Cardiff West
2010 Results:
Conservative: 12143 (29.65%)
Labour: 16893 (41.25%)
Liberal Democrat: 7186 (17.55%)
Plaid Cymru: 2868 (7%)
UKIP: 1117 (2.73%)
Green: 750 (1.83%)
Majority: 4750 (11.6%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 16908 (44.1%)
Conservative: 9047 (23.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 6492 (16.9%)
Plaid Cymru: 4873 (12.7%)
Other: 997 (2.6%)
Majority: 7861 (20.5%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 7562 (21.9%)
Labour: 15729 (45.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 6060 (17.5%)
Plaid Cymru: 4316 (12.5%)
UKIP: 727 (2.1%)
Other: 167 (0.5%)
Majority: 8167 (23.6%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 7273 (21.3%)
Labour: 18594 (54.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 4458 (13.1%)
Plaid Cymru: 3296 (9.7%)
UKIP: 462 (1.4%)
Majority: 11321 (33.2%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 8669 (21.5%)
Labour: 24297 (60.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 4366 (10.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 1949 (4.8%)
Referendum: 996 (2.5%)
Majority: 15628 (38.8%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Kevin Brennan(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Angela Jones-Evans (Conservative) Kevin Brennan(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Rachael Hitchinson (Liberal Democrat).Mohammed Sarul Islam (Plaid Cymru) Jake Griffiths (Green) Mike Henessey (UKIP)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 83836
Male: 47.5%
Female: 52.5%
Under 18: 25.1%
Over 60: 19.1%
Born outside UK: 6.3%
White: 92.4%
Black: 1%
Asian: 3.8%
Mixed: 1.9%
Other: 0.9%
Christian: 67.3%
Hindu: 0.8%
Muslim: 3.2%
Full time students: 4.5%
Graduates 16-74: 24.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 31.2%
Owner-Occupied: 69.1%
Social Housing: 19.6% (Council: 13.8%, Housing Ass.: 5.8%)
Privately Rented: 8%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 7.4%
but only if they’re quite a fair distance ahead of Labour in the national popular vote.
This is going to be one intresting seat at the next Assembly elections!
Labour, Tory and Plaid all have shout. Any thoughts?
Plaid have again selected former Labour member Neil Mcevoy.
I can’t see Labour losing here as things stand at present. There would be a reduced majority in Morgan’s absence, but it would need a national Tory lead of landslide proportions to beat them.
Have Labour selected a candidate here yet?
“Have Labour selected a candidate here yet?”
Yes. Mark Drakeford was selected in February 2010