Barrow and Furness
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 17505 (45.1%)
Conservative: 12669 (32.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 6907 (17.8%)
Other: 1721 (4.4%)
Majority: 4836 (12.5%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 11323 (31%)
Labour: 17360 (47.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 6130 (16.8%)
UKIP: 758 (2.1%)
Other: 922 (2.5%)
Majority: 6037 (16.5%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 11835 (30.3%)
Labour: 21724 (55.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 4750 (12.2%)
UKIP: 711 (1.8%)
Majority: 9889 (25.3%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 13133 (27.2%)
Labour: 27630 (57.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 4264 (8.8%)
Referendum: 1208 (2.5%)
Other: 1995 (4.1%)
Majority: 14497 (30.1%)
Boundary changes: gains Brougton and part of the Crake Valley from Westmorland & Lonsdale.
Profile:
Outgoing MP: John Hutton(Labour) born 1955, London. Educated at Westcliffe High School and Oxford University. Former university lecturer. Contested Penrith and the Border 1987, Cumbria and North Lancashire in the European elections 1989. First elected as MP for Barrow and Furness in 1992. Junior minister in the Department of Health 1998-1999, Minister of state for health 1999-2005, Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster 2005, Secretary of State for Work and Pensions 2005-2007. Secretary of State for Business and Enterprise 2007-2008, Secretary of State for Defence 2008-2009. Will stand down at the next election (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: 
John Gough (Conservative) 
Jonathan Woodcock (Labour) Advisor to Gordon Brown, former Special Advisor to John Hutton.
Barry Rabone (Liberal Democrat) born 1947, Croydon. Educated at Falmouth Grammar and Cardiff College of Educatation. Schoolteacher. Contested Barrow and Furness 2005 and 2001.
Chris Loynes (Green)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 91694
Male: 48.8%
Female: 51.2%
Under 18: 22.8%
Over 60: 23%
Born outside UK: 2.3%
White: 99.2%
Asian: 0.2%
Mixed: 0.3%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 80.8%
Full time students: 1.8%
Graduates 16-74: 15.6%
No Qualifications 16-74: 31.1%
Owner-Occupied: 77%
Social Housing: 11.7% (Council: 9.8%, Housing Ass.: 1.9%)
Privately Rented: 8.2%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 23.6%
Thank you JamesS for your infornmation dated 31 December. It may be that such LD voters vote LD in Barrow as they did in W&L which I have predicted as LD hold.
Barrow is too close to predict at this point; it could be that as John Hutton standing down AND favourable boundary changes helping, Tories narrowly gain.
3 figure Lab or Tory majority, I feel.