Birmingham Yardley
2010 Results:
Conservative: 7836 (19.18%)
Labour: 13160 (32.22%)
Liberal Democrat: 16162 (39.56%)
BNP: 2153 (5.27%)
UKIP: 1190 (2.91%)
Others: 349 (0.85%)
Majority: 3002 (7.34%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Liberal Democrat: 15952 (41.5%)
Labour: 13831 (36%)
Conservative: 3656 (9.5%)
Other: 5004 (13%)
Majority: 2121 (5.5%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 2970 (10.1%)
Labour: 10976 (37.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 13648 (46.4%)
BNP: 1523 (5.2%)
UKIP: 314 (1.1%)
Majority: 2672 (9.1%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 3941 (13.1%)
Labour: 14085 (46.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 11507 (38.3%)
UKIP: 329 (1.1%)
Other: 151 (0.5%)
Majority: 2578 (8.6%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 6736 (17.8%)
Labour: 17778 (47%)
Liberal Democrat: 12463 (33%)
Referendum: 646 (1.7%)
Other: 164 (0.4%)
Majority: 5315 (14.1%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: John Hemming(Liberal Democrat) (more information at They work for you)
Meirion Jenkins (Conservative)
Lynette Kelly (Labour)
John Hemming(Liberal Democrat) (more information at They work for you)
Graham Duffen (UKIP)
Tanya Lumby (BNP)
Paul Morris (National Front)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 100003
Male: 48.4%
Female: 51.6%
Under 18: 26.3%
Over 60: 20.5%
Born outside UK: 11.7%
White: 81.5%
Black: 3.7%
Asian: 11.8%
Mixed: 2.5%
Other: 0.6%
Christian: 66.9%
Hindu: 1.3%
Muslim: 8.9%
Sikh: 1.6%
Full time students: 3%
Graduates 16-74: 10.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 41.2%
Owner-Occupied: 64.1%
Social Housing: 26% (Council: 21.9%, Housing Ass.: 4.1%)
Privately Rented: 6.2%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 29%



That’s almost 20 years ago though Andy. I suspect there has been appreciable demographic change in that time
I wonder if the Conservatives would have ever won this seat on these boundaries. Their largest majority was 2,865 in 1983 and this could well have been wiped out by the areas that have been added in 2010 from Sparkbrook & Small Heath which mostly involves the old Foxhollies ward but also parts of Small Heath. It seems very likely that this would have been enough to prevent a Tory victory in 1959, 1970 and 1979 and would certainly have been very close in the 1980s
not a bad result for Labour here last time around. One would suspect the the liberals will be worrying in Yardley.