The UKPollingReport election guide for 2010 has now been archived and all comments closed. The new Election Guide for the 2015 election is now online at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide. The old site is archived at the UK Web Archive.
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Cardiff North

2010 Results:
Conservative: 17860 (37.5%)
Labour: 17666 (37.09%)
Liberal Democrat: 8724 (18.32%)
Plaid Cymru: 1588 (3.33%)
UKIP: 1130 (2.37%)
Green: 362 (0.76%)
Christian: 300 (0.63%)
Majority: 194 (0.41%)

2005 Results:
Labour: 17707 (39%)
Conservative: 16561 (36.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 8483 (18.7%)
Plaid Cymru: 1936 (4.3%)
Other: 673 (1.5%)
Majority: 1146 (2.5%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 13680 (31.6%)
Labour: 19845 (45.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 6631 (15.3%)
Plaid Cymru: 2471 (5.7%)
UKIP: 613 (1.4%)
Majority: 6165 (14.3%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 16334 (33.7%)
Labour: 24460 (50.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 5294 (10.9%)
Plaid Cymru: 1201 (2.5%)
Referendum: 1199 (2.5%)
Majority: 8126 (16.8%)

No Boundary Changes:

Profile: Cardiff North covers the affluent residential suburbs of northern Cardiff, taking in places like Heath, Lisvane, pleasant villages that have become subsumed into Cardiff like Rhiwbina and Whitchurch (home of the Welsh Conservative party) and to the north a smattering of country parks and tourist villages like Coryton and Tonywynlais.

This is is a strongly middle class area, largely Conservative at a local level (and since 2007 at the Assembly level). Until the landslide of 1997 it was held by the Conservatives at every election but 1966 and along with Aberconwy appears to be one of the two most obvious Tory targets in the principality.

At the 2005 election Catherine Taylor-Dawson, standing for Rainbow George Weiss`s Rainbow Dream Ticket party in all four Cardiff seats, managed to secure only a single vote, the record low for a Parliamentary contest.

`portrait`Current MP: Jonathan Evans (Conservative) born 1950, Tredegar. Educated at Lewis School Pengam. Contested Brecon and Radnorshire 1987. MP for Brecon and Radnorshire 1992-1997. MEP for Wales since 2000.

2010 election candidates:
`portrait`Jonathan Evans (Conservative) born 1950, Tredegar. Educated at Lewis School Pengam. Contested Brecon and Radnorshire 1987. MP for Brecon and Radnorshire 1992-1997. MEP for Wales since 2000.
`portrait`Julie Morgan(Labour) born 1944, Cardiff. Educated at Howell`s School and Kings College London. Former social worker and assistant director of Barnardos. South Glamorgan councillor 1985-1997. Cardiff councillor 1995. Contested Cardiff North 1992. First elected as MP for Cardiff North 1997. She is married to Rhodri Morgan, the First Minister of Wales. (more information at They work for you)
`portrait`John Dixon (Liberal Democrat) Cardiff councillor
portraitLlywelyn Rhys (Plaid Cymru)
portraitChristopher von Ruhland (Green)
portraitLawrence Gwynn (UKIP)
portraitDerek Thompson (Christian Party)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 81844
Male: 47.3%
Female: 52.7%
Under 18: 22.4%
Over 60: 21.6%
Born outside UK: 5.7%
White: 95.1%
Black: 0.4%
Asian: 2%
Mixed: 1.3%
Other: 1.2%
Christian: 73%
Hindu: 0.7%
Muslim: 1.5%
Full time students: 8.7%
Graduates 16-74: 28.7%
No Qualifications 16-74: 21.2%
Owner-Occupied: 83.3%
Social Housing: 9.6% (Council: 6.3%, Housing Ass.: 3.3%)
Privately Rented: 4.9%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 4.4%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. It will be replaced by a new guide in 2013, once the fate of the boundary review is finally settled.