Bolton North East
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 15248 (45.4%)
Conservative: 11667 (34.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 5556 (16.5%)
Other: 1100 (3.3%)
Majority: 3581 (10.7%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 12771 (34.6%)
Labour: 16874 (45.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 6044 (16.4%)
UKIP: 640 (1.7%)
Other: 582 (1.6%)
Majority: 4103 (11.1%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 12744 (32.7%)
Labour: 21166 (54.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 4004 (10.3%)
Green: 629 (1.6%)
Other: 407 (1%)
Majority: 8422 (21.6%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 14952 (30.4%)
Labour: 27621 (56.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 4862 (9.9%)
Referendum: 1096 (2.2%)
Other: 676 (1.4%)
Majority: 12669 (25.7%)
Boundary changes
Current MP: David Crausby (Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates:
Deborah Dunleavy (Conservative) Contested Bolton South East in 2005
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 90223
Male: 48.5%
Female: 51.5%
Under 18: 23.8%
Over 60: 21%
Born outside UK: 7.3%
White: 88.6%
Black: 0.7%
Asian: 9.4%
Mixed: 1%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 74.1%
Hindu: 1.4%
Muslim: 8.1%
Full time students: 3.6%
Graduates 16-74: 15.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 33.8%
Owner-Occupied: 67.2%
Social Housing: 23.4% (Council: 18.1%, Housing Ass.: 5.3%)
Privately Rented: 6.1%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 15.2%
47 Responses
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Ruislip Northwood
“Peter Thurnham did very well to win Bolton NE in 1983, 1987 and 1992. Especially in 1992 when he was defending a majority of only 813 and held on by 185″
Bolton NE was a notionally Conservative seat in 1979 so would have been expected on those boundaries to return a Conservative MP when the Conservatives are winning nationally. Infact the swing in 1983 was not great. The Labour candidate Ann Taylor was the sitting MP for a small part of the seat then so Peter Thurnham should really have done alot better in 1987 when the old ‘double incumbency’ effect kicked in, as in Bury North next door. So really the result in 1987 was rather poor, to come so close to losing when the Conservatives were winning a national landslide (and bearing in mind that Withington was the only seat the party lost in the North West that year). 1992 can be seen as a good result compared with 1987, but only becasue 1987 was such a poor result.
May 18th, 2008 at 8:57 pmTwickenham (& Richmond Park,Windsor)
I don’t know this seat, but it appears from the 49-32-12 of May 1 that the LD vote can shift to the Tories if squeezed.
May 18th, 2008 at 9:25 pmI had wondered whether Labour could have shored their vote up with LDs to counter losses to the Tories.
I’d have to say this will be very close, I think.
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