Comments on: Bridgend

By: Frederic Stansfield

Frederic Stansfield — Mon, 01 Mar 2010 20:18:46 +0000

There’s just been a post for Blackpool North about voters living in static caravans.

I think there may be large numbers of caravans in this seat (at Porthcawl). Does anybody know how many registered voters in this constituency live in static caravans, or indeed can they estimate how many voters so living have been omitted from the register?. And what are the psephological implications?

By: Barnaby JL Marder

Barnaby JL Marder — Sun, 21 Feb 2010 11:30:46 +0000

In a by-election in Pendre ward on Thursday, Labour gained the seat from the LDs by 7 votes. Remarkably, the LDs had beaten Labour by 7 votes in the previous contest.

By: Matt

Matt — Sat, 13 Feb 2010 15:47:45 +0000

The Lib Dems have selected local councillor Wayne Morgan

By: penddu

penddu — Wed, 10 Feb 2010 13:42:40 +0000

Also speaking as an ex-Bridgend boy, it is clear that Labour is not well liked here but that many locals are very anti-Conservative here and it is difficult to see many people switching direct from Labour to Conservatives.

The LDs and Plaid both have their pockets of support, but people are unwilling to switch to them for fear of letting the Conservatives (like they did in 1983).

In the longer term I can see LDs emerging as a credible candidate (and Plaid in next door Ogmore) but for now it should be a narrow Labour hold at Westminster (stronger position for them in WA because of Carwyn Jones)

By: Tim13

Tim13 — Wed, 10 Feb 2010 12:23:28 +0000

Sometimes I think this hotch potch of different result predictions is special pleading by particular parties that they can hold or gain seats despite what’s happening across the country.

Well, they do always say it takes one to see one, Joe!

By: Joe James B

Joe James B — Wed, 10 Feb 2010 11:38:22 +0000

I am in some agreement with Shaun on this.
I think there has been more variation, between regions from 1979 onwards, but not always so, and not always within regions.

Sometimes I think this hotch potch of different result predictions is special pleading by particular parties that they can hold or gain seats despite what’s happening across the country.
And of course, there’s never a swing against the LDs in any LD seats.

By: Shaun Bennett

Shaun Bennett — Wed, 10 Feb 2010 10:18:29 +0000

It seems that the fasion nowadays is to look at each parliamentary seat and expect the result to go completely higgledy-piggledy in every constituency in the land without any real overall trend emerging.

That would certainly be the indication when some people expect Bridgend to fall from Labour’s hands but Exeter and Lincoln not to. We are told by some that Ashfield may be in danger, but that Gedling may be held.

And yet the fact remains that whether we like it or not, the starting safeness of a constituency is still as good an indication as any of how most of them will go (and yes, I do accept that every election has its eccentric results that genuinely buck the trend).

But based on what people on this site suggest, the next elections only trend is that there will be NO trend! Do measures of safeness mean nothing to you people???

By: David North

David North — Wed, 10 Feb 2010 05:18:00 +0000

The Plaid Cymru candidate is Nick Thomas.

By: Lancs Observer

Lancs Observer — Wed, 03 Feb 2010 02:07:54 +0000

There’s a by-election here next week. Any news?

By: Litchardboy

Litchardboy — Sun, 31 Jan 2010 18:26:05 +0000

As a born and bred Bridgend man, I totally disagree with the comments that Labour will hold on here and Ms Moon is a shoe-in. Her recent expense claims have been less than welcomed by most of my fellow townspeople. And you have to remember that the recent change of council to Lib Dem control was down to a capitulation in the Labour vote because people in the county borough had got totally disenchanted with the Labour councillors.
I think the Conservatives will regain the initiative in wards such as Porthcawl, Bridgend Town, Litchard whilst Plaid will continue to do well in Laleston, leaving only Cefn Glas and Aberkenfig for Labour – which might even turn to Plaid or Lib Dems.