Bristol East
2010 Results:
Conservative: 12749 (28.32%)
Labour: 16471 (36.59%)
Liberal Democrat: 10993 (24.42%)
BNP: 1960 (4.35%)
UKIP: 1510 (3.35%)
Green: 803 (1.78%)
English Democrat: 347 (0.77%)
TUSC: 184 (0.41%)
Majority: 3722 (8.27%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 20047 (44.8%)
Conservative: 12668 (28.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 9139 (20.4%)
Other: 2926 (6.5%)
Majority: 7379 (16.5%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 8787 (21.1%)
Labour: 19152 (45.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 10531 (25.2%)
Green: 1586 (3.8%)
UKIP: 1132 (2.7%)
Other: 532 (1.3%)
Majority: 8621 (20.7%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 8788 (21.8%)
Labour: 22180 (55%)
Liberal Democrat: 6915 (17.1%)
UKIP: 572 (1.4%)
Green: 1110 (2.8%)
Other: 769 (1.9%)
Majority: 13392 (33.2%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 11259 (23.4%)
Labour: 27418 (56.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 7121 (14.8%)
Referendum: 1479 (3.1%)
Other: 924 (1.9%)
Majority: 16159 (33.5%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Kerry McCarthy(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Adeela Shafi (Conservative) University lecturer and charity fundraiser. Received a commendation from the Pakistani government in 2007 for raising funds for the victims of the October 2006 earthquake in Pakistan.Kerry McCarthy(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Mike Popham (Liberal Democrat) Born 1953, Glastonbury. Former RAF Squadron leader. Director of a risk and compliance software company. Former Woking councillor. Bristol councillor since 2007.Glenn Vowles (Green) Philip Collins (UKIP) Brian Jenkins (BNP) Stephen Wright (English Democrat) Rae Lynch (TUSC) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 89307
Male: 48.3%
Female: 51.7%
Under 18: 22.2%
Over 60: 21.1%
Born outside UK: 5.5%
White: 93.1%
Black: 1.9%
Asian: 2.8%
Mixed: 1.6%
Other: 0.5%
Christian: 66.8%
Hindu: 0.6%
Muslim: 1.7%
Sikh: 0.6%
Full time students: 4.4%
Graduates 16-74: 15.3%
No Qualifications 16-74: 29.9%
Owner-Occupied: 72.7%
Social Housing: 16.8% (Council: 13.3%, Housing Ass.: 3.5%)
Privately Rented: 7.4%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 8.3%
It looks likely that the LDs will lose control in Bristol, since they only need to lose 3 seats to do so. However they are defending quite substantial majorities in most of them & won’t lose without a serious fight. Not many of the wards won by the LDs will be easy Labour gains, though the party has a good chance in several such as Eastville & perhaps Windmill Hill. Most of the rather few seats defended by the Conservatives should be held but Frome Vale will be a target for Labour. Looks like LD LOSE CONTROL here but remain the largest party.