Comments on: Amber Valley

By: Harry Porter

Harry Porter — Fri, 12 Mar 2010 19:16:47 +0000

Which seats have included Alfreton, Holbrook, and ‘Shipley Park, Horsley and Horsley Woodhouse’ ward?

By: Harry Porter

Harry Porter — Mon, 01 Mar 2010 10:19:43 +0000

Which seats have included Alfreton, Holbrook, and the ward of ‘Shipley Park, Horsley and Horsley Woodhouse’?

By: Harry Porter

Harry Porter — Fri, 26 Feb 2010 07:50:47 +0000

Which seats have included Alfreton and Holbrook, and the ward of ‘Shipley Park, Horsley and Horsley Woodhouse’?

By: peterelectionfollower

peterelectionfollower — Tue, 16 Feb 2010 22:12:18 +0000

Some local campaign news would be greatly appreciated please.

If Gillian Shaw hardly increased the Tory vote, perhaps her former partner may also not make much progress. However he could win on 36% as I certainly expect the Labour vote to fall to around 36%.

By: Andy Stidwill

Andy Stidwill — Wed, 02 Dec 2009 18:35:04 +0000

The Labour vote could drop by over 10% and they might still hold it by a very small majority due to a high vote for BNP and UKIP as HH points out. But that’s probably not the most likely scenario.

By: H.Hemmelig

H.Hemmelig — Wed, 02 Dec 2009 17:21:34 +0000

Yet – I recall Amber Valley being on that list of “top-20 seats with the most discontented Labour voters” a few weeks back (although they have held up surprisingly well in the local elections here). Also the relatively high BNP support creates further uncertainty.

I think Amber Valley under the new boundaries will be pretty tough for the Tories to win, not to say they won’t do it, but it won’t be easy.

By: H.Hemmelig

H.Hemmelig — Wed, 02 Dec 2009 17:17:44 +0000

There might be some value on Labour at those odds, with their having made a modest recovery in the polls.

By: shadsy

shadsy — Wed, 02 Dec 2009 16:55:03 +0000

Ladbrokes:

Conservatives 8/13
Labour 6/5
Liberal Democrats 100/1

By: H.Hemmelig

H.Hemmelig — Fri, 18 Sep 2009 14:16:41 +0000

The split of Ripley into 2 wards presumably brings some smarter estates and semi-rural hinterland into both, explaining the unexpectedly good Tory performance. Ripley itself is a run of the mill old Labour mining town that looks like it has seen better days.

By: Andy Stidwill

Andy Stidwill — Fri, 18 Sep 2009 14:15:15 +0000

No prizes to the Boundary Committee for their naming of wards in Ripley.