Banff and Buchan
2005 Results:
SNP: 19044 (51.2%)
Conservative: 7207 (19.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 4952 (13.3%)
Labour: 4476 (12%)
Other: 1537 (4.1%)
Majority: 11837 (31.8%)
Boundary changes prior to 2005 election.
2001 Result
Conservative: 6207 (20.1%)
Labour: 4363 (14.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 2769 (9%)
SNP: 16710 (54.2%)
UKIP: 310 (1%)
Other: 447 (1.5%)
Majority: 10503 (34.1%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 9564 (23.8%)
Labour: 4747 (11.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 2398 (6%)
SNP: 22409 (55.8%)
Referendum: 1060 (2.6%)
Majority: 12845 (32%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Outgoing MP: Alex Salmond(SNP) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: Jimmy Buchan (Conservative) Glen Reynolds (Labour) Galen Milne (Liberal Democrat) Eilidh Whiteford (SNP) Richard Payne (BNP)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 86769
Male: 49.7%
Female: 50.3%
Under 18: 23.9%
Over 60: 21.1%
Born outside UK: 2%
White: 99.5%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 59.9%
Graduates 16-74: 13.9%
No Qualifications 16-74: 37.5%
Owner-Occupied: 66.8%
Social Housing: 24.5% (Council: 21.2%, Housing Ass.: 3.3%)
Privately Rented: 5.4%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 5.7%
Peterhead was the largest town in the Elgin district of burghs from 1885 to 1918 while Fraserburgh will have been in Aberdeenshire East. Peterhead became part fo Aberdeenshire east in 1918 and both towns formed part of that seat until 1983
any news about how the fishman is doing?
I think a plausible split is:
SNP – 48%
Conservative – 28%
Libdem – 10%
Labour – 9%
Peter C is certainly right to say this will be the biggest (possibly the only) SNP-Con swing. The above figures would be a swing of just under 6%.
Hey – presently my campaigning surveys indicate a standard level of support for so-called independence in a part of the world one would expect was very strongly nationalist so at just over 20% there is all to play for.
For too long the naturally liberal vote has galvanised around the SNP to defeat the Tory in this part of Aberdeenshire whilt in the rest its voted Liberal Democrat. The vote is therefore there to be won over and thats why I’m campaigning to win minds during this campaign. So watch this space and don’t count all those fishing votes just yet!
Stewart Stevenson SNP 16,031 58.8 +5.8
Geordie Burnett-Stuart CON 5,501 20.2 -0.7
Kay Barnett LAB 3,136 11.5 +0.5
Alison McInnes LD 2,617 9.6 +1.1
Majority 10,530 38.6
Turnout 27,285 48.4 +3.6
The 2007 Holyrood result suggests that the SNP now a stonger base than Alex Salmonds personal standing alone. So on that basis I would disagree with Peter C.
I think Jimmy Buchan will get a good vote by this seat will not become an SNP Tory marginal.
However, like Angus some seats are much closer at Westminster than Holyrood.
Neil’s suggestion of 48% to Whiteford and 28% to Buchan would seem reasonable.
With respect, in 2007 the entire SNP was rebranded as ‘Alex Salmon for First Minister’ – it was even written on the ballot paper.
I don’t think it is really possible therefore to separate this result here from a Salmond personal vote
The BNP have selected Richard Payne here
The SNP majority will be interesting to see without Alex Salmond standing. Stewart Stevenson has won 50% or so of the vote in the Scot Parl. equiv. of this seat. Since 1992 this has been pretty much been SNP teritory.