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Arfon

2010 Results:
Conservative: 4416 (16.93%)
Labour: 7928 (30.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 3666 (14.06%)
Plaid Cymru: 9383 (35.98%)
UKIP: 685 (2.63%)
Majority: 1455 (5.58%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 8165 (35.5%)
Plaid Cymru: 8072 (35.1%)
Conservative: 3431 (14.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 2599 (11.3%)
Other: 748 (3.2%)
Majority: 93 (0.4%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 3483 (12.4%)
Labour: 7538 (26.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 3508 (12.5%)
Plaid Cymru: 12747 (45.5%)
UKIP: 723 (2.6%)
Majority: 5209 (18.6%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 4403 (15.2%)
Labour: 9383 (32.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 1823 (6.3%)
Plaid Cymru: 12894 (44.4%)
UKIP: 550 (1.9%)
Majority: 3511 (12.1%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 4230 (12.4%)
Labour: 9667 (28.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 1686 (5%)
Plaid Cymru: 17616 (51.8%)
Referendum: 811 (2.4%)
Majority: 7949 (23.4%)

Boundary changes: The seat undergoes large changes to bring it in line with the preserved county boundaries in Wales. It gains Bangor from

Profile: Arfon is a new seat, replacing the old seat of Caernarfon. The seat is the far North-West of Wales, facing Anglesey across the Menai Strait. It`s predecessor was an extemely Welsh speaking seat and a Plaid Cymru stronghold in recent years under Dafydd Wigley. The new seat gains the small university city of Bangor (one of the smallest cities in the UK), while losing more rural Welsh speaking areas, and becomes a Labour/Plaid Cymru ultra-marginal.

The main towns and cities in the constituency are Bangor and Welsh-speaking Caernarfon, the site of Caernarfon castle where Prince Charles was invested as Prince of Wales in 1969. The South of the constituency stretches into Snowdonia National Park, with the peak of Mount Snowdon lying just inside the constituency border.

portraitCurrent MP: Hywel Williams (Plaid Cymru)

2010 election candidates:
portraitRobin Millar (Conservative) Born Bangor. Local government management consultant. Forest Heath councillor.
portraitAlun Pugh (Labour) Born 1955, Llwynypia. Director of an environmental charity. Assembly member for Clwyd West 1999-2007.
portraitSarah Green (Liberal Democrat) Educated at University of Wales. Press and PR executive. Contested Ynys Mon 2005.
portraitHywel Williams (Plaid Cymru)
portraitElwyn Williams (UKIP)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 56647
Male: 47.5%
Female: 52.5%
Under 18: 22.7%
Over 60: 20.1%
Born outside UK: 3.2%
White: 98.2%
Asian: 0.6%
Mixed: 0.5%
Other: 0.5%
Christian: 72.2%
Full time students: 10.5%
Graduates 16-74: 21.6%
No Qualifications 16-74: 28.2%
Owner-Occupied: 63.9%
Social Housing: 22.1% (Council: 17.9%, Housing Ass.: 4.2%)
Privately Rented: 9.3%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 20.5%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide