Cambridgeshire North East
Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 22187 (46.8%)
Labour: 14657 (30.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 8042 (17%)
Other: 2536 (5.3%)
Majority: 7530 (15.9%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 24181 (47.5%)
Labour: 15280 (30%)
Liberal Democrat: 8693 (17.1%)
UKIP: 2723 (5.4%)
Majority: 8901 (17.5%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 23132 (48.1%)
Labour: 16759 (34.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 6733 (14%)
UKIP: 1189 (2.5%)
Other: 238 (0.5%)
Majority: 6373 (13.3%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 23855 (43%)
Labour: 18754 (33.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 9070 (16.4%)
Referendum: 2636 (4.8%)
Other: 1110 (2%)
Majority: 5101 (9.2%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Outgoing MP: Malcolm Moss(Conservative) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: Steve Barclay (Conservative) born Lytham St Annes. Educated at King Edward VII School, RMA Sandhurst and Cambridge University. Solicitor and former amry officer. Contested Manchester Blackley 1997, Lancaster and Wyre 2001
Peter Roberts (Labour) Born 1983, Derby. Educated at Backwell Comprehensive and Cambridge University. Managed the office of Dan Norris MP.Lorna Spenceley (Liberal Democrat)Robin Talbot (UKIP)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 98588
Male: 48.8%
Female: 51.2%
Under 18: 22%
Over 60: 24.1%
Born outside UK: 3.6%
White: 98.5%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 0.4%
Mixed: 0.6%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 77.2%
Full time students: 1.5%
Graduates 16-74: 10.2%
No Qualifications 16-74: 37.6%
Owner-Occupied: 74.9%
Social Housing: 14.1% (Council: 9.9%, Housing Ass.: 4.2%)
Privately Rented: 7.4%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 7.1%
What was Freud’s connection to the constituency before he was elected?
Barnaby, there were two seats on the Chatteris TC, The Mills ward, and they split – one Conservative and one gained by LD.
I think you are referring to the Fenlands DC, where The Mills ward was won narrowly by the Conservatives – but an interesting result because (a) The Conservative majority over the LDs was under 3%, and the “paper” Labour candidate who intervened drew 5% of the anti-Conservative vote and (b) a large part of the 11.2% drop in the Conservative vote was due to intervention by UKIP.
It should of course be re-stated that Ely is no longer in this seat,
despite this seat being the main successor –
(people know though).
The failure of the Tories to recapture the Isle of Ely (and the Isle of White, and Berwick-upon-Tweed) from the Liberals in the favourable circumstances of 1979 was surely a great disappointment for the Tories, despite the increases in votes.
1979
Isle of Ely
Liberal hold
CR Freud Liberal 26,397 46.69%
IT Stuttaford Conservative 23,067 40.80%
CH Saunders Labour 7,067 12.50%
Electorate: 69,954; Turnout: 80.81%;
Majority: 3,330 (5.89%)
October 1974
Isle of Ely
Liberal hold
CR Freud Liberal 22,040 41.73%
IT Stuttaford Conservative 19,355 36.65%
M Ferris Labour 11,420 21.62%
Electorate: 68,491; Turnout: 77.11%;
Majority: 2,685 ( 5.08%)
February 1974
Isle of Ely
new constituency boundaries
CR Freud Liberal 27,647 49.00%
J Stevens Conservative 19,300 34.20%
M Ferris Labour 9,478 16.80%
Electorate: 67,884; Turnout: 83.12%;
Majority: 8,347 (14.79%)
1970 (different boundaries)
Isle of Ely
Conservative hold
EAH Legge-Bourke Conservative 28,972 59.94%
RE O’Hare Labour 19,366 40.06%
Electorate: 67,264; Turnout 71.86%;
Majority: 9,606 (19.87%)
Andy – Freud lived in East Anglia before the byelection. If my memory is correct, Freud had a house in Mepal. I am not sure if this is in Cambridgeshire NE or in whichever constituency includes Ely today. He also had a house in a Suffolk village – but I cannot remember where.
(And that is my post above – Jeffrey Maynard – I must have forgotten to login so it did not show up in the correct colour.)
Incidentally, the Conservative colour back in the 1970s in Cambridgeshire was pink – not blue.
Lorna Spenceley has been selected as the Lib Dem candidate here.
Ah yes she’s stood in Harlow at least twice before if I’m not mistaken.
Lorna Spenceley stood in Harlow 4 times, 1992, 1997, 2001 and 2005.
This seat has been altered slightly in the new boundaries.
Nevertheless, a reasonable comparison can be made to beforehand.
I looked up the 1995 local elections here, when Labour gained control of Fenland Council (in what, by most adjusted measures, was probably their best ever year).
Labour had 39/40% in Cambridgeshire NE, with the Tories on 31-32%.
Labour won all the seats in March, but Wisbech was still split between Con 1 ward, Lab 2, LD 1.
I wonder if there’s any chance of the LDs coming back into second place here.
The national swing suggests not.
The opposition to the Tories in 2009 appeared pretty fragmented between Labour, UKIP and Lib Dems.