Bedfordshire North East
2010 Results:
Conservative: 30989 (55.78%)
Labour: 8957 (16.12%)
Liberal Democrat: 12047 (21.69%)
BNP: 1265 (2.28%)
UKIP: 2294 (4.13%)
Majority: 18942 (34.09%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 24641 (49.9%)
Labour: 12394 (25.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 10290 (20.9%)
Other: 2018 (4.1%)
Majority: 12247 (24.8%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 24725 (49.9%)
Labour: 12474 (25.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 10320 (20.8%)
UKIP: 1986 (4%)
Majority: 12251 (24.7%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 22586 (49.9%)
Labour: 14009 (31%)
Liberal Democrat: 7409 (16.4%)
UKIP: 1242 (2.7%)
Majority: 8577 (19%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 22311 (44.3%)
Labour: 16428 (32.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 7179 (14.2%)
Referendum: 2490 (4.9%)
Other: 1980 (3.9%)
Majority: 5883 (11.7%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Alistair Burt(Conservative) (more information at They work for you)
Alistair Burt(Conservative) (more information at They work for you)
Ed Brown (Labour) born Wilmslow. Educated at Cambridge University, the LSE and University of Siena. Barrister specialising in commercial and employment law.
Mike Pitt (Liberal Democrat) Born 1975. Educated at cambridge University. Maths teacher. Former Cambridge councillor.
Brian Capell (UKIP)Ian Seeby (BNP) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 90050
Male: 49.7%
Female: 50.3%
Under 18: 23.2%
Over 60: 19.3%
Born outside UK: 4.9%
White: 97.5%
Black: 0.4%
Asian: 0.9%
Mixed: 0.8%
Other: 0.4%
Christian: 75.2%
Full time students: 2%
Graduates 16-74: 20.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 23.8%
Owner-Occupied: 78.7%
Social Housing: 12.9% (Council: 7.6%, Housing Ass.: 5.3%)
Privately Rented: 5.6%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 4.5%
This election seems to very targeted on the marginals I live in the south of the county and have had no body doorstepping or even any election leaflets apart from the conservatives. I can only assume both other main parties have admitted defeat as in all due respect both the Labour and Lib dem candidates look like they are just here for the experience before moving to safer seat.
On the blog part of this site (…/blog/archives/2753?cp=5) I have posted on what I think the impact of the Parliamentary Voting System and Constituencies Bill would be on Bedfordshire.
It looks like Bedford Borough and Central Beds together will be allocated 4 constituencies (essentially as at present), while Luton isn’t big enough for 2, and will have to take in some voters from Hertfordshire somehow. The requirement to be within +or- 5% of the UK quota size will, however, mean boundary changes, since Bedford constituency is only 90% of the quota electorate.
My guess is that Mid Beds constituency will no longer extend into Bedford Borough with Wilstead joining this constituency, while Langford and Henlow would move from NE Beds into Mid Beds. (This is on current ward boundaries that are in the process of revision, whereas the BC will work on the new ward boundaries, but it gives an idea of possibilities.)
The Tory share fell about 16% points here in 1997.
The numerical vote has since recovered to about the 1992 level,
and the share up 11.5% since 1997 – meaning it’s about 4.5% below 1992.
The electorate must have grown quite a bit.