Caerphilly
2010 Results:
Conservative: 6622 (16.98%)
Labour: 17377 (44.57%)
Liberal Democrat: 5988 (15.36%)
Plaid Cymru: 6460 (16.57%)
BNP: 1635 (4.19%)
UKIP: 910 (2.33%)
Majority: 10755 (27.59%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 20082 (55.4%)
Plaid Cymru: 6585 (18.2%)
Conservative: 5361 (14.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 3602 (9.9%)
Other: 594 (1.6%)
Majority: 13497 (37.3%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 5711 (14.6%)
Labour: 22190 (56.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 3861 (9.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 6831 (17.4%)
Other: 636 (1.6%)
Majority: 15359 (39.2%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 4413 (11.4%)
Labour: 22597 (58.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 3649 (9.4%)
Plaid Cymru: 8172 (21%)
Majority: 14425 (37.1%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 4858 (10.7%)
Labour: 30697 (67.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 3724 (8.2%)
Plaid Cymru: 4383 (9.7%)
Referendum: 1337 (3%)
Other: 270 (0.6%)
Majority: 25839 (57.1%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Wayne David(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Maria Caulfield (Conservative)Wayne David(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Kay David (Liberal Democrat) Part time lecturer
Lindsay Whittle (Plaid Cymru) born Caerphilly 1953. Educated at Caerfillie Boys Grammar and the University of Wales. Caerphilly councillor. Leader of Caerphilly council 1999- contested Caerphilly 1983, 1987, 1992, 1997, 2001, 2005, 2007 Welsh assembly election.Tony Jenkins (UKIP) Laurence Reid (BNP) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 79314
Male: 48.7%
Female: 51.3%
Under 18: 24.7%
Over 60: 19.1%
Born outside UK: 1.9%
White: 98.9%
Asian: 0.3%
Mixed: 0.5%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 66.4%
Full time students: 2.6%
Graduates 16-74: 13.9%
No Qualifications 16-74: 37.1%
Owner-Occupied: 74.2%
Social Housing: 20.2% (Council: 16%, Housing Ass.: 4.2%)
Privately Rented: 3.9%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 2.7%
Complete horseshit.
It’s more likely Ron Davies will drag down Plaid Cymru’s vote share.
After his moments of madness on Clapham Common and subsequent cruising and “badgerwatching” scandals, not to mention his compulsive party-switching, he doesn’t have the credibility with the public to be able to win without being the official Labour candidate. And that’s only because they would vote for a donkey with a red rosette on it down here.
The voters of Caerphilly will not be taken in by Ron Davies. Yes he got 22% (as an independent) at a time when Labour were out of favour in Wales. Plaid Cymru are on the wane in Caerphilly and with the new government persuing policies that will go against the people of Caerphilly I strongly doubt a Ron Davies victory. Remember, Plaid have NEVER won Caerphilly!!
Suprisingly quiet thread for a contest such as this.
Ron Davies is a big name and will attract a lot of intrest.
However for what its worth at least at the moment im going to say Labour hold. Probably by at least 1000+ majority i’d say it will be about 1800-2000 to Labour.
If Ron and Plaid were every to take this then it would be by a wafer thin majority.
‘ Plaid have NEVER won Caerphilly!! ‘
Doesn’t mean they wont ever
‘You will never ride a bike…..cos you never had’
You have a lot of hate against PLaid considering its the tories shafting Wales ……ha….
Welsh Assembly 2011: Lab Hold
perhaps Ron Davies will push up PC but not by more than 7% on 07.
Labour should win by 15% or so.
Wayne David MP been caught removing Plaid Cymru placards from gardens in Caerffili….astonishing !!
The percentage of atheists in Caerphilly increased from 17% to 41% between 2001 and 2011.