Aberdeen South
2005 Results:
Labour: 15272 (36.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 13924 (33.5%)
Conservative: 7134 (17.1%)
SNP: 4120 (9.9%)
Other: 1171 (2.8%)
Majority: 1348 (3.2%)
Boundary changes prior to 2005 election.
2001 Result
Conservative: 7098 (19.2%)
Labour: 14696 (39.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 10308 (27.9%)
SNP: 4293 (11.6%)
Other: 495 (1.3%)
Majority: 4388 (11.9%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 11621 (26.4%)
Labour: 15541 (35.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 12176 (27.6%)
SNP: 4299 (9.8%)
Referendum: 425 (1%)
Majority: 3365 (7.6%)
No Boundary Changes
Profile: Aberdeen South consists of the Southern part of Aberdeen itself and the more rural areas to the West of the city, including the middle class suburbs of Peterculter, Bieldside and Cults. There are also more working class areas included in the seat, such as the post-war estates in Torry, Kincorth and Nigg. The seat was won by Labour in 1997, having had the distinction of being the only seat that Labour lost in the 1992 election. The Conservatives have since fallen into third place and it is now a prime Liberal Democrat target.
Current MP: Anne Begg (Labour) born 1955. Educated at Brechin High School and University of Aberdeen. Worked as a history and English teacher prior to being elected, winning Disabled Scot of the Year award in 1988. First elected as MP for Aberdeen South in 1997. Begg was born with Gaucher Disease and is the first full time wheelchair user to be elected to the Commons. When first elected she was keen not to be seen solely as a disabled MP and tended to avoid disability issues, but has more recently spoken out more on disability issues. Her main interests are social justice and pensions. Voted for a rebel amendment against the war in Iraq (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: 
John Sleigh (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Glasgow University. Assistant to Nicol Stephen MSP 
Mark Jones (Conservative) Educated at the University of London. Farmer. Former Redbridge councillor. Contested Paisley South in 2003 Scottish Parliament elections, Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock in 2005 election, Highlands and Islands Region and Shetland constituency in 2007 Scottish Parliament election.
Mark McDonald (SNP) born Inverurie. Educated at Dyce Academy and Dundee University. Deputy group leader on Aberdeen council.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 89808
Male: 49.2%
Female: 50.8%
Under 18: 19.7%
Over 60: 20.3%
Born outside UK: 7.6%
White: 97.3%
Black: 0.4%
Asian: 0.9%
Mixed: 0.5%
Other: 1%
Christian: 53.2%
Muslim: 0.7%
Graduates 16-74: 31.1%
No Qualifications 16-74: 21.9%
Owner-Occupied: 68%
Social Housing: 18.9% (Council: 15.8%, Housing Ass.: 3.2%)
Privately Rented: 10.7%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 7.1%
An interesting result! shame it’s not broken down into constituencies.
The cities two MP’s, must worry that if they poll anything like this(20.2%) in the general election, they will be looking for alternative careers! Especially Frank Doran, in the North, who was already under pressure from SNP (30.3%). Anne Begg, in the South, must be happier, that “challengers” Lib/Dems did so badly (12.6%).
One nugget for trend spotters’ is the Tory vote (17%) was slightly higher in Aberdeen, against it’s share in the rest of Scotland. The only mainstream party to achieve this in the city.
Well, unless UKIP put up candidates in the GE, the potential Tory support in Aberdeen was 22%.
As that is likely to be split at least 60/40 in favour of Aberdeen South, that would Tories in mid twenties or more, possibly nearer 30%.
If the LDs are no longer seen as a serious challenger, then this could easily lead to a big swing in favour of Cons at the GE.
Hi Paul, you have to remember, that there were parts of urban Gordon, counted in the Aberdeen City Council, making up the Aberdeen city result. So the 60/40 split, between North/South is not that simple to calculate.
I am struggling to establish whether the SNP can match their EU election performance. If they can, then they will dominate the GE in Scotland.
I am still predicting this as a Begg hold (super marginally though) to the tories in second place, liberals a close run third. This seat will then be a three way marginal, the SNP support in the euros wont materialise in westminster elections. I will point out that only this month have the SNP beat the 30% barrier in the major Scotland only YouGov polling (according to electoral calculus data) so a 27-29% share seems much more likely for them on the night; which means potentially 6 holds and two gains (hardly the big breakthrough expected, merely returning them to pre 1979 election levels of MP representation at westminster.)
I believe the conservative vote for the (euro election) went up notionally by roughly a thousand votes in Aberdeen South campared to 2004 result.
This has to be seen as significant sign that Aberdeen South, could well become a quite earthquake.