Cardiff South and Penarth
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 18506 (46.8%)
Conservative: 9387 (23.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 7835 (19.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 2062 (5.2%)
Other: 1780 (4.5%)
Majority: 9119 (23%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 8210 (22.2%)
Labour: 17447 (47.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 7529 (20.4%)
Plaid Cymru: 2023 (5.5%)
Green: 729 (2%)
UKIP: 522 (1.4%)
Other: 452 (1.2%)
Majority: 9237 (25%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 7807 (21.8%)
Labour: 20094 (56.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 4572 (12.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 1983 (5.5%)
UKIP: 501 (1.4%)
Other: 794 (2.2%)
Majority: 12287 (34.4%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 8766 (20.7%)
Labour: 22647 (53.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 3964 (9.3%)
Plaid Cymru: 1356 (3.2%)
Referendum: 1211 (2.9%)
Other: 4456 (10.5%)
Majority: 13881 (32.7%)
Boundary changes
Current MP: Alun Michael (Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates:
Simon Hoare (Conservative)
Dominic Hannigan (Liberal Democrat) born Cornwall. Educated at Cape Cornwall School and Penwith College. Contested Cardiff South and Penarth at 2007 Welsh Assembly elections.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 90593
Male: 48%
Female: 52%
Under 18: 26.6%
Over 60: 19.5%
Born outside UK: 6.8%
White: 91.1%
Black: 2%
Asian: 3.6%
Mixed: 2.4%
Other: 0.9%
Christian: 68.1%
Hindu: 0.8%
Muslim: 3.9%
Full time students: 3.7%
Graduates 16-74: 18.2%
No Qualifications 16-74: 34.2%
Owner-Occupied: 66.6%
Social Housing: 23.1% (Council: 13.7%, Housing Ass.: 9.4%)
Privately Rented: 6.8%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 7.4%
20 Responses
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As one of the few Labour Councillors left in Penarth, I agree that things are not exactly healthy for us, but things are not as bad in 1983 or indeed 1979, where we only had one member left. As for the next election the result could be very interesting.
May 11th, 2008 at 1:32 pmMark - are you suggesting CS&P could be a close-run thing by “interesting” or do you mean the national election, and you’re hoping/expecting that Labour will do a lot better than currently looks likely?
May 11th, 2008 at 5:52 pmI have to agree that this seat could be interesting.The Labour vote will fall from last time and both the Conservative vote and the Liberal Democrat vote will go up.
May 21st, 2008 at 1:46 pmIt will be the Lib Dems in the Cardiff wards increasing there votes and the tories in Penarth.It may be that Labour could just hang on but it will be to close to call.
Twickenham (& Richmond Park,Windsor)
I had a good look through the 2007 Welsh constituency votes, from last year, and was quite surprised how strong the swing to the Tories was in quite a lot of Welsh seats - such as Rhodri Morgan’s Cardiff West.
I suppose I would say that wouldn’t I.
I’m a little surprised that Richard J thinks this one would be that close though - but he seems to know it.
May 21st, 2008 at 1:53 pmin the local elections this seat was won by Labour with a majority of just 1,073-4.03 per cent. The Tory vote went up through out the constituency.The Lib Dem vote rose in Cardiff but in Penarth they had very few candidates standing so there overall vote stayed at about the same level as the last elections.
May 24th, 2008 at 12:55 amPages: « 1 [2] Show All