Bolton South East
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 21897 (55.6%)
Conservative: 9245 (23.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 6884 (17.5%)
Other: 1392 (3.5%)
Majority: 12652 (32.1%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 6491 (20.4%)
Labour: 18129 (56.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 6047 (19%)
UKIP: 840 (2.6%)
Other: 343 (1.1%)
Majority: 11638 (36.5%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 8258 (24.2%)
Labour: 21129 (61.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 3941 (11.5%)
Other: 826 (2.4%)
Majority: 12871 (37.7%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 8545 (19.7%)
Labour: 29856 (68.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 3805 (8.8%)
Referendum: 973 (2.2%)
Other: 170 (0.4%)
Majority: 21311 (49.2%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Outgoing MP: Brian Iddon(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: Andy Morgan (Conservative) Yasmin Qureshi (Labour) born Gujrat. Barrister and human rights advisor to Ken Livingstone. Contested Brent East 2005.Donal O`Hanlon (Liberal Democrat) Alan Johnson (Green)Michael Hulmes (UKIP)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 94395
Male: 48.8%
Female: 51.2%
Under 18: 25.8%
Over 60: 18.5%
Born outside UK: 9.6%
White: 83.6%
Black: 0.7%
Asian: 14.1%
Mixed: 1.1%
Other: 0.4%
Christian: 69.4%
Hindu: 3.2%
Muslim: 10.9%
Full time students: 3.7%
Graduates 16-74: 11.1%
No Qualifications 16-74: 38.8%
Owner-Occupied: 63.5%
Social Housing: 27% (Council: 20.3%, Housing Ass.: 6.7%)
Privately Rented: 5.7%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 15.8%
Conservatives have selected local councillor Andy Morgan to stand here (hat-tip to Conhome)
Andrew Morgan has a very high profile locally and I am told a lot of labour supporters are no happy about Quershi and a lot of them actually like Andy (not your normal tory). All in all this might be a lot closer that suspected and might be another Crewe result on the night.
Lib Dem vote needs to be squeezed by the Tories but Counsellor Morgan may just have a chance.
The Lib Dems have selected Donal O’Hanlon here
What aload of rubbish about Andrew Morgan being high profile local and liked by labour.
Hisis figure of fun, not liked even by the Tories. He was chosen because not oe else ran for it.
There were three members of labour party unhappy that there man lost the seletion but even they are okay about. \
Well, fortunately for John, Labour are not about to lose Bolton South East, regardless of how good Andy Morgan may or may not be, or how happy (or otherwise) the local party are with Yasmin Qureshi.
Obviously John knows nothing about Bolotn politics and nothing about Andrew or the local Tory Party. I think Andrew would be a good MP and the Labour Party locally is a shambles and in a mess.
If Ms Quershi is so good why has she not appeared in Bolton since her selection?
Could be an interesting turn around in 2010 if Yasmin wins here and her former rival Sarah Teather looses in Brent Central (both results probably more likely than not to happen).
I don’ think someone should be posting in the name of Yasmin Qureshi unless it really is her.
It wasn’t. Yasmin Qureshi’s local party have confirmed the comment was nothing whatsoever to do with her, so it has been deleted and the address blocked.
GE Prediction:
Labour: 17,000
Conservatives: 13500
Liberal Democrats: 8,000
According to the Facebook group “Save General Election Night” the Bolton seats are planning to count on the Friday. Comments on this site are generally hostile to such a plan not just in terms of popular interest also to ensure that the votes are counted as soon as possible to minimise any possibilities of tampering.
Labour will very probably win here; but it is conceivable that it will be a shock result that people will want to see. If, as the polls currently indicate, the national swing is about 10% it is quite conceivable that it will be 16% in a few cases, and there are indications from qualitative comments elsewhere on this site that Northern working class seats may as a group be swinging above average against Labour.
Alan Johnson is the Green Party candidate
alan johnson is green party candidate for bolton south east (not north east)