Bishop Auckland
2010 Results:
Conservative: 10805 (26.27%)
Labour: 16023 (38.95%)
Liberal Democrat: 9189 (22.34%)
BNP: 2036 (4.95%)
UKIP: 1119 (2.72%)
Others: 1964 (4.77%)
Majority: 5218 (12.68%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 19070 (50%)
Liberal Democrat: 9020 (23.7%)
Conservative: 8739 (22.9%)
Other: 1310 (3.4%)
Majority: 10050 (26.4%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 8736 (22.9%)
Labour: 19065 (50%)
Liberal Democrat: 9018 (23.7%)
UKIP: 1309 (3.4%)
Majority: 10047 (26.4%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 8754 (22.7%)
Labour: 22680 (58.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 6073 (15.7%)
Green: 1052 (2.7%)
Majority: 13926 (36.1%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 9295 (20.2%)
Labour: 30359 (66%)
Liberal Democrat: 4223 (9.2%)
Referendum: 2104 (4.6%)
Majority: 21064 (45.8%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Helen Goodman(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Barbara Harrison (Conservative) Educated at Bishop Barrington Comprehensive. Prison governer. Former Teesdale councillor. Durham county councillor.Helen Goodman(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Mark Wilkes (Liberal Democrat) Durham county councillor.
David Brothers (UKIP) Prison officer.
Adam Walker (BNP) Former teacher, resigned after being suspended for allegedly using a school laptop to make postings to far-right websites. Contested North East region in 2009 European elections.Sam Zair (Local Liberals)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 84950
Male: 48.5%
Female: 51.5%
Under 18: 21.6%
Over 60: 23.2%
Born outside UK: 1.6%
White: 99.2%
Asian: 0.3%
Mixed: 0.2%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 84.5%
Full time students: 1.8%
Graduates 16-74: 13.3%
No Qualifications 16-74: 38.2%
Owner-Occupied: 67.3%
Social Housing: 22.9% (Council: 18.3%, Housing Ass.: 4.6%)
Privately Rented: 6.9%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 5.3%
I meant one million votes….
|I am not a UKIP supporter but I’ll say this in the most unpartisan way possible- I hope an increase in their vote at the 2015 General Election will prove to the three main parties that the issue of the European Union is still in the minds of a considerable number of voters. They could get something approaching 900,000 votes in 2015 if they play their cards right.” “One million thoughts will be UKIP’s target for 2015.”
UKIP polled 919,471 votes in 2010 so I would have thought reaching a million wouldn’t represent all that impressive a performance. Around 2 million would be a better target for them IMO.
Yes, they should aim for the number they got at the 2009 Euro Elections.
I’m relaxed about UKIP topping the poll in 2014 if it forces an EU in out referendum but on balance I think Labour will narrowly top the GB poll.
UKIP does look pretty likely to get Fiona Hall’s seat.
I expect Labour to poll 49% of the vote in Bishop Auckland in 2015..
Well UKIP will certainly never have a better opportunity to make its mark than at the next European elections – and should they win, that would do the anti-EU cause a great deal of good.
But their capacity to deliver such a result must be in question given their weak organisation in much of the country – and the leadership of Farage, which is not to everyone’s taste.
17.3% of UKIP’s candidates at the 2010 General Election managed to save their deposit- 99 out of 572 candidates.
Yes, I think UKIP might come first in 2014 Euros.
Credible scenario
UKIP 28%
Lab 26%
Con 25%
Green 10%
LD 5%
Oths 6%
Not something I would support by the way.
It’s not necessarily a most likely scenario yet – but it’s within a a credible range.
I think the Tories will be closer to 20% than 25%.
This is an interesting seat.
There are some very attractive areas in it
and some time back I had wondered whether there would be a longer term swing towards the Tories
but Richard pointed out it has poor communications.
I guess the Lib Dem vote could now collapse in Bishop Auckland, and in seats like Durham North West, and even if there is an under-current of Tory support edging up, it could be outweighed quite a bit by Labour hoovering up LD votes.
I think UKIP could poll over 5% aswell.