Comments on: Bristol North West

By: Sir Norfolk Passmore

Sir Norfolk Passmore — Wed, 17 Mar 2010 18:56:22 +0000

The retiring MP, Doug Naysmith, will be standing in Avonmouth in the City Council elections in May.

This was previously a split Lab/Con seat but the Tories took out the remaining Labour councillor last year (indeed, they won no NW Bristol seats losing Horfield, Kingsweston and rather amazingly Southmead to the Lib Dems).

Naysmith is taking on a longstanding and pretty popular Tory, Spud Murphy, so it should be an interesting contest. Fair play to Naysmith putting himself on the line in a tough seat really, although I would guess Spud will hang on.

By: RodCrosby

RodCrosby — Sun, 14 Mar 2010 12:18:07 +0000

Here’s an opportunity to “declare” this seat, and contribute to the overall prediction for 2010

http://hungparliament2010.blogspot.com/2010/01/i-undermentioned-hereby-give-notice.html

By: Jermel A

Jermel A — Tue, 09 Mar 2010 14:23:14 +0000

Well, I live in t’mead and i’ve only had Lib Dem + Tory mainly…. Mostly pictures of Charlotte Leslie with her family. Have not had ANY Labour party material since the European Elections…in fact we’ve had a few BNP.

I’m favouring the Lib Dem candidate personally….

By: EhUp

EhUp — Tue, 02 Mar 2010 15:56:15 +0000

I’d be interested to know what the Tories and/or Lib Dems think of Labour’s high volume of canvassing. Myself and quite a few of my friends have had Labour activists in our areas but whilst we have had a shed load of literature coming through the door, we haven’t seen a single Tory or Lib Dem actually out on the streets.

By: doktorb

doktorb — Tue, 15 Dec 2009 13:19:03 +0000

PPC News!

Alex Dunn is the Green Party candidate here, the first Green Party candidate ever selected for the Bristol North West constituency.

By: paul mateo

paul mateo — Mon, 16 Nov 2009 00:49:50 +0000

Charlotte Leslie will be the favourite to win Bristol North West in 2010.

By: Sir Norfolk Passmore

Sir Norfolk Passmore — Mon, 09 Nov 2009 10:19:51 +0000

Phil – Henleaze was indeed once safe Tory. An exceptionally strong husband and wife team (the Browns) changed that during the Tory nadir and it was safe Lib Dem for a while. They retired in 2006 and 2009 and it appears to have reverted to a somewhat closer fight.

However, the Tories might well have missed their best chances to reclaim the territory in the switchover elections – Clare Campion-Smith who won in 2006 is a strong councillor and will probably win with Tory resources focussed on holding their remaining Horfield councillor (a losing battle I suspect). The demographics have also changed since the Tory heyday here as young professionals and families have migrated from the Lib Dem wards south of the Downs and the ward has started to resemble Cotham/Redland more than Stoke Bishop.

By: Peter Crerar

Peter Crerar — Thu, 15 Oct 2009 12:43:37 +0000

Conservative: 22000
Labour: 16500
Liberal Democrat: 10500
Other: 2000
Majority: 5500

By: shadsy

shadsy — Thu, 15 Oct 2009 12:31:34 +0000

Ladbrokes:
Con 1/16
Lab 8/1
LD 16/1

By: Phil

Phil — Sun, 26 Jul 2009 22:15:47 +0000

I’m guessing that Henleaze was once quite safe Conservative territory once?

Maybe the party will gain a seat in the ward at next year’s elections.