Comments on: Banff and Buchan

By: P.U.M.P

P.U.M.P — Fri, 26 Aug 2011 16:43:36 +0000

SNP should increase their majority here. But who knows, if the Adminstration at Holyrood becomes unpopular???

By: Esgrad

Esgrad — Sat, 08 Jan 2011 22:58:41 +0000

Prediction for May 2011 Scottish Parliament election

SNP – 15000
Con – 7000
LD – 4000
Lab – 2000

By: Dalek

Dalek — Sun, 19 Dec 2010 23:58:49 +0000

Tories did better in NE Scotland in 1992 and 2010 than Scotland as a whole.

In 1992 they re-gained Aberdeen South (the only non by election regain from Lab in the UK) and regained Kincardine & Deeside with a majority twice the size of that of Alick Buchannan Smith’s.

Tories won 3 NE regional seats in 1999 and 2003 – only dropping back to 2 in 2003.

If there is any recovery from the SNP in the region, Buchan could win the third seat.

I assume if the Tories maintain their 2010 general election level of Conservative support in the region that they would win three seats.

By: A Brown

A Brown — Sat, 18 Dec 2010 17:26:00 +0000

Jimmy Buchan is third on the list so he might get elected if the tories increase their vote at least 2/3% across the northeast from last time.

By: Dalek

Dalek — Sat, 18 Dec 2010 17:12:11 +0000

Jimmy Buchan (famous for being the skipper on the BBC Series Trawlermen) slashed the SNP majority from 30% – 10% last May.

At first site – the boundary changes that remove more Conservative inland areas to Aberdeenshire East and gain further historical coastal parts of Banffshire from Moray – appear to benefit the SNP, through making the demographics of this seat more dominant upon fishing communities.

It is Jimmy Buchan’s candidacy that could give
the resigning Scottish transport minister Stewart Stevenson a run for his money.

By: A Brown

A Brown — Sun, 12 Dec 2010 14:43:30 +0000

Stewart Stevenson – the Scottish Transport Minister has resigned. Wonder what wider implications this could have for the SNP next year.

By: A Brown

A Brown — Mon, 22 Nov 2010 14:54:40 +0000

I would like to see the greens do well on the list, I have far more respect for them than the lib dems.

By: TonyOtim

TonyOtim — Mon, 22 Nov 2010 14:44:10 +0000

It’s interesting – the particular issue I would have thought would be more of an issue for their core support, rather than the anti-Labour tactical vote. And there aren’t that many options that will appeal to those voters in the constituency vote, although there might be more realistic options on the list vote – SSP, Green perhaps, which could actually be worse for the SNP overall, the regional list being their main source of seats.

By: A Brown

A Brown — Mon, 22 Nov 2010 14:04:34 +0000

‘Next Scottish polls will certainly be interesting to see if the SNP have taken a hit – they certainly haven’t been having the best of times recently with stories about letting the Parliament’s powers lapse.’

wonder if this could provide a way back for the LDs?

By: TonyOtim

TonyOtim — Mon, 22 Nov 2010 10:48:53 +0000

Next Scottish polls will certainly be interesting to see if the SNP have taken a hit – they certainly haven’t been having the best of times recently with stories about letting the Parliament’s powers lapse.