Bristol East
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 20047 (44.8%)
Conservative: 12668 (28.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 9139 (20.4%)
Other: 2926 (6.5%)
Majority: 7379 (16.5%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 8787 (21.1%)
Labour: 19152 (45.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 10531 (25.2%)
Green: 1586 (3.8%)
UKIP: 1132 (2.7%)
Other: 532 (1.3%)
Majority: 8621 (20.7%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 8788 (21.8%)
Labour: 22180 (55%)
Liberal Democrat: 6915 (17.1%)
UKIP: 572 (1.4%)
Green: 1110 (2.8%)
Other: 769 (1.9%)
Majority: 13392 (33.2%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 11259 (23.4%)
Labour: 27418 (56.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 7121 (14.8%)
Referendum: 1479 (3.1%)
Other: 924 (1.9%)
Majority: 16159 (33.5%)
Boundary changes
Current MP: Kerry McCarthy (Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates:
Adeela Shafi (Conservative) University lecturer and charity fundraiser. Received a commendation from the Pakistani government in 2007 for raising funds for the victims of the October 2006 earthquake in Pakistan.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 89307
Male: 48.3%
Female: 51.7%
Under 18: 22.2%
Over 60: 21.1%
Born outside UK: 5.5%
White: 93.1%
Black: 1.9%
Asian: 2.8%
Mixed: 1.6%
Other: 0.5%
Christian: 66.8%
Hindu: 0.6%
Muslim: 1.7%
Sikh: 0.6%
Full time students: 4.4%
Graduates 16-74: 15.3%
No Qualifications 16-74: 29.9%
Owner-Occupied: 72.7%
Social Housing: 16.8% (Council: 13.3%, Housing Ass.: 3.5%)
Privately Rented: 7.4%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 8.3%
17 Responses
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Bournemouth West
My prediction for this seat;
Labour 18500
August 25th, 2008 at 3:16 pmCons 16000
Lib Dem 8000
Green 2000
Others 2000
I think the Tories may get closer. Despite there being 3 other target seats in Bristol - North West, FABS and Kingswood there are also several council targets for the tories in the seat which are up in 2010 (St George E/W, Brislington East, Frome Vale) So the seat will be worked hard because of this. I expect the majority may even be as low as 1000 and could even be a (very unlikely) Tory gain.
August 25th, 2008 at 11:16 pmPages: « 1 [2] Show All