Bristol East
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 20047 (44.8%)
Conservative: 12668 (28.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 9139 (20.4%)
Other: 2926 (6.5%)
Majority: 7379 (16.5%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 8787 (21.1%)
Labour: 19152 (45.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 10531 (25.2%)
Green: 1586 (3.8%)
UKIP: 1132 (2.7%)
Other: 532 (1.3%)
Majority: 8621 (20.7%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 8788 (21.8%)
Labour: 22180 (55%)
Liberal Democrat: 6915 (17.1%)
UKIP: 572 (1.4%)
Green: 1110 (2.8%)
Other: 769 (1.9%)
Majority: 13392 (33.2%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 11259 (23.4%)
Labour: 27418 (56.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 7121 (14.8%)
Referendum: 1479 (3.1%)
Other: 924 (1.9%)
Majority: 16159 (33.5%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Kerry McCarthy(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: 
Adeela Shafi (Conservative) University lecturer and charity fundraiser. Received a commendation from the Pakistani government in 2007 for raising funds for the victims of the October 2006 earthquake in Pakistan.
Mike Popham (Liberal Democrat) Born 1953, Glastonbury. Former RAF Squadron leader. Director of a risk and compliance software company. Former Woking councillor. Bristol councillor since 2007.Glenn Vowles (Green) 
Scott Wright (English Democrat)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 89307
Male: 48.3%
Female: 51.7%
Under 18: 22.2%
Over 60: 21.1%
Born outside UK: 5.5%
White: 93.1%
Black: 1.9%
Asian: 2.8%
Mixed: 1.6%
Other: 0.5%
Christian: 66.8%
Hindu: 0.6%
Muslim: 1.7%
Sikh: 0.6%
Full time students: 4.4%
Graduates 16-74: 15.3%
No Qualifications 16-74: 29.9%
Owner-Occupied: 72.7%
Social Housing: 16.8% (Council: 13.3%, Housing Ass.: 3.5%)
Privately Rented: 7.4%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 8.3%
At the moment that seems the most likely outcome, yes.
PPC News!
Glenn Vowles is the replacement Green Party candidate here.
I wonder if that 11/10 is still available? Maybe worth a speculative tenner especially if the LD vote is squeezed.
n.b I think this is a two horse race between Labour and the Cons. And maybe a very tight one at that.
The Green Party has chosen Glenn Vowles to contest the Bristol East seat in this year’s general election.
Glenn Vowles, 48, who teaches Environmental Decision Making and Environmental Studies with the Open University has been a general election candidate on two previous occasions. He is also their lead campaigner in Knowle where he has helped to triple the Green vote to over 15% in recent years. He contested the Eastville seat in the 2009 local elections, raising to green vote there to 14%. His Vowles the Green blog is very well known and he writes regularly in the local press.
“I’m very excited to be contesting this seat for the Greens. Our current politicians and the systems they have created are self-serving and inadequate. I think voters should empowered with the ability to recall, effectively sack, MPs who break rules. This has been a longstanding Green Party policy and there is no better time for it than now.”
“There is very little to choose between the ‘big three’ parties and voting for them will fundamentally change nothing ” Vowles said.
“The Green Party is about thinking afresh about the kind of economy, society and politics that is ethical and can sustain us and future generations. ”
“The Government has become pretty unpopular and this is likely to increase those voting Green in Bristol East.”
http://politicalscrapbook.net/2010/02/huge-debts-of-tory-candidate-leave-voters-with-prospect-of-disqualified-mp/
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/top-stories/2010/02/01/cam-star-has-325k-ccj-debt-115875-22010144/