Brent Central
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 18383 (50.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 11776 (32.1%)
Conservative: 4901 (13.4%)
Other: 1636 (4.5%)
Majority: 6608 (18%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 4485 (15.1%)
Labour: 17501 (58.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 6175 (20.7%)
Green: 957 (3.2%)
Other: 646 (2.2%)
Majority: 11326 (38.1%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 3604 (12.6%)
Labour: 20984 (73.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 3098 (10.8%)
Other: 951 (3.3%)
Majority: 17380 (60.7%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 5489 (15.9%)
Labour: 25180 (73%)
Liberal Democrat: 2670 (7.7%)
Referendum: 497 (1.4%)
Other: 662 (1.9%)
Majority: 19691 (57.1%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Outgoing MP: Dawn Butler(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: 
Sachin Rajput (Conservative) Barnet councillor.Dawn Butler(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Sarah Teather (Liberal Democrat) born 1974, London. Educated at Cambridge University. First elected to Brent East at the 2003 by-election, becoming the youngest MP in the House of Commons. Liberal Democrat Education spokesman 2006-2007, Universities spokesman after the split in the departments following Gordon Brown becoming Prime Minister and Lib Dem shadow secretary of state on business since Nick Clegg became leader in December 2007. Currently the MP for Brent East, which disappears under boundary changes, Teather has confirmed she will be standing in Brent Central at the next election. 
Shahrar Ali (Green) Educated at UCL. Green Party London Policy Coordinator. Contested Brent East 2005. Will contest Brent and Harrow at 2008 London Assembly elections.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 114487
Male: 48.3%
Female: 51.7%
Under 18: 22.9%
Over 60: 14.7%
Born outside UK: 47%
White: 47%
Black: 25.9%
Asian: 19.8%
Mixed: 4.1%
Other: 3.3%
Christian: 54%
Hindu: 11%
Jewish: 1.2%
Muslim: 12.6%
Full time students: 8.3%
Graduates 16-74: 28.7%
No Qualifications 16-74: 26.3%
Owner-Occupied: 48.8%
Social Housing: 29.5% (Council: 11.2%, Housing Ass.: 18.4%)
Privately Rented: 18.5%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 9%
I used to think Kensal Green and Kensal Town were basically the same area but in fact I think the latter is in Regents Park and Kensington North / Westminster North.
The name Kensal Town isn’t used much these days. Most of the areas north of Notting Hill Gate in the Royal Borough tend to be generically known as Notting Hill.
It could be argued that part of the Kensal Green neighbourhood is in Brent East but that depends where you draw the neighbourhood boundary. Certainly at least the majority is in Brent South.
BREAKING NEWS:
Councillor Bertha Joseph suspended
Councillor Bertha Joseph has been suspended from her duties as a councillor with immediate effect. This follows a decision by the First-tier Tribunal, which has replaced the Adjudication Panel, to reject her appeal against the suspension as a councillor for six months by the Standards Committee.
The decision means she will not be able to perform council duties until the end of the suspension period, including constituency work and any formal business of the council. However, she can still stand as a candidate for election.
The suspension period comes into effect from today, Tuesday 9 February 2010 and will run until her current term of office ends on 10 May 2010.
Brent Council Standards Committee made its decision last October after considering allegations of breaches of the Members’ Code of Conduct.
The Adjudication Panel for England was an independent body set up to rule on alleged breaches of local authorities’ codes of conduct for members. Its functions were transferred to the First-tier Tribunal (Local Government Standards in England) which superseded it from 10 January 2010.
Sarah Teather won Brent East in 2003 on a 29% swing and retained the seat with a 30.7% swing in 2005 (both on the 2001 result). Pretty extraordinary.
With Dawn Butler’s expenses blowing up, this “should be” Labour seat could well be very close. Teather has to find another 10% swing on top of the current national swing to make it s Lib Dem seat and she has previous form.
I think that Sarah Teather will win here by a couple of thousand votes. She has a high local, london wide and national profile and is an ardent campaigner. I think that Dawn Butlers expences naughtyness will cause her a lot of difficulties. my prediction
LD 42%
Lab 39%
Con 11%
Green 8%
I think the social make up of this new constituency is more like Brent South, with a far greater loyalty to Labour than Brent East (which almost went Tory in 1987).
Labour could win here by 4000 with ease.
Surely the Lib Dems are more likely to be targeting Hampstead & Kilburn than here (not just to defeat Glenda but also to insure the Conservatives do not come through the middle).
Which seats has the Dollis Hill area been in since 1885?