The UKPollingReport election guide for 2010 has now been archived and all comments will shortly be closed. The new Election Guide for the 2015 election is now online at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide. The old site is archived at the UK Web Archive.
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Caerphilly

2010 Results:
Conservative: 6622 (16.98%)
Labour: 17377 (44.57%)
Liberal Democrat: 5988 (15.36%)
Plaid Cymru: 6460 (16.57%)
BNP: 1635 (4.19%)
UKIP: 910 (2.33%)
Majority: 10755 (27.59%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 20082 (55.4%)
Plaid Cymru: 6585 (18.2%)
Conservative: 5361 (14.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 3602 (9.9%)
Other: 594 (1.6%)
Majority: 13497 (37.3%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 5711 (14.6%)
Labour: 22190 (56.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 3861 (9.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 6831 (17.4%)
Other: 636 (1.6%)
Majority: 15359 (39.2%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 4413 (11.4%)
Labour: 22597 (58.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 3649 (9.4%)
Plaid Cymru: 8172 (21%)
Majority: 14425 (37.1%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 4858 (10.7%)
Labour: 30697 (67.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 3724 (8.2%)
Plaid Cymru: 4383 (9.7%)
Referendum: 1337 (3%)
Other: 270 (0.6%)
Majority: 25839 (57.1%)

Boundary changes:

Profile:

portraitCurrent MP: Wayne David(Labour) (more information at They work for you)

2010 election candidates:
portraitMaria Caulfield (Conservative)
portraitWayne David(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
portraitKay David (Liberal Democrat) Part time lecturer
portraitLindsay Whittle (Plaid Cymru) born Caerphilly 1953. Educated at Caerfillie Boys Grammar and the University of Wales. Caerphilly councillor. Leader of Caerphilly council 1999- contested Caerphilly 1983, 1987, 1992, 1997, 2001, 2005, 2007 Welsh assembly election.
portraitTony Jenkins (UKIP)
portraitLaurence Reid (BNP)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 79314
Male: 48.7%
Female: 51.3%
Under 18: 24.7%
Over 60: 19.1%
Born outside UK: 1.9%
White: 98.9%
Asian: 0.3%
Mixed: 0.5%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 66.4%
Full time students: 2.6%
Graduates 16-74: 13.9%
No Qualifications 16-74: 37.1%
Owner-Occupied: 74.2%
Social Housing: 20.2% (Council: 16%, Housing Ass.: 4.2%)
Privately Rented: 3.9%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 2.7%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide