The UKPollingReport election guide for 2010 has now been archived and all comments will shortly be closed. The new Election Guide for the 2015 election is now online at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide. The old site is archived at the UK Web Archive.
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Cardiff South and Penarth

2010 Results:
Conservative: 12553 (28.29%)
Labour: 17262 (38.91%)
Liberal Democrat: 9875 (22.26%)
Plaid Cymru: 1851 (4.17%)
UKIP: 1145 (2.58%)
Green: 554 (1.25%)
Christian: 285 (0.64%)
Independent: 648 (1.46%)
Others: 196 (0.44%)
Majority: 4709 (10.62%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 18506 (46.8%)
Conservative: 9387 (23.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 7835 (19.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 2062 (5.2%)
Other: 1780 (4.5%)
Majority: 9119 (23%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 8210 (22.2%)
Labour: 17447 (47.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 7529 (20.4%)
Plaid Cymru: 2023 (5.5%)
Green: 729 (2%)
UKIP: 522 (1.4%)
Other: 452 (1.2%)
Majority: 9237 (25%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 7807 (21.8%)
Labour: 20094 (56.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 4572 (12.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 1983 (5.5%)
UKIP: 501 (1.4%)
Other: 794 (2.2%)
Majority: 12287 (34.4%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 8766 (20.7%)
Labour: 22647 (53.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 3964 (9.3%)
Plaid Cymru: 1356 (3.2%)
Referendum: 1211 (2.9%)
Other: 4456 (10.5%)
Majority: 13881 (32.7%)

Boundary changes:

Profile:

portraitCurrent MP: Alun Michael(Labour) (more information at They work for you)

2010 election candidates:
portraitSimon Hoare (Conservative)
portraitAlun Michael(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
portraitDominic Hannigan (Liberal Democrat) born Cornwall. Educated at Cape Cornwall School and Penwith College. Contested Cardiff South and Penarth at 2007 Welsh Assembly elections.
portraitFarida Aslam (Plaid Cymru) Legal advice worker for a housing association.
portraitMatthew Townsend (Green)
portraitSimon Ziegler (UKIP)
portraitClive Bate (Christian Party)
portraitRobert Griffiths (Communist) General Secretary of the Communist Party of Britain. Contested Newport East 2001, Pontypridd 2005. Contested Wales 2009 European elections for No2EU.
portraitGeorge Burke (Independent)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 90593
Male: 48%
Female: 52%
Under 18: 26.6%
Over 60: 19.5%
Born outside UK: 6.8%
White: 91.1%
Black: 2%
Asian: 3.6%
Mixed: 2.4%
Other: 0.9%
Christian: 68.1%
Hindu: 0.8%
Muslim: 3.9%
Full time students: 3.7%
Graduates 16-74: 18.2%
No Qualifications 16-74: 34.2%
Owner-Occupied: 66.6%
Social Housing: 23.1% (Council: 13.7%, Housing Ass.: 9.4%)
Privately Rented: 6.8%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 7.4%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide