Berwickshire Roxburgh and Selkirk
2010 Results:
Conservative: 16555 (33.78%)
Labour: 5003 (10.21%)
Liberal Democrat: 22230 (45.35%)
SNP: 4497 (9.17%)
UKIP: 595 (1.21%)
Others: 134 (0.27%)
Majority: 5675 (11.57%)
2005 Results:
Liberal Democrat: 18993 (41.8%)
Conservative: 13092 (28.8%)
Labour: 7206 (15.9%)
SNP: 3885 (8.6%)
Other: 2212 (4.9%)
Majority: 5901 (13%)
Boundary changes prior to 2005 election: Name of seat changed from Roxburgh and Berwickshire.
2001 Result
Conservative: 6533 (22.7%)
Labour: 4498 (15.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 14044 (48.8%)
SNP: 2806 (9.7%)
Other: 916 (3.2%)
Majority: 7511 (26.1%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 8337 (23.9%)
Labour: 5226 (15%)
Liberal Democrat: 16243 (46.5%)
SNP: 3959 (11.3%)
Referendum: 922 (2.6%)
Other: 244 (0.7%)
Majority: 7906 (22.6%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Michael Moore(Liberal Democrat) born 1965, Dundonald. Educated at Jedburgh Grammar School and Edinburgh University. Chartered accountant. MP for Tweeddale, Ettrick and Lauderdale since 1997. Transport spokesman 1997-2001, deputy foreign affairs spokesman 2001-2005, Lib Dem shadow defence secretary 2005-2006, foreign secretary 2006-2007, for international development since 2007 (more information at They work for you)
John Lamont (Conservative) Born 1976. Educated at Kilwinning Academy and Glasgow University. Solicitor. Contested Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk 2005. Member of the Scottish Parliament for Roxburgh and Berwickshire since 2007.
Ian Miller (Labour) Carpet retailer. Chairman of Scottish Co-operative Party. Midlothian councillor. Michael Moore(Liberal Democrat) born 1965, Dundonald. Educated at Jedburgh Grammar School and Edinburgh University. Chartered accountant. MP for Tweeddale, Ettrick and Lauderdale since 1997. Transport spokesman 1997-2001, deputy foreign affairs spokesman 2001-2005, Lib Dem shadow defence secretary 2005-2006, lib dem shadow foreign secretary 2006-2007, lib dem shadow secretary for international development 2007-2008, Lib Dem Scottish and NI spokesman 2008-2010. Secretary of State for Scotland since 2010 (more information at They work for you)
Paul Wheelhouse (SNP) born 1970, Dundonald. Educated at Stewart`s Melville College, Aberdeen University and University of Edinburgh Management School. Economic consultant.
Sherry Fowler (UKIP)Chris Black (Scottish Jacobite Party)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 89370
Male: 48.2%
Female: 51.8%
Under 18: 21.9%
Over 60: 24.9%
Born outside UK: 2.7%
White: 99.4%
Asian: 0.2%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 67.2%
Graduates 16-74: 18.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 35.4%
Owner-Occupied: 59.2%
Social Housing: 25.3% (Council: 14.5%, Housing Ass.: 10.8%)
Privately Rented: 10.5%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 7.2%
Scotland presents the election enthusiast with considerable cause for head-scratching. On paper, this looks like a seat that the Tories could target in 2015 but given their recent record in Scotland, who would bet on them succeeding?
It would still be quite difficult I suspect
particularly as Michael Moore seems to be a little bit rightish for a Lib Dem, like Jeremy Browne,
but this covers an area where the Tories did do well in May 2011
so it’s surely a target.
(I do conceed he is one of the LDs, like Danny Alexander, who does understand collective responsibility when difficult decisions have to be made,
unlike most of them – and the over-rated Cable, for example,
and the dreadful Farron etc).
There are a handful,
even I would admit.
Most of them are not cut out for government though – the very nature of what they are precludes it.
I’d like to get some details of how the town of Hawick votes
in national and local elections.
I have no idea how Hawick votes (but we’ll get a better idea with Labour standing this time).
I’m relatively sure that Jedburgh and surrounds is the tories’ strongest part of the Borders where the tories polled roughly half the vote in the 2007 council elections
Scottish Borders Council 2012 Prediction
Con 13 (+2)
SNP 10 (+4)
LD 5 (-5)
Ind 4 (-1)
Oth 2 (-)
Peter Duncan failed to get elected and the tories have slipped from 11 to 10 seats but they’ve remained 1 seat ahead of the SNP.
Independents and borders party have done well.
Poor Peter Duncan. Must be one of the unluckiest politicians in the entire Scottish Conservatives.
Yes, it’s difficult not to feel a bit sorry for Peter Duncan as it wasn’t necessarily a stupid move to move to the borders to try and further his electoral career.
I think the good news for the tories here is that an Ind/SNP/LD administration has been formed (which should be easy to campaign against in theory) so they should really have a good chance of gaining this constituency regardless of the candidate because the opposition to them will almost certainly be split as well.
It’s more of an immediate priority for them to select a candidate for Galloway and Carrick I would have thought.
I agree. If any Scottish Conservative deserved a bit of career furthering, it should be Peter Duncan. I’m actually quite appalled at how he appears to have been abandoned by the party leadership.