6%)
Privately Rented: 7%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 7.5%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. It will be replaced by a new guide in 2013, once the fate of the boundary review is finally settled.