The UKPollingReport election guide for 2010 has now been archived and all comments will shortly be closed. The new Election Guide for the 2015 election is now online at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide. The old site is archived at the UK Web Archive.
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Liberal Democrat Target Seats

Below are hundred seats where the Liberal Democrat party needs to overturn the lowest percentage majority to win the seat. These are not necesssarily the seats where it will be easiest to do so, or the seats that the party will actually be targetting at the next election. In seats marked with an asterisk (*) the Liberal Democrat party is currently in third (or lower) place.

Conservative target seats, Labour target seats, Liberal Democrat target seats

1. Camborne and Redruth 66 Swing required 0.08%
2. Oldham East and Saddleworth 103 Swing required 0.12%
3. Oxford West and Abingdon 176 Swing required 0.16%
4. Ashfield 192 Swing required 0.2%
5. Sheffield Central 165 Swing required 0.2%
6. Edinburgh South 316 Swing required 0.36%
7. Truro and Falmouth 435 Swing required 0.45%
8. Newton Abbot 523 Swing required 0.55%
9. Chesterfield 549 Swing required 0.6%
10. Swansea West 504 Swing required 0.71%
11. Hull North 641 Swing required 0.96%
12. Rochdale 889 Swing required 0.97%
13. Harrogate and Knaresborough 1039 Swing required 0.98%
14. Watford 1425 Swing required 1.29%
15. Hampstead and Kilburn 42 Swing required 1.51%
16. Montgomeryshire 1184 Swing required 1.75%
17. Edinburgh North and Leith 1724 Swing required 1.82%
18. St Albans 2305 Swing required 2.19%
19. Newport East 1650 Swing required 2.39%
20. Weston-Super-Mare 2691 Swing required 2.56%
21. Hereford and Herefordshire South 2481 Swing required 2.57%
22. Devon West and Torridge 2957 Swing required 2.68%
23. Winchester 3048 Swing required 2.73%
24. Northampton North 1936 Swing required 3.09%
25. Cornwall South East 3220 Swing required 3.25%
26. Bristol North West 3274 Swing required 3.25%
27. Durham, City of 3067 Swing required 3.32%
28. Dorset West 3923 Swing required 3.42%
29. Richmond Park 4091 Swing required 3.45%
30. York Outer 3688 Swing required 3.46%
31. Streatham 3259 Swing required 3.48%
32. Derby North 613 Swing required 3.65%
33. Pontypridd 2785 Swing required 3.8%
34. Newcastle upon Tyne North 3414 Swing required 3.89%
35. Aberdeen South 3506 Swing required 4.07%
36. Islington South and Finsbury 3569 Swing required 4.1%
37. Birmingham Hall Green 3799 Swing required 4.16%
38. Romsey and Southampton North 4156 Swing required 4.25%
39. Colne Valley 4837 Swing required 4.37%
40. Oxford East 4581 Swing required 4.44%
41. Bosworth 5032 Swing required 4.64%
42. Chelmsford 5110 Swing required 4.68%
43. Bristol South 4734 Swing required 4.9%
44. Totnes 4927 Swing required 5.15%
45. Cambridgeshire South East 5946 Swing required 5.17%
46. Ealing Central and Acton 3716 Swing required 5.2%
47. Warrington South 1553 Swing required 5.45%
48. Wrexham 3658 Swing required 5.55%
49. Dunfermline and Fife West 5470 Swing required 5.59%
50. Tewkesbury 6310 Swing required 5.85%
NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide

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