Cardiff South and Penarth
2010 Results:
Conservative: 12553 (28.29%)
Labour: 17262 (38.91%)
Liberal Democrat: 9875 (22.26%)
Plaid Cymru: 1851 (4.17%)
UKIP: 1145 (2.58%)
Green: 554 (1.25%)
Christian: 285 (0.64%)
Independent: 648 (1.46%)
Others: 196 (0.44%)
Majority: 4709 (10.62%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 18506 (46.8%)
Conservative: 9387 (23.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 7835 (19.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 2062 (5.2%)
Other: 1780 (4.5%)
Majority: 9119 (23%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 8210 (22.2%)
Labour: 17447 (47.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 7529 (20.4%)
Plaid Cymru: 2023 (5.5%)
Green: 729 (2%)
UKIP: 522 (1.4%)
Other: 452 (1.2%)
Majority: 9237 (25%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 7807 (21.8%)
Labour: 20094 (56.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 4572 (12.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 1983 (5.5%)
UKIP: 501 (1.4%)
Other: 794 (2.2%)
Majority: 12287 (34.4%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 8766 (20.7%)
Labour: 22647 (53.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 3964 (9.3%)
Plaid Cymru: 1356 (3.2%)
Referendum: 1211 (2.9%)
Other: 4456 (10.5%)
Majority: 13881 (32.7%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Alun Michael(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Simon Hoare (Conservative) Alun Michael(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Dominic Hannigan (Liberal Democrat) born Cornwall. Educated at Cape Cornwall School and Penwith College. Contested Cardiff South and Penarth at 2007 Welsh Assembly elections.
Farida Aslam (Plaid Cymru) Legal advice worker for a housing association.Matthew Townsend (Green)Simon Ziegler (UKIP)Clive Bate (Christian Party) 
Robert Griffiths (Communist) General Secretary of the Communist Party of Britain. Contested Newport East 2001, Pontypridd 2005. Contested Wales 2009 European elections for No2EU.George Burke (Independent)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 90593
Male: 48%
Female: 52%
Under 18: 26.6%
Over 60: 19.5%
Born outside UK: 6.8%
White: 91.1%
Black: 2%
Asian: 3.6%
Mixed: 2.4%
Other: 0.9%
Christian: 68.1%
Hindu: 0.8%
Muslim: 3.9%
Full time students: 3.7%
Graduates 16-74: 18.2%
No Qualifications 16-74: 34.2%
Owner-Occupied: 66.6%
Social Housing: 23.1% (Council: 13.7%, Housing Ass.: 9.4%)
Privately Rented: 6.8%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 7.4%
I stand corrected – I was thinking of Llanedeyrn.
The issue of Llanrumney playing fields/Eastern Leisure Centre might have an effect on Lib Dems as it was their policy, but I dont think it will have any effect on Plaid as they were not seen as being associated with this particular plan (unlike in Canton and Whitchurch where they were more involved)
I wouldn’t be so confident. More and more of a Conservative swing to be seen, though Labour have canvassed strongly in Llanrumney and St Mellons
By the way, new Alun Michael leaflet spotted today the first since the diastrous mispelt main election communication. Apart from use of capital letters after colons, this one seems fairly correct!
Yes – I know, there’s another ’s’ in disastrous. It always happens when you comment on someone else’s spelling doesn’t it?
The Senedd (Welsh Assembly building) is in Butetown ward in this constituency
Am I correct in thinking that since the Westminster boundary changes, those boundaries are now co-terminous with Cardiff Bay boundaries?
In the meantime Harry all Cardiff and Westminster boundaries are co-terminous….don’t know what will happen when number of MPs reduced.