Bassetlaw
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 25057 (51%)
Conservative: 16932 (34.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 6828 (13.9%)
Other: 304 (0.6%)
Majority: 8126 (16.5%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 12010 (29.8%)
Labour: 22847 (56.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 5485 (13.6%)
Majority: 10837 (26.9%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 11758 (30.2%)
Labour: 21506 (55.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 4942 (12.7%)
Other: 689 (1.8%)
Majority: 9748 (25.1%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 11838 (24.7%)
Labour: 29298 (61.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 4950 (10.3%)
Referendum: 1838 (3.8%)
Majority: 17460 (36.4%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Outgoing MP: John Mann(Labour) Born 1960, Leeds. Educated at Bradford Grammar School and Manchester University. Former trade union officer. Former Lambeth councillor. MP for Bassetlaw since 2001 (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: 
Keith Girling (Conservative) Born 1959, Nottingham. Educated at Manvers Pierrepont Comprehensive. Former non-commissioned officer in the Grenadier Guards. Nottinghamshire county councillor.John Mann(Labour) Born 1960, Leeds. Educated at Bradford Grammar School and Manchester University. Former trade union officer. Former Lambeth councillor. MP for Bassetlaw since 2001 (more information at They work for you)
David Dobbie (Liberal Democrat) Supply teacher. Contested Bassetlaw 2005.
Derek Evans (UKIP)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 98891
Male: 49.2%
Female: 50.8%
Under 18: 22.7%
Over 60: 21.6%
Born outside UK: 2.5%
White: 98.7%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 0.4%
Mixed: 0.5%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 81.7%
Full time students: 2.2%
Graduates 16-74: 13.6%
No Qualifications 16-74: 35.4%
Owner-Occupied: 70.7%
Social Housing: 20.3% (Council: 18.3%, Housing Ass.: 1.9%)
Privately Rented: 6.2%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 4.5%
I think this seat will be close, as a most likely.
Labour were not wiped out here in June CC, but from a quick calculation in my head about 10% behind.
I think it’ll be a very high vote for both the main parties, but perhaps the Conservatives are the narrow favourites – by about 1,000.
sorry – Pete has of course provided the result – had a look up the thread.
But anyway – that’s my view now.
Someone has been taking an interest in John Mann’s activities – http://www.mannisms.com
The Lib Dems have reselected David Dobbie
Ladbrokes:
Labour 5/6
Conservatives 5/6
Liberal Democrats 100/1
On the face of it, this would be a surprising Conservative gain, but the Tories have been doing well locally of late. Labour will hope that their above-average performance in 2005 will just about insulate them from disaster here.
Well this is interesting – it’s a slightly safer Labour seat than Erewash but at times this looks the likelier upset.
but
I think those odds are about right and Labour will hold on most likely.
I’d say Mann will hold on, but maybe only by his personal vote. He’s very vocal campaining against lawyers retaining fees for miners’ compensation claims, as well as against corrupt colleagues.
“as well as against corrupt colleagues”
He has a lot to say about corrupt MPs unless they are Labour. In which case he is strangely silent.
I agree with Barnaby on this seat.
Although Boundary Changes favour Tories, Labour performance last time should insulate them.
Labour hold majority 2000.
Bassetlaw is now counting on election night. Previously it was down as a Friday count.