Ayrshire North and Arran
2010 Results:
Conservative: 7212 (15.64%)
Labour: 21860 (47.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 4630 (10.04%)
SNP: 11965 (25.95%)
Socialist Labour: 449 (0.97%)
Majority: 9895 (21.45%)
2005 Results:
Labour: 19417 (43.9%)
Conservative: 8121 (18.4%)
SNP: 7938 (18%)
Liberal Democrat: 7264 (16.4%)
Other: 1465 (3.3%)
Majority: 11296 (25.6%)
Boundary changes prior to 2005 election: Name of seat changed from Cunninghame North.
2001 Result
Conservative: 6666 (19.7%)
Labour: 15571 (46%)
Liberal Democrat: 3060 (9%)
SNP: 7173 (21.2%)
Other: 1346 (4%)
Majority: 8398 (24.8%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 9647 (23.5%)
Labour: 20686 (50.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 2271 (5.5%)
SNP: 7584 (18.4%)
Referendum: 440 (1.1%)
Other: 501 (1.2%)
Majority: 11039 (26.8%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Katy Clark(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Philip Lardner (Conservative) Katy Clark(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Gillian Cole-Hamilton (Liberal Democrat)Patricia Gibson (SNP)Louisa McDaid (Socialist Labour) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 93235
Male: 47.3%
Female: 52.7%
Under 18: 23.3%
Over 60: 23.1%
Born outside UK: 2.3%
White: 99.4%
Asian: 0.2%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 70.2%
Full time students: 0%
Graduates 16-74: 16.3%
No Qualifications 16-74: 35.5%
Owner-Occupied: 63.5%
Social Housing: 28.3% (Council: 23.6%, Housing Ass.: 4.8%)
Privately Rented: 4.7%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 4.2%
From this very site….
“The BBC are reporting that Philip Lardner has been suspended as Tory PPC, after allegedly praising Ian Smith (he of white-ruled Rhodesian UDI) and endorsing Enoch Powell’s “Rivers of Blood” speech.
June 23rd, 2008 at 3:31 pm”
http://www.christian.org.uk/news/cameron-drops-candidate-over-homosexual-beliefs/
The above link will give you a more accurate report of the facts, which as usual are only partial (and therefore misrepresented) by the media.
if you read it in context, not only does it appear to not be a central plank of his campaign but his comments are not homophobic. He is simply expressing his views as a Christian and does in no way suggest gays should be discriminated via the tax system or other means.
He is right that many think the same as him. Ironically it was the Conservatives who defended ‘Free Speech’ most staunchly in the Commons at the time of the ‘Incitement to Hatred’ law.
I sincerely hope Philip Lardner is reinstated before polling day.
Surely the SNP and LD’s are fighting for 2nd place now. I just wonder how much the Tory vote will crumble?
ANTHONY WELLS
Can you please explain why my comments with the link to the Christian Institute website, was not published?
The Institute are not political and simply carried a more detailed factual account of the Philip Lardner incident.
LAB HOLD
AW
Belated thanks for publishing my link to the article after all.
Not the worst swing for the SNP in the GE, but enough to give us any hope of keeping Cunninghame North? I don’t think so:
Lab 14000 (+14)
SNP 10000(+1)
Con 5000 (-2)
LD 1500 (-1)
(There was a popular independent standing in 2007, hence the increase in the Labour vote without the decrease in SNP vote)
Swing of 6.5% from SNP to Labour.
“There was a popular independent standing in 2007″
wasn’t he a former SNP MSP? May have the SNP majority been bigger without him standing last time?
The former Labour MSP is running again next year.
I believe he was a former SNP MSP now I think about it but this isn’t a seat with that much of an SNP base so I still think they’ll lose it.
Also, the Labour vote didn’t turn out last time and there’s a better chance it will this time IMO.
I can’t believe I forgot about the Campbell Martin fiasco! He must have taken a lot of the SNP vote in Cunninghame North. I’ll revise my prediction:
Labour 13000(+10)
SNP 11500(+5.5)
Con 5000 (-2)
LD 1500 (-1)
Katy Clark’s great-great-grandfather Alexander Sloan was Labour MP for South Ayrshire from 1939 to 1946 (Wikipedia).
that’s very interesting, never knew that.
Cunninghame North 2011
Labour 15000
SNP 12000
Con 5000
LD 1500
Cunninghame N is currently the most marginal constituency at Holyrood (Kenneth Gibson’s majority is just 48). There will be only minor boundary changes at the dissolution of Holyrood later this year (not sure whether or not they will affect the result), but it will still retain its name.
From 1983 the old Cunninghame North seat at Westminster was made up of three wards of Cunninghame District Council: Arran, Largs and West Kilbride; Garnock Valley; Saltcoats and Ardrossan. The only two North Ayrshire Council wards I know of that are in the present Westminster seat are Ardrossan and Arran, and North Coast and Cumbraes.
They were Strathclyde regional divisions rather than Cunninghame district wards
‘They were Strathclyde regional divisions rather than Cunninghame district wards’
But the 1983 Scottish boundaries act (at the Boundary Commission for Scotland’s website which has many historic boundary acts) refers to them as Cunninghame district wards
I am confused now
‘They were Strathclyde regional divisions rather than Cunninghame district wards’
But the 1983 Scottish boundaries act (at the Boundary Commission for Scotland’s website which has many historic boundary acts) refers to them as Cunninghame district wards.
I am confused now
North Ayrshire Council 2012 Prediction
SNP 14 (+6)
Lab 11 (-1)
Ind 4 (-1)
Con 1 (-2)
LD 0 (-2)