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Blackley and Broughton

2010 Results:
Conservative: 6260 (18.3%)
Labour: 18563 (54.27%)
Liberal Democrat: 4861 (14.21%)
BNP: 2469 (7.22%)
UKIP: 894 (2.61%)
Christian: 161 (0.47%)
Others: 996 (2.91%)
Majority: 12303 (35.97%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 19030 (61.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 6239 (20.1%)
Conservative: 4136 (13.3%)
Other: 1607 (5.2%)
Majority: 12791 (41.2%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 3690 (13.4%)
Labour: 17187 (62.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 5160 (18.7%)
UKIP: 1554 (5.6%)
Majority: 12027 (43.6%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 3821 (14.4%)
Labour: 18285 (68.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 3015 (11.4%)
Other: 1402 (5.3%)
Majority: 14464 (54.5%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 5454 (15.3%)
Labour: 25042 (70%)
Liberal Democrat: 3937 (11%)
Referendum: 1323 (3.7%)
Majority: 19588 (54.8%)

Boundary changes: Loses Moston to Manchester Central. Gains Broughton and Kersal from Salford.

Profile: A new cross-border formaation, based on the old Manchester Blackley seat, now joined to two Salford wards.This is inner-city Manchester, cramped terraces, council estates an deprivation: Harpurhey in this seat was identified as the most deprived area in the country in 2004, although more recently it has seen some regeneration work. It is a multicultural area, originally much of the seat, especially Cheetham, was home to a large Jewish community, though they have tended to move westwards towards areas like Higher Crumpsall and Broughton Park, a wealthy pocket of large detached houses in this otherwise deprived seat. Cheetham and Crumpsall meanwhile are now home to a significant Muslim population, and there are also significant Irish, West Indian, Sikh and Polish communities. To the south the seat includes Strangeways prison (now officially HMP Manchester), it also includes two large urban parks, Heaton Park and Boggart Hole Clough.

Back in the 1950s Manchester Blackley was regarded as a weathervane seat, it is hard to imagine now – this is solid inner-city Labour territory, as of 2008 one of the few seats to still have a solid slate of Labour councillors.

portraitCurrent MP: Graham Stringer(Labour) born 1950, Manchester. Educated at Moston Brook High School and Sheffield University. Analtyical chemist. Manchester councillor 1979-1996. Leader of Manchester council 1984-1996. First elected as MP for Manchester Blackley 1997. PPS 1999-2001. Government whip 2001-2002. Following the loss of the Crewe and Nantwich by-election in 2008 he was the first Labour MP to call for Gordon Brown`s resignation (more information at They work for you)

2010 election candidates:
portraitJames Edsberg (Conservative) Business consultant.
portraitGraham Stringer(Labour) born 1950, Manchester. Educated at Moston Brook High School and Sheffield University. Analtyical chemist. Manchester councillor 1979-1996. Leader of Manchester council 1984-1996. First elected as MP for Manchester Blackley 1997. PPS 1999-2001. Government whip 2001-2002. Following the loss of the Crewe and Nantwich by-election in 2008 he was the first Labour MP to call for Gordon Brown`s resignation (more information at They work for you)
portraitWilliam Hobhouse (Liberal Democrat)
portraitRobert Willescroft (UKIP)
portraitDerek Adams (BNP) Publican, formerly ran a plant hire company. Contested Rochdale 2005, North West 2009 European election.
portraitShafiq-Uz-Zaman (Christian Party)
portraitKay Philips (Respect) GP.

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 85744
Male: 48.8%
Female: 51.2%
Under 18: 26.9%
Over 60: 20.2%
Born outside UK: 12.9%
White: 84.9%
Black: 2.3%
Asian: 8.4%
Mixed: 2.4%
Other: 2%
Christian: 62.4%
Jewish: 6.9%
Muslim: 8.9%
Full time students: 5%
Graduates 16-74: 13.4%
No Qualifications 16-74: 43.3%
Owner-Occupied: 44%
Social Housing: 40% (Council: 30.1%, Housing Ass.: 9.8%)
Privately Rented: 11.9%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 8.9%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide

76 Responses to “Blackley and Broughton”

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  1. Not a good one for the Lib Dems though, and the BNP easily retaining their deposit is noticeable also. I suspect the Lib Dem vote transferred largely to the tories while the BNP vote came mainly at the expense of Labour.

  2. The local elections suggested that the Tories would get into second place here.

  3. ‘Not a bad result for the Tories.’

    Not in the context of 2005 but given they once held this seat during the post war period (from 1951-1964) – I’d say 18.3% is nothing to write home about

    It’s interesting just how much the Northern cities have swung against the Conservatives in the last 20 years or so.

    The Tories used to be well represented in places like Liverpool, Manchester and Leeds. Now they can’t come anywhere near to winning so much as a solitary seat

  4. A lot of their voters have moved out to the surrounding suburban and rural areas, probably for a variety of reasons.

  5. The Tories got some good swings in Leeds and Greater Manchester – unfortunately it wasn’t very well directed at winnable seats.
    (apart from in the area which was brought into Leeds in 1974 – Elmet & Rothwell)

  6. ‘apart from in the area which was brought into Leeds in 1974 ā€“ Elmet & Rothwell)’

    But that constituency stretches as far as the very prosperous town of Wetherby so isn’t really typical of the type of places where the Tories could win before the late 90s but not now – the northern Leeds seats for example, or the Manchester Withingtons

    To be fair the Tories did pretty well in the semi-rural seats of West Yorkshire – it’s just the big cities where they fell well short

  7. There were big increases in the Tory share in Leeds Central and Leeds West. If the Labour to Conservative swing which occurred in Leeds Central had occurred in Leeds North East they would have gained the seat

  8. Is the BNP PPC well known locally? Over 7% when no PPC last time is quite an achievement for a minor Party.

  9. The Conservatives did well in the “small town” North (including in many former mining areas), but poorly (generally) in the “Big City” North, and particularly Middle-Class suburbs.

    Not too difficult to explain, many of the small towns are more reliant on the Private Sector, wheras the Public Sector is stronger in the Big Northern Cities.

    There was also a similar split between London and the rest of the South East. The Conservatives did poorly in the first but well in the latter.

    There is some evidence that Britain is increasingly following the American voting pattern, a process that started in the 1980s. The Conservatives have “lost” the Withingtons and Leeds NEs of this world, but they are now in contention in the former Mining Areas around Wakefield, something that would have been unthinkable only 15 years ago.

  10. Manchester Blackley was just 1.6% non-white at the time of the 1981 census according to the Almanac of British Politics (1983 edition).

  11. Yes but of course the seat didn;t include Cheetham then which it does now,. That is mainly responsible for the much higher figure in 2001, although Crumpsall has seen a big increase since then. I guess the 2011 census may show more of an increase in some of the other areas

  12. It still seems like an incredibly low figure for a Manchester seat not far from the city centre. Seats like Mid Sussex and Worthing had a higher non-white percentage in 1981 than Manchester Blackley.

  13. It wouldn’t be alone though; Salford has also been very slow to acquire a sizeable non-white population.

  14. remember that the ‘non-white’ figure for 1981 is in fact not ‘non-white’ , but percentage born in New Commonwealth & Pakistan. Inevitably that figure will have included white British people bron in the various outposts of the Empire. Given that decolonisation was only really complete about 20 years befoe the 1981 census, and the large number of retired people in Sussex, the numbers in areas like that is probably not negligible. Note that while the figure is 1.8% in both Worthing and Mid Sussex in 1981, the 1991 figure (which is for ‘ethnic groups other than white’) is 1.5%

  15. Pete,

    I wonder why all the cross border city seats traditionally carried the city prefix –

    Edinburgh East (1955 – 1983)
    Hull Haltenprice (1950 – 1955)
    Manchester Gorton (1955 – 1983)
    Nottingham South (1955 – 1974)

    And now they don’t –

    Blackley & Broughton
    Garston & Halewood
    Morley & Rothwell
    Wythenshawe & Sale East

    I suppose ‘Edinburgh & East & Mussleburgh’ was an exception that could have been ‘Portobello & Mussleburgh’ or ‘Duddingston & Mussleburgh’

  16. This MP seems to have put on weight and was wheezing whem being interviewed on BBC North West News just now.

  17. Maybe he was late and had to run for the interview?

    And I’d also like to just say that (in response to Dalek) I have NEVER heard Haltemprice referred to by any boundary commission as “Hull Haltemprice”. The suggestion is more horrific than words can say!

    And I’m afraid I don’t understand the question in relation to Nottingham South. What else should it have been called?

  18. The seat was often known as Hull Haltemprice from 1950-55 – I have certainly seen it referred to that way, perhaps in Keesings contemporary diaries.
    The question in relation to Nottingham South is that at that time it included areas both inside and outside the city, therefore by the logic of those seats in the second list it could have been called Meadows & West Bridgeford (or whatever)

  19. But was that just a convention that some references used at the time rather than its actual name?

    The Times Guide for instance used to refer (between 1974 and 1983) to ‘Richmond-Upon-Thames Richmond.’..and ‘Kensington and Chelsea Kensington’…or worse sitll ‘Cities of London and westminster City of London and Westminster South’.
    But there was no question that that was the seats actual proper name as designated by the boundary commission.

    What did the boundary commission actually designate Haltemprice as between 1950-55?

    If it was just an unwritten convention that some people sometimes used, then there is surely no reason why the present Haltemprice and Howden seat could not also be referred to as ‘Hull Haltermprice and Howden’ if people like. But it does rather make the question somewhat nonsensical.

    Bu contrast, I believe the other cases mentioned: Nottingham South, Edinburgh East, Manchester Gorton etc were ACTUAL boundary commission designations that are not under any disagreement.

  20. The difference being that the 1950-55 Haltemprice seat included part of the city of Hull whereas the current Haltemprice & Howden seat doesn’t (and the 1955-83 Haltemprice didn’t). Unfortunately I don’t have the boundary commission report from 1949 so am unsure what the official designation of (Hull) Haltemprice was.
    With regard to the London seats from 1974 to 1983 I believe they were officially designated in the form borough, ‘constituency name’, though for obvious reasons they wouldn’t usually have been referred to as such. Because Westminster was linked with the city of London there were even more ridiculous names than those you mentioned such as ‘Cities of London and Westminster, City of Westminster, Paddington’. Some of the names were amusing like Greenwich, Greenwich or especially Barking, Barking – some others had rather a nice ring to them such as Merton, Mitcham & Morden or Hillingdon, Hayes & Harlington

  21. Really Pete, I had no idea the boundary commission were ever so Barking Barking as to seriously do that. I presumed it was so ridiculous that it was an eccentric flourish of the Times guide in that period.

    However, I agree with you on the point of Merton, Mitcham and Morden and Hillingdon, Hayes and Harlington. Those constituency names did indeed roll of the tongue quite nicely.

  22. I don’t think that the seats were called Barking Barking or Greenwich Greenwich or indeed Kingston-upon-Thames Kingston-upon-Thames. Common sense was used & they were called simply Barking, Greenwich and Kingston-upon-Thames respectively. Barnet, Chipping Barnet however was used, as were Kensington & Chelsea, Chelsea, and Kensington & Chelsea, Kensington and indeed Richmond-upon-Thames, Richmond which was perhaps the silliest. In fact, the Wandsworth constituencies still appear to bear the prefix Wandsworth (certainly when posting a Notice of Election in, e.g. Putney, Wandsworth Council refer to the constituency as Wandsworth Putney still.) ; however, other than on official Council noticeboards the prefix isn’t used any more it seems. The prefix Ealing has been kept, but all the 3 constituencies in that Borough contain part of the community of West Ealing and the Southall seat contains part of the Ealing community too (in Northfield Ward).

  23. Which seats were Broughton in before 1997?

  24. This seat is rather oddly named as it happens, since there isn’t really a Broughton – there is Higher Broughton, Lower Broughton & Broughton Park. The latter is much better known than the other 2 (Lower Broughton is a rather desolate area quite close to central Salford).However there is a Broughton ward nevertheless. This area, and Kersal ward, was in Salford from 1997-2010, Salford E from 1950 to 1997, and I’m almost certain Salford N before that. I have always had relatives in Broughton Park though they are not ultra-Orthodox Jews which are of course a major demographic in that area.

  25. ‘Salford from 1997-2010, Salford E from 1950 to 1997, and Iā€™m almost certain Salford N before that’
    You are merely confirming what I suspected all along Barnaby LOL šŸ™‚

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