The UKPollingReport election guide for 2010 has now been archived and all comments will shortly be closed. The new Election Guide for the 2015 election is now online at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide. The old site is archived at the UK Web Archive.
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Bedfordshire Mid

2010 Results:
Conservative: 28815 (52.49%)
Labour: 8108 (14.77%)
Liberal Democrat: 13663 (24.89%)
UKIP: 2826 (5.15%)
Green: 773 (1.41%)
English Democrat: 712 (1.3%)
Majority: 15152 (27.6%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 23383 (46.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 11839 (23.6%)
Labour: 11291 (22.5%)
Other: 3667 (7.3%)
Majority: 11544 (23%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 23345 (46.3%)
Labour: 11351 (22.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 11990 (23.8%)
Green: 1292 (2.6%)
UKIP: 1372 (2.7%)
Other: 1070 (2.1%)
Majority: 11355 (22.5%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 22109 (47.4%)
Labour: 14043 (30.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 9205 (19.7%)
UKIP: 1281 (2.7%)
Majority: 8066 (17.3%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 24176 (46%)
Labour: 17086 (32.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 8823 (16.8%)
Referendum: 2257 (4.3%)
Other: 174 (0.3%)
Majority: 7090 (13.5%)

Boundary changes:

Profile:

portraitCurrent MP: Nadine Dorries(Conservative) (more information at They work for you)

2010 election candidates:
portraitNadine Dorries(Conservative) (more information at They work for you)
portraitDavid Reeves (Labour) born 1981, Kent. Educated at Knatchbull Grammar School and Warwick University. Accountant. Sergeant in the Territorial army who served in Iraq
portraitLinda Jack (Liberal Democrat) Born Luton. Policy advisor at the FSA and former teacher. Former councillor. Contested Luton North 2005, East of England 2009 European elections.
portraitMalcolm Bailey (Green) Born Loughborough. Educated at Loughborough Grammar School and University of Liverpool. Retired senior medical physicist and university lecturer. Bedfordshire County Councillor 1981 – 1993.
portraitBill Hall (UKIP)
portraitJohn Cooper (English Democrat)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 92476
Male: 49.9%
Female: 50.1%
Under 18: 23.7%
Over 60: 18%
Born outside UK: 5.7%
White: 97.1%
Black: 0.5%
Asian: 1%
Mixed: 0.9%
Other: 0.5%
Christian: 76.2%
Full time students: 3.1%
Graduates 16-74: 22.7%
No Qualifications 16-74: 21.7%
Owner-Occupied: 78.2%
Social Housing: 11.2% (Council: 1.8%, Housing Ass.: 9.4%)
Privately Rented: 6.1%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 3.7%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide

361 Responses to “Bedfordshire Mid”

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  1. I speak of the constituency poll, obviously…

  2. So it’s all over already.
    Was it really worth it.
    I don’t think voters like this kind of thing – politics is a serious business.
    Sad in a way – like I said, she represents an important strand of opinion.
    No idea whether the whip was permanently taken away or not though?

  3. As long as the parliament website says this:

    “Dorries, Nadine (Ind) Mid Bedfordshire”

    The whip is withdrawn.

  4. Politics is a serious business, yet increasingly undertaken by people who are far from ‘serious’, at least in the sense that most of us would like them to be.

    Parliament is at a very low ebb in this regard now – probably the Commons has not had a poorer quality of membership since the 18th century. And thanks to the modern media, the manifest failings of so many of our MPs are revealed to us far more than was the case in the past.

  5. I think the overall frailty of human nature vs constant media scrutiny will mean any respect and trust politicians may have had more of in the past will never truly recover. This is very sad but it’s a fact of life.
    Because we live in a 24-hour media age where a minority of politicians (and people from any walk of life) will always be involved in some scandal/controversy or another which give the rest a bad name.

  6. The ashcroft poll looks like an accurate forecast of what will happen here in 2015.

    Nadine Dorries is a moron but her actions have had no effect on voting intention in this constituency.

  7. I have to say, you seem very certain the polls will not change between now and May 2015.

    There’s always a possibility Nadine will stand, but not as the official Conservative candidate – which would surely give us a bit of a dent.

  8. People say politicians are held in very low regard today and as a standalone statement that’s probably true.

    But was there ever a time when they weren’t held in low esteem? Even figures like Churchill weren’t particularly liked for most of their career.

  9. I think it’s fair to say that politicians were held in more respect in the past, certainly before the Profumo Scandal in 1962.

    Nadine Dorries says her suspension from the Conservative Party is ridiculous and will be asking the Chief Whip what it is all about.
    Her argument is she was just on holiday as everyone is entitled to be.

  10. IPSA are investigating Nadine Dorries for expenses’ fraud. I also hear the police have passed a new file to the CPS for consideration re Denis McShane, the former Member for Rotherham.

  11. At least we would have a chance of a by election certain win. And getting rid of Nadine (Surely she cant be reselected anyway)

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