Cambridgeshire North East
Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 22187 (46.8%)
Labour: 14657 (30.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 8042 (17%)
Other: 2536 (5.3%)
Majority: 7530 (15.9%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 24181 (47.5%)
Labour: 15280 (30%)
Liberal Democrat: 8693 (17.1%)
UKIP: 2723 (5.4%)
Majority: 8901 (17.5%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 23132 (48.1%)
Labour: 16759 (34.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 6733 (14%)
UKIP: 1189 (2.5%)
Other: 238 (0.5%)
Majority: 6373 (13.3%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 23855 (43%)
Labour: 18754 (33.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 9070 (16.4%)
Referendum: 2636 (4.8%)
Other: 1110 (2%)
Majority: 5101 (9.2%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Malcolm Moss(Con) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: Steve Barclay (Conservative) born Lytham St Annes. Educated at King Edward VII School, RMA Sandhurst and Cambridge University. Solicitor and former amry officer. Contested Manchester Blackley 1997, Lancaster and Wyre 2001Peter Roberts (Labour) Educated at Cambridge University.Peter Reeve (UKIP) born Norwich. UKIP Regional organiser for the East. Contested Eccles 2005.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 98588
Male: 48.8%
Female: 51.2%
Under 18: 22%
Over 60: 24.1%
Born outside UK: 3.6%
White: 98.5%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 0.4%
Mixed: 0.6%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 77.2%
Full time students: 1.5%
Graduates 16-74: 10.2%
No Qualifications 16-74: 37.6%
Owner-Occupied: 74.9%
Social Housing: 14.1% (Council: 9.9%, Housing Ass.: 4.2%)
Privately Rented: 7.4%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 7.1%
“Clement Freud had a majority of over 5000 in 1983, and surprisingly lost in 1987 by just over 1000.”
Many of the political pundits at that time believed Clement Freud lost in 1987 because of the economic growth under the Thatcher Government.
The 1987 election seemed to be one where the Alliance didn’t pull off the usual trick of the Libs punching above their weight in their own areas.
I wonder whether some of the polls showing Labour catching up (despite the eventual result) drew off some C/Alliance voters back to the Tories.
But this was a rare example of a seat the Libs held without local government success so perhaps it just needs to be analysed on it’s own.
‘But this was a rare example of a seat the Libs held without local government success so perhaps it just needs to be analysed on it’s own.’
The Liberals won this seat becauser Clement Freud stood – simple
If he hadn’t they wouldn’t have come anywhere near to winning the seat
There was a council by-election in March West, in Fenland, yesterday,
but I don’t seem to be able to locate the exact result.
The Tories and Labour increased their shares a few points (1st and 2nd place respectively) with the LDs holding about where they were,
, and fewer Others compared to May 2007.
Fenland is another Tory council which could do with some tidying up of it’s web-site – small government!
http://www.wisbech-standard.co.uk/content/wisbech/news/story.aspx?brand=CATOnline&category=NewsWisbech&tBrand=HertsCambsOnline&tCategory=newslatestWIS&itemid=WEED09%20Oct%202009%2010%3A37%3A57%3A017
Here you are, Tory win.
This area roughly traced back to the former Isle of Ely seat and before that Wisbech has a long history of Liberal voting and used to switch hands quite a lot.
Of course, except for the 1973 by-election it would have remained Tory and barring another by-election will remain so for the forseeable future.
Yes it was more often Liberal than not. The Conservatives won the old Wisbech division only in 1886 and 1895 and the Isle of Ely only in 1922 and 1924 until gaining the seat in 1945. There were not many seats that the Tories failed to win in 1931 and 1935 but did win in 1945, but there had been no Labour candidate in 1935 (and no Tory candidate in 1931). This means that out of the 16 general elections between 1885 and 1935 inclusive the LIberals won 12 times and the Tories only 4. There have been 13 elections since the war (including 1945) and this seat has gone Tory 9 times and Liberal 4. There are not very many seats now where the Liberals have won in a majority of elections since 1885 and those few that are in that category are mostly in the celtic fringe.
That was a poor result for the LDs to put it mildly.
In December 2008 this new seat already had 82,469 voters, around 12,000 more than average.